Ian 16 • Nā manaʻo ʻōlelo mākeke • 6110 Nānā • 1 Comment ma UK Ua hoʻi i ke kūleʻa ia i hele ʻole mai
Ua hoʻi ʻo UK i loko o ke kūleana ʻaʻole i puka mai. I ka ʻoiaʻiʻo ʻAʻohe ʻokoʻa o USA
Ua loli ka wehewehe ʻana o nā recession i loko o nā makahiki a ʻokoʻa i kēlā me kēia ʻāina a i ka ʻāina a i ka ʻ āinapuniʻole. I ka UK Ua wehewehe ʻia kahi recession ma ke ʻano he ʻelua mau manawa kūlike ʻole o ka ulu maikaʻi ʻole. I ka USA ʻo ke Kōmike Hoʻohui Pōʻaiapuni ʻoihana o ka National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) i ʻike nui ʻia he mana no ka pili ʻana i nā recession US. Hōʻike ka NBER i kahi hoʻokele waiwai e like me:
ʻo ka hōʻemi nui o ka hana hoʻokele i hoʻolaha ʻia ma o ka hoʻokele waiwai, ʻoi aku ka lōʻihi ma mua o kekahi mau mahina, ʻike ʻia ma ka GDP maoli, loaʻa kālā, hana, hana ʻenehana, a me nā kūʻai kūʻai nui.
ʻAneʻane i ka honua holoʻokoʻa, nā kālaihana, nā mea hoʻokele waiwai, nā mea hana kulekele, a me nā ʻoihana e hoʻopaneʻe i ka hoʻoholo ʻana e ka NBER no ka pili kikoʻī o ka hoʻomaka a me ka pau ʻana o ka recession. I ka pōkole inā ulu 'hele hewa' i ka USA a laila aia ka ʻāina i ka recession.
Wahi a nā economists, mai ka 1854, ua hālāwai ka US me 32 mau pōʻaiapuni o ka hoʻonui ʻana a me nā mea hoʻoliʻiliʻi, me ka awelika o 17 mau mahina o ka contraction a me 38 mau mahina o ka hoʻonui ʻana. Eia nō naʻe, mai ka makahiki 1980, ʻewalu wale nō mau manawa o ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai maikaʻi ʻole ma mua o hoʻokahi hapaha kālā a ʻoi paha, a ʻehā mau manawa i manaʻo ʻia he recession.
USA recessed mai 1980
Iulai 1981 - Nowemapa 1982: 14 mau mahina
Iulai 1990 - Malaki 1991: 8 mahina
Malaki 2001 - Nowemapa 2001: 8 mahina
Kekemapa 2007 - Iune 2009: 18 mau mahina
No nā recession ʻekolu i hala iho nei, ua like ka hoʻoholo a ka NBER me ka wehewehe ʻana e pili ana i nā ʻehā hapahā o ka hāʻule. ʻOiai ʻaʻole pili ka resession 2001 i ʻelua mau hapahā o ka hāʻule, ua mua ʻia e nā ʻāpana ʻelua o ka hāʻule hope a me ka ulu nāwaliwali. Ua pau ka US recession o 2007 i ka mahina ʻo Iune, 2009 i ke komo ʻana o ka lāhui i ka hoʻokele waiwai i kēia manawa.
Ua piʻi ka helu o ka hana ʻole ma ka US i ka 8.5 pakeneka ma Malaki 2009, a aia he 5.1 miliona mau nalowale hana a hiki i Malaki 2009 mai ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ke emi ʻana ma Kēkēmapa 2007. ʻO ia ma kahi o ʻelima mau miliona mau kānaka hana ʻole e hoʻohālikelike ʻia i ka makahiki i hala, ʻo ia ka nui lele i kēlā me kēia makahiki i ka helu o ka poʻe hana ʻole mai ka 1940s.
Nā Recses UK mai ka makahiki 1970
Ke pio ʻana o Mid 1970s 1973-5, 2 makahiki (6 mai 9 Qtr). Lawe ʻia i 14 mau hapaha no ka GDP e hoʻi hou ai i kahi kūlana ma ka hoʻomaka o ke kūleʻa ma hope o ka 'dip lua'.
ʻO 1980s ka piʻi ʻana 1980- 1982, 2 makahiki (6 - 7 Qtr). Piʻi ka hana ʻole 124% mai ka 5.3% o ka heluna hana ma Aug 1979 a i ka 11.9% i ka makahiki 1984. Lawe i 13 mau hapaha no GDP e hoʻi hou i kēlā i ka hoʻomaka o 1980. Lawe i 18 mau ʻāpana no ka GDP e hoʻi hou i kēlā i ka hoʻomaka o ka recession.
ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o 1990s 1990-2 1.25 mau makahiki (5 Qtr). Loaʻa ka palena haʻahaʻa o 8% o GDP. Piʻi ka hana ʻole 55% mai ka 6.9% o ka heluna hana i ka makahiki 1990 a i ka 10.7% i ka makahiki 1993. Lawe i 13 mau hapaha no ka GDP e hoʻi hou ai i kēlā i ka hoʻomaka o ka recession.
Ke emi hope 2000, 1.5 makahiki, 6 hapahā. Ua hāʻule ka huahana i 0.5% ma 2010 Q4. Ua piʻi mua ka helu o ka hana ʻole i 8.1% (2.57m poʻe) i ʻAukake 2011, ke kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe loa mai ka makahiki 1994, ua ʻoi aʻe kēia. A ʻo ʻOkakopa 2011, ma hope o ka 14 mau hapaha, aia ka GDP ma kahi o 4% ma lalo o ka piko i ka hoʻomaka o ka recession.
Pehea i kūʻai ʻia ai ka hoʻōla '
Hōʻike nā helu helu recesses USA 2008/2009 i ka stagnated o ka USA a me ka liʻiliʻi o ka 'holomua' maoli i hana ʻia. ʻOiai nā hype āpau a me ke kuhi hewa ʻana ʻo ka ʻoiaʻiʻo aia nō ʻo USA e kū mau ana i ka haʻalele. Ma Malaki 2009 ka hana ʻole he 8.5%, i kēia lā ʻo 8.5% kēia. Ma Malaki 2009 ua lilo ka 5.1 miliona i kā lākou mau hana, kuhi ʻia i kēia manawa aia ma kahi o 9.0 miliona mau poho hana net mai 2007-2012. Me nā hoʻāʻo e wili iā ia inā ʻaʻohe mea like e like me ka 'loaʻa ʻole o ka hana', e paʻa mau ana ka USA i ka ʻauwaha o kahi hohonu hohonu. Pono ka USA e hana i kahi 400,000 mau hana i kēlā me kēia mahina ma luna o kahi wā i mālama ʻia o ʻekolu mau makahiki, i mea e hoʻi ai i mua o ka 2007 mau pae o ka hana.
ʻO nā ʻike a me nā kiʻi, e pili ana i nā bailout, nā hoʻopakele ʻana a me nā papahana hoʻoliʻiliʻi nui ma USA, ua hānai ʻia a ua hanai ʻia paha ka ikaika ma muli o ke komo ʻana o Bloomberg ma o nā ʻaha. Ke neʻe nei i kēlā mau helu ʻaʻole uhi ʻia ke kaupaku hōʻaiʻē. ʻO ka naʻauao i loaʻa no kēlā me kēia ʻelua dālā o ka ulu ulu ʻana ua kūʻai ʻo USA i ʻewalu kālā ʻaiʻē. Ke haʻalele nei i ka hōʻino maoli o ka mana kūʻai mai kēia, ma muli o ka hoʻonui maka huna ʻana, aia ka hōʻike o ke kaupaku ʻaiʻē ma ka ʻeleʻele a me ke keʻokeʻo e pili ana i ke ʻano o ka hoʻōla he kuhihewa ia.
Ua hoʻonui ʻia ke kaupaku ʻaiʻē ma mua o 40% mai ka makahiki 2008. Kuhi ʻia kahi manaʻo he $ 5.2 trillion nui i hāpai ʻia i mea e hoʻokō ai i kahi 'hoʻihoʻi', kahi hoʻihoʻi e ʻike nei i ke ana ʻoi loa (U3) o ka hana ʻole i kahi i hoʻomaka ai. , ma 8.5%. ʻOiai nā bailout āpau a me nā hoʻopakele (malū a paʻi ʻia paha) nā papahana 'tarp' a me ke kaupaku hōʻaiʻē e hoʻāla i ka USA he pālahalaha, ergo ʻaʻole ia i puka i waho o ke kūleʻa, ua hana ʻia kahi hana pili lehulehu.
Kūlike like ka hoʻohālikelike ʻana o UK, e like me ko ʻEulopa. ʻO ka helu o ka hana ʻole ma UK ma 8.5%, eia nō naʻe nā helu hana ʻole ma kā lākou kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe i nā makahiki he ʻumikūmāhiku a e like me kahi anamanaʻo aupuni aia he 3.9 miliona mau ʻohana me ka loaʻa ʻole o ka "loaʻa uku" Aia ma kahi o 4.8 ml mau mākua UK ma waho o nā pono hana a me nā hana 400,000 i loaʻa i kēlā me kēia manawa. A me ka hana ʻana o circa 20 miliona kēia loaʻa ʻana o ka hana ma ke ʻano he helu helu maʻamau o 'churn', 2%. E like me USA, akā ma kahi pālākiō liʻiliʻi, ua hoʻāʻo nā aupuni ʻelua o UK e 'kūʻai i ko lākou ala i waho', e waiho ana iā UK me ka lākiō nui o ka GDP v hōʻaiʻē nui ma luna o 900%, ʻo ka mea ʻino loa ma ʻEulopa kahi (ma kahi ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe) no ke aha e nīnau ai nā mea haʻi ʻōlelo a me nā loea kālai'āina ʻEulopa i ka helu helu AAA a UK.
http://oversight.house.gov/images/stories/Testimony/12-15-11_TARP_Sanders_Testimony.pdf
ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo no ka UK a me ka USA ʻaʻole lākou i haʻalele i ka recession, a ʻo ka nui o nā mea i manaʻo ʻia (ma hope o ka hanana o 2008) i ka hoʻāʻo ʻana e hōʻole i ka haʻalele ʻana i nā mana i koho ʻia i nā ʻāina ʻelua no kahi kaumaha e like me ka mokuʻāina i ʻike ʻole ʻia ma hope. nā makahiki 1930.
Inā hiki iaʻu ke hōʻaiʻē i kahi huaʻōlelo ʻAmelika ka UK, ʻEulopa a me USA alakaʻi alakaʻi politika e pono e 'kuʻi' i ko lākou lehulehu e pili ana i kēia kūlana. ʻOiai ke koho balota pōkole hou kā lākou pahuhopu ka mea ʻoiaʻiʻo ka hoʻomau ʻia o nā wahi āpau i kahi pae 'recession' no ʻehā mau makahiki. I loko nō naʻe o ka hoʻokomo nui ʻia o ka hana kālā i ʻike maka ʻia mai ka wā o ka hoʻokumu ʻana o ka ʻōnaehana o kēia au i ka 'ulu' ʻana, e ana ʻia e nā mea hoʻohana nui ʻia. nā hana, nā mea leʻaleʻa, nā hoʻāhu kūpono, ʻaʻole i loaʻa.
Inā haʻalele mākou i nā pūʻulu hoʻopakele āpau a nānā ʻole i nā pōmaikaʻi kānalua o ia mea, aia nō i ka USA i kēia manawa he 48 mau mahina o ke kūleʻa ʻana, aia ʻo UK a me ʻEulopa i ko lākou 35-37th, e hana ana i kēia recession ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi loa i nā wā i hoʻopaʻa ʻia i kēia wā. Makemake paha nā aupuni ʻekolu e noʻonoʻo i ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa ʻana me ka pololei a me kā lākou poʻe koho balota e kū pono ana ma mua o ka hemo ʻana ma waena o ka ʻoiaʻiʻo a me ka wili e like me ka helu ʻole ʻia o kā lākou helu.
recessionukhawaii
« Ua hoʻi anei ʻo UK i kahi kūleʻa? E like me ka EFSF i hoʻohiolo ʻia ai kahi Helene Helene i kēia manawa hiki ʻole ke hiki? »
Ua hoʻi ʻo UK i loko o ke kūleana ʻaʻole i puka mai
Ian 16 • Nā manaʻo ʻōlelo mākeke • 6110 Nānā • 1 Comment ma UK Ua hoʻi i ke kūleʻa ia i hele ʻole mai
Ua hoʻi ʻo UK i loko o ke kūleana ʻaʻole i puka mai. I ka ʻoiaʻiʻo ʻAʻohe ʻokoʻa o USA
Ua loli ka wehewehe ʻana o nā recession i loko o nā makahiki a ʻokoʻa i kēlā me kēia ʻāina a i ka ʻāina a i ka ʻ āinapuniʻole. I ka UK Ua wehewehe ʻia kahi recession ma ke ʻano he ʻelua mau manawa kūlike ʻole o ka ulu maikaʻi ʻole. I ka USA ʻo ke Kōmike Hoʻohui Pōʻaiapuni ʻoihana o ka National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) i ʻike nui ʻia he mana no ka pili ʻana i nā recession US. Hōʻike ka NBER i kahi hoʻokele waiwai e like me:
ʻo ka hōʻemi nui o ka hana hoʻokele i hoʻolaha ʻia ma o ka hoʻokele waiwai, ʻoi aku ka lōʻihi ma mua o kekahi mau mahina, ʻike ʻia ma ka GDP maoli, loaʻa kālā, hana, hana ʻenehana, a me nā kūʻai kūʻai nui.
ʻAneʻane i ka honua holoʻokoʻa, nā kālaihana, nā mea hoʻokele waiwai, nā mea hana kulekele, a me nā ʻoihana e hoʻopaneʻe i ka hoʻoholo ʻana e ka NBER no ka pili kikoʻī o ka hoʻomaka a me ka pau ʻana o ka recession. I ka pōkole inā ulu 'hele hewa' i ka USA a laila aia ka ʻāina i ka recession.
Wahi a nā economists, mai ka 1854, ua hālāwai ka US me 32 mau pōʻaiapuni o ka hoʻonui ʻana a me nā mea hoʻoliʻiliʻi, me ka awelika o 17 mau mahina o ka contraction a me 38 mau mahina o ka hoʻonui ʻana. Eia nō naʻe, mai ka makahiki 1980, ʻewalu wale nō mau manawa o ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai maikaʻi ʻole ma mua o hoʻokahi hapaha kālā a ʻoi paha, a ʻehā mau manawa i manaʻo ʻia he recession.
USA recessed mai 1980
Iulai 1981 - Nowemapa 1982: 14 mau mahina
Iulai 1990 - Malaki 1991: 8 mahina
Malaki 2001 - Nowemapa 2001: 8 mahina
Kekemapa 2007 - Iune 2009: 18 mau mahina
No nā recession ʻekolu i hala iho nei, ua like ka hoʻoholo a ka NBER me ka wehewehe ʻana e pili ana i nā ʻehā hapahā o ka hāʻule. ʻOiai ʻaʻole pili ka resession 2001 i ʻelua mau hapahā o ka hāʻule, ua mua ʻia e nā ʻāpana ʻelua o ka hāʻule hope a me ka ulu nāwaliwali. Ua pau ka US recession o 2007 i ka mahina ʻo Iune, 2009 i ke komo ʻana o ka lāhui i ka hoʻokele waiwai i kēia manawa.
Ua piʻi ka helu o ka hana ʻole ma ka US i ka 8.5 pakeneka ma Malaki 2009, a aia he 5.1 miliona mau nalowale hana a hiki i Malaki 2009 mai ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ke emi ʻana ma Kēkēmapa 2007. ʻO ia ma kahi o ʻelima mau miliona mau kānaka hana ʻole e hoʻohālikelike ʻia i ka makahiki i hala, ʻo ia ka nui lele i kēlā me kēia makahiki i ka helu o ka poʻe hana ʻole mai ka 1940s.
Nā Recses UK mai ka makahiki 1970
Ke pio ʻana o Mid 1970s 1973-5, 2 makahiki (6 mai 9 Qtr). Lawe ʻia i 14 mau hapaha no ka GDP e hoʻi hou ai i kahi kūlana ma ka hoʻomaka o ke kūleʻa ma hope o ka 'dip lua'.
ʻO 1980s ka piʻi ʻana 1980- 1982, 2 makahiki (6 - 7 Qtr). Piʻi ka hana ʻole 124% mai ka 5.3% o ka heluna hana ma Aug 1979 a i ka 11.9% i ka makahiki 1984. Lawe i 13 mau hapaha no GDP e hoʻi hou i kēlā i ka hoʻomaka o 1980. Lawe i 18 mau ʻāpana no ka GDP e hoʻi hou i kēlā i ka hoʻomaka o ka recession.
ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o 1990s 1990-2 1.25 mau makahiki (5 Qtr). Loaʻa ka palena haʻahaʻa o 8% o GDP. Piʻi ka hana ʻole 55% mai ka 6.9% o ka heluna hana i ka makahiki 1990 a i ka 10.7% i ka makahiki 1993. Lawe i 13 mau hapaha no ka GDP e hoʻi hou ai i kēlā i ka hoʻomaka o ka recession.
Ke emi hope 2000, 1.5 makahiki, 6 hapahā. Ua hāʻule ka huahana i 0.5% ma 2010 Q4. Ua piʻi mua ka helu o ka hana ʻole i 8.1% (2.57m poʻe) i ʻAukake 2011, ke kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe loa mai ka makahiki 1994, ua ʻoi aʻe kēia. A ʻo ʻOkakopa 2011, ma hope o ka 14 mau hapaha, aia ka GDP ma kahi o 4% ma lalo o ka piko i ka hoʻomaka o ka recession.
Pehea i kūʻai ʻia ai ka hoʻōla '
Hōʻike nā helu helu recesses USA 2008/2009 i ka stagnated o ka USA a me ka liʻiliʻi o ka 'holomua' maoli i hana ʻia. ʻOiai nā hype āpau a me ke kuhi hewa ʻana ʻo ka ʻoiaʻiʻo aia nō ʻo USA e kū mau ana i ka haʻalele. Ma Malaki 2009 ka hana ʻole he 8.5%, i kēia lā ʻo 8.5% kēia. Ma Malaki 2009 ua lilo ka 5.1 miliona i kā lākou mau hana, kuhi ʻia i kēia manawa aia ma kahi o 9.0 miliona mau poho hana net mai 2007-2012. Me nā hoʻāʻo e wili iā ia inā ʻaʻohe mea like e like me ka 'loaʻa ʻole o ka hana', e paʻa mau ana ka USA i ka ʻauwaha o kahi hohonu hohonu. Pono ka USA e hana i kahi 400,000 mau hana i kēlā me kēia mahina ma luna o kahi wā i mālama ʻia o ʻekolu mau makahiki, i mea e hoʻi ai i mua o ka 2007 mau pae o ka hana.
ʻO nā ʻike a me nā kiʻi, e pili ana i nā bailout, nā hoʻopakele ʻana a me nā papahana hoʻoliʻiliʻi nui ma USA, ua hānai ʻia a ua hanai ʻia paha ka ikaika ma muli o ke komo ʻana o Bloomberg ma o nā ʻaha. Ke neʻe nei i kēlā mau helu ʻaʻole uhi ʻia ke kaupaku hōʻaiʻē. ʻO ka naʻauao i loaʻa no kēlā me kēia ʻelua dālā o ka ulu ulu ʻana ua kūʻai ʻo USA i ʻewalu kālā ʻaiʻē. Ke haʻalele nei i ka hōʻino maoli o ka mana kūʻai mai kēia, ma muli o ka hoʻonui maka huna ʻana, aia ka hōʻike o ke kaupaku ʻaiʻē ma ka ʻeleʻele a me ke keʻokeʻo e pili ana i ke ʻano o ka hoʻōla he kuhihewa ia.
Ua hoʻonui ʻia ke kaupaku ʻaiʻē ma mua o 40% mai ka makahiki 2008. Kuhi ʻia kahi manaʻo he $ 5.2 trillion nui i hāpai ʻia i mea e hoʻokō ai i kahi 'hoʻihoʻi', kahi hoʻihoʻi e ʻike nei i ke ana ʻoi loa (U3) o ka hana ʻole i kahi i hoʻomaka ai. , ma 8.5%. ʻOiai nā bailout āpau a me nā hoʻopakele (malū a paʻi ʻia paha) nā papahana 'tarp' a me ke kaupaku hōʻaiʻē e hoʻāla i ka USA he pālahalaha, ergo ʻaʻole ia i puka i waho o ke kūleʻa, ua hana ʻia kahi hana pili lehulehu.
Kūlike like ka hoʻohālikelike ʻana o UK, e like me ko ʻEulopa. ʻO ka helu o ka hana ʻole ma UK ma 8.5%, eia nō naʻe nā helu hana ʻole ma kā lākou kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe i nā makahiki he ʻumikūmāhiku a e like me kahi anamanaʻo aupuni aia he 3.9 miliona mau ʻohana me ka loaʻa ʻole o ka "loaʻa uku" Aia ma kahi o 4.8 ml mau mākua UK ma waho o nā pono hana a me nā hana 400,000 i loaʻa i kēlā me kēia manawa. A me ka hana ʻana o circa 20 miliona kēia loaʻa ʻana o ka hana ma ke ʻano he helu helu maʻamau o 'churn', 2%. E like me USA, akā ma kahi pālākiō liʻiliʻi, ua hoʻāʻo nā aupuni ʻelua o UK e 'kūʻai i ko lākou ala i waho', e waiho ana iā UK me ka lākiō nui o ka GDP v hōʻaiʻē nui ma luna o 900%, ʻo ka mea ʻino loa ma ʻEulopa kahi (ma kahi ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe) no ke aha e nīnau ai nā mea haʻi ʻōlelo a me nā loea kālai'āina ʻEulopa i ka helu helu AAA a UK.
http://oversight.house.gov/images/stories/Testimony/12-15-11_TARP_Sanders_Testimony.pdf
ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo no ka UK a me ka USA ʻaʻole lākou i haʻalele i ka recession, a ʻo ka nui o nā mea i manaʻo ʻia (ma hope o ka hanana o 2008) i ka hoʻāʻo ʻana e hōʻole i ka haʻalele ʻana i nā mana i koho ʻia i nā ʻāina ʻelua no kahi kaumaha e like me ka mokuʻāina i ʻike ʻole ʻia ma hope. nā makahiki 1930.
Inā hiki iaʻu ke hōʻaiʻē i kahi huaʻōlelo ʻAmelika ka UK, ʻEulopa a me USA alakaʻi alakaʻi politika e pono e 'kuʻi' i ko lākou lehulehu e pili ana i kēia kūlana. ʻOiai ke koho balota pōkole hou kā lākou pahuhopu ka mea ʻoiaʻiʻo ka hoʻomau ʻia o nā wahi āpau i kahi pae 'recession' no ʻehā mau makahiki. I loko nō naʻe o ka hoʻokomo nui ʻia o ka hana kālā i ʻike maka ʻia mai ka wā o ka hoʻokumu ʻana o ka ʻōnaehana o kēia au i ka 'ulu' ʻana, e ana ʻia e nā mea hoʻohana nui ʻia. nā hana, nā mea leʻaleʻa, nā hoʻāhu kūpono, ʻaʻole i loaʻa.
Inā haʻalele mākou i nā pūʻulu hoʻopakele āpau a nānā ʻole i nā pōmaikaʻi kānalua o ia mea, aia nō i ka USA i kēia manawa he 48 mau mahina o ke kūleʻa ʻana, aia ʻo UK a me ʻEulopa i ko lākou 35-37th, e hana ana i kēia recession ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi loa i nā wā i hoʻopaʻa ʻia i kēia wā. Makemake paha nā aupuni ʻekolu e noʻonoʻo i ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa ʻana me ka pololei a me kā lākou poʻe koho balota e kū pono ana ma mua o ka hemo ʻana ma waena o ka ʻoiaʻiʻo a me ka wili e like me ka helu ʻole ʻia o kā lākou helu.
recessionukhawaii
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