Feb 8 • Nā manaʻo ʻōlelo mākeke • 2236 Nānā • Comments Off ma nā ʻike Inflation a me nā hopena GDP ke kia no nā kānaka kālailai a me nā mea kālepa i kēia pule
E nānā nā mea hoʻopukapuka i nā kiʻi COVID-19 a me ka holomua holomua o nā lāʻau i kēia pule. Ua pani ʻia ka mokuna hopena o ka pūʻulu hōʻeuʻeu hou o US ma ka Pōʻalima, Pepeluali 5 ma hope o ka hoʻohana ʻana o Hope Pelekikena Kamala Harris iā ia e hoʻoholo ana i ka 50/50 balota ma ka Senate, i mea e lilo ai ke kōkua kālā i kānāwai.
E lilo ʻo Inflation (CPI) ma ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa a me Kina i kiko nui no nā mea hoʻopukapuka a me nā mea kālepa FX i kēia pule. ʻO kahi ʻohiʻohi haʻahaʻa i ka helu CPI hiki ke lilo i bullish no nā mākeke inā ʻo ka unuhi ka ulu waiwai-nui i ka paipala ʻĀkia a me ka Hemisphere komohana. Pono e hōʻea ʻo Kina i ka 1% mahina ma ka mahina no Ianuali, a ʻo ka US ma 0.2% MoM / 1.4% YoY.
Ua hiki i nā mākeke kaulike ʻo USD a me US ke hoʻomau i nā hālāwai i hōʻike ʻia i nā pule i hala iho nei, i ʻike ai i nā kaulike ma ka flirt NASDAQ 100 me nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe.
Ua mālama ka DXY index index i kona kūlana ma luna o ka helu helu 90.00 koʻikoʻi ma mua o nā pule i hala iho nei, a ʻo ka mahalo paha o USD i koe i loko o ka pahu.
I ka Mei 2020, ua kūʻai aku ka papa kuhikuhi ma luna o 100, i kahi kūpilikiʻi kūpilikiʻi i hoʻomau ʻia, me COVID-19 i kāpae ʻia a hilinaʻi e piʻi kiʻekiʻe nei i ka US hou a me ka hoʻokele waiwai e hoʻi nei, a laila e nānā hou i kahi pae no USD inā hiki ʻAʻole hoʻohui ka Federal Reserve i nā mea hoʻonāukiuki hou aʻe.
Ua paʻi ʻia nā helu Q4 GDP no ka UK i kēia pule, a hiki i nā hoʻohālikelike ma waena o ʻelua mau waiwai pili kokoke ke ʻano koʻikoʻi. Wanana nā Reuters i nā hopena Q4 no ka UK o -2.2% me ka makahiki GDP 2020 o -8.0%. ʻO ka manaʻo o ka Euro Area he -0.7% no ka hapaha hope o 2020, me ka makahiki hope e heluhelu ana i -5%.
I kēia manawa, ua lawe ke kiaʻāina ʻo Bank of ʻEnelani ʻo Andrew Bailey i ka lewa a me nā keʻena kīwī i ka pule i hala aku nei a ma ka hopena pule e kūʻai aku i ka ulu Q3 2021 e hoʻonui ʻia e ka hoʻolilo kālā ʻana, ʻoiai e heʻe mālie ana i kahi helu i manaʻo ʻia he -4% contraction no ka ulu mua o ka hapaha 2021, ke hoʻomaka nei i kahi kūlou pālua.
Ma hea e hoʻonui ai ka hoʻonui kālā Q3 ma muli o ka wānana BoE 7.3% no ka hana ʻole ma UK e Mei i kēia makahiki he hoihoi. ʻO ka hopena ma kahi o ʻelima miliona ma ka haʻalele-hoʻomaha (a hiki i ʻApelila) a me ka mea i manaʻo ʻia he ʻelima miliona ma Universal Credit a i ʻole he pōmaikaʻi hana ʻole, kahi ʻāpana o ka pūʻulu e makemake e hoʻolilo i kā lākou waihona mālama kālā.
Ua kākoʻo ka BoE i kā lākou mau wanaʻao ma nā kumu COVID-19 ʻelua, lockdown a me nā lāʻau āpau e hana nei e hana i kahi hoʻokele waiwai kokoke a me ke kaiāulu UK. ʻO kēlā koi he manaʻolana koʻikoʻi a maʻalahi hoʻi ia. ʻAʻole ia e noʻonoʻo i ka hopena o Brexit, kahi e pā nei i ka UK mai kona lā haʻalele Ianuali 1.
Ke lawe aku nei ʻo UK i 68% i kēia manawa i ka EA, a 75% o nā lorries e huakaʻi mai UK a i (a i ʻole hoʻi i ka) EA nele. Pono paha e helu ʻo Mr Bailey i kēlā ʻikepili i loko o kāna mau manaʻo hoʻōla rosy post-COVID-19.
Ua hoʻopaʻa ʻo Sterling i nā loaʻa nui ma mua o kekahi mau hoa i nā pule i hala iho nei, ua iho ka EUR / GBP -3.19% i kēlā me kēia mahina, ʻoiai ʻo GBP / USD e piʻi nei i 0.87%, piʻi ʻo GBP / JPY 3.07%, a piʻi ʻo GBP / CHF i 3.18%.
Hiki i ka GBP optimism ke mae inā loaʻa nā wanana o Q4 a me Q1 GDP, e komo ana i ka BoE ma o ka QE hou aʻe a me ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana i ka helu o ke kumu pae 0.1% ma lalo o ka ʻole no ka manawa mua ma ka mōʻaukala
ʻO ka Pōʻakahi, ʻo Pepeluali 8 kahi lā mālie no ka nūhou kalena waiwai. Ua paʻi ʻia nā helu hana hana hou o Kelemania, a ua heleleʻi ka wānana aelike mai nā keʻena nūhou like ʻole mai 0.9% i Nowemapa a i 0.3% i Kēkēmapa. ʻOiai i helu ʻia ma ke ʻano he hopena hopena kiʻekiʻe ke ʻole he haʻalulu ka metric, ʻaʻole paha e neʻe ka leo ma nā helu EUR. Ma 4:15 PM UK manawa Pelekikena Lagarde o ka ECB i hāʻawi i kahi haʻi ʻōlelo, a hiki i kēia hanana ke neʻe i nā mākeke kaulike ʻo euro a me EU e pili ana i kāna ʻike. E uhi paha ʻo Ms Lagarde i ke kumuhana o ke kulekele kālā, hāʻawi i ke alakaʻi i mua akā kāpae ʻia ka "kala kala hōʻaiʻē" no nā lāhui EA liʻiliʻi e pili ana i kāna mau nīnauele me nā paʻi kālā like ʻole i ka hopena pule.
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ʻO ka ʻikepili kūpikipiki a me nā hopena GDP ke kia no nā loiloi a me nā mea kālepa i kēia pule
Feb 8 • Nā manaʻo ʻōlelo mākeke • 2236 Nānā • Comments Off ma nā ʻike Inflation a me nā hopena GDP ke kia no nā kānaka kālailai a me nā mea kālepa i kēia pule
E nānā nā mea hoʻopukapuka i nā kiʻi COVID-19 a me ka holomua holomua o nā lāʻau i kēia pule. Ua pani ʻia ka mokuna hopena o ka pūʻulu hōʻeuʻeu hou o US ma ka Pōʻalima, Pepeluali 5 ma hope o ka hoʻohana ʻana o Hope Pelekikena Kamala Harris iā ia e hoʻoholo ana i ka 50/50 balota ma ka Senate, i mea e lilo ai ke kōkua kālā i kānāwai.
E lilo ʻo Inflation (CPI) ma ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa a me Kina i kiko nui no nā mea hoʻopukapuka a me nā mea kālepa FX i kēia pule. ʻO kahi ʻohiʻohi haʻahaʻa i ka helu CPI hiki ke lilo i bullish no nā mākeke inā ʻo ka unuhi ka ulu waiwai-nui i ka paipala ʻĀkia a me ka Hemisphere komohana. Pono e hōʻea ʻo Kina i ka 1% mahina ma ka mahina no Ianuali, a ʻo ka US ma 0.2% MoM / 1.4% YoY.
Ua hiki i nā mākeke kaulike ʻo USD a me US ke hoʻomau i nā hālāwai i hōʻike ʻia i nā pule i hala iho nei, i ʻike ai i nā kaulike ma ka flirt NASDAQ 100 me nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe.
Ua mālama ka DXY index index i kona kūlana ma luna o ka helu helu 90.00 koʻikoʻi ma mua o nā pule i hala iho nei, a ʻo ka mahalo paha o USD i koe i loko o ka pahu.
I ka Mei 2020, ua kūʻai aku ka papa kuhikuhi ma luna o 100, i kahi kūpilikiʻi kūpilikiʻi i hoʻomau ʻia, me COVID-19 i kāpae ʻia a hilinaʻi e piʻi kiʻekiʻe nei i ka US hou a me ka hoʻokele waiwai e hoʻi nei, a laila e nānā hou i kahi pae no USD inā hiki ʻAʻole hoʻohui ka Federal Reserve i nā mea hoʻonāukiuki hou aʻe.
Ua paʻi ʻia nā helu Q4 GDP no ka UK i kēia pule, a hiki i nā hoʻohālikelike ma waena o ʻelua mau waiwai pili kokoke ke ʻano koʻikoʻi. Wanana nā Reuters i nā hopena Q4 no ka UK o -2.2% me ka makahiki GDP 2020 o -8.0%. ʻO ka manaʻo o ka Euro Area he -0.7% no ka hapaha hope o 2020, me ka makahiki hope e heluhelu ana i -5%.
I kēia manawa, ua lawe ke kiaʻāina ʻo Bank of ʻEnelani ʻo Andrew Bailey i ka lewa a me nā keʻena kīwī i ka pule i hala aku nei a ma ka hopena pule e kūʻai aku i ka ulu Q3 2021 e hoʻonui ʻia e ka hoʻolilo kālā ʻana, ʻoiai e heʻe mālie ana i kahi helu i manaʻo ʻia he -4% contraction no ka ulu mua o ka hapaha 2021, ke hoʻomaka nei i kahi kūlou pālua.
Ma hea e hoʻonui ai ka hoʻonui kālā Q3 ma muli o ka wānana BoE 7.3% no ka hana ʻole ma UK e Mei i kēia makahiki he hoihoi. ʻO ka hopena ma kahi o ʻelima miliona ma ka haʻalele-hoʻomaha (a hiki i ʻApelila) a me ka mea i manaʻo ʻia he ʻelima miliona ma Universal Credit a i ʻole he pōmaikaʻi hana ʻole, kahi ʻāpana o ka pūʻulu e makemake e hoʻolilo i kā lākou waihona mālama kālā.
Ua kākoʻo ka BoE i kā lākou mau wanaʻao ma nā kumu COVID-19 ʻelua, lockdown a me nā lāʻau āpau e hana nei e hana i kahi hoʻokele waiwai kokoke a me ke kaiāulu UK. ʻO kēlā koi he manaʻolana koʻikoʻi a maʻalahi hoʻi ia. ʻAʻole ia e noʻonoʻo i ka hopena o Brexit, kahi e pā nei i ka UK mai kona lā haʻalele Ianuali 1.
Ke lawe aku nei ʻo UK i 68% i kēia manawa i ka EA, a 75% o nā lorries e huakaʻi mai UK a i (a i ʻole hoʻi i ka) EA nele. Pono paha e helu ʻo Mr Bailey i kēlā ʻikepili i loko o kāna mau manaʻo hoʻōla rosy post-COVID-19.
Ua hoʻopaʻa ʻo Sterling i nā loaʻa nui ma mua o kekahi mau hoa i nā pule i hala iho nei, ua iho ka EUR / GBP -3.19% i kēlā me kēia mahina, ʻoiai ʻo GBP / USD e piʻi nei i 0.87%, piʻi ʻo GBP / JPY 3.07%, a piʻi ʻo GBP / CHF i 3.18%.
Hiki i ka GBP optimism ke mae inā loaʻa nā wanana o Q4 a me Q1 GDP, e komo ana i ka BoE ma o ka QE hou aʻe a me ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana i ka helu o ke kumu pae 0.1% ma lalo o ka ʻole no ka manawa mua ma ka mōʻaukala
ʻO ka Pōʻakahi, ʻo Pepeluali 8 kahi lā mālie no ka nūhou kalena waiwai. Ua paʻi ʻia nā helu hana hana hou o Kelemania, a ua heleleʻi ka wānana aelike mai nā keʻena nūhou like ʻole mai 0.9% i Nowemapa a i 0.3% i Kēkēmapa. ʻOiai i helu ʻia ma ke ʻano he hopena hopena kiʻekiʻe ke ʻole he haʻalulu ka metric, ʻaʻole paha e neʻe ka leo ma nā helu EUR. Ma 4:15 PM UK manawa Pelekikena Lagarde o ka ECB i hāʻawi i kahi haʻi ʻōlelo, a hiki i kēia hanana ke neʻe i nā mākeke kaulike ʻo euro a me EU e pili ana i kāna ʻike. E uhi paha ʻo Ms Lagarde i ke kumuhana o ke kulekele kālā, hāʻawi i ke alakaʻi i mua akā kāpae ʻia ka "kala kala hōʻaiʻē" no nā lāhui EA liʻiliʻi e pili ana i kāna mau nīnauele me nā paʻi kālā like ʻole i ka hopena pule.
« Nā Hanana ʻIkepili Forex, He aha e koho ai? He aha ka Index Index? »