Sasar da ba za a iya tsammani ba / GBP
Jiya, an yi siyar da kyau, duk da cewa labaran da ke shigowa daga Burtaniya ba su tallafawa kudin. Rashin tabbas game da sakamakon taron kungiyar tarayyar Turai shi ne ginshikin abin da ya shafi kasuwanci a manyan kudaden ketare na Euro. Koyaya, Sterling ya kasance mafi tsayi. EUR / GBP ya kasance a kan yanayin ƙasa a hankali a yayin zaman safiya duk da cewa EUR / USD sun nuna ƙasa da yanayin shugabanci. Bayanai na kasafin kudin Burtaniya sun fito mafi muni fiye da yadda ake tsammani amma wannan bai hana ribar sterling ba. A wani bayyani da ya gabatar a gaban kwamitin majalisar da dama daga cikin mambobin kungiyar BoE da suka hada da gwamna King ya nuna cewa hangen nesa ga Burtaniya na kara tabarbarewa. Wannan ya bar ƙofa a buɗe ga BoE don haɓaka tattalin arzikin gaba a taron Yuli. Koyaya, ana ganin cewa babu cikakkiyar yarjejeniya har yanzu akan nau'in wannan tallafi.
Duk da raunin bayanan kuɗaɗen gwamnati da ra'ayoyi daga BoE Gwamna game da ra'ayinsa game da tattalin arzikin duniya abin tambaya ya taso, Shin BoE yana ƙara yin taka tsantsan kan QE?
Rashin gibin Burtaniya, wanda ya fadi fiye da yadda ake tsammani sakamakon ragin rarar haraji, ya kara wa hadari mai yuwuwar kasancewar akwai cewa Burtaniya na ci gaba da kasancewa cikin mummunan ra'ayi daga manyan cibiyoyin kimantawa guda uku (duk da cewa akwai na AAA daga kowa). A halin yanzu, Gwamna King ya nuna damuwa kan fadada faduwar tattalin arziki, saboda ba da jinkirin da aka yi a Asiya da tabarbarewar ci gaban Amurka. Sarki ya zabi karin sayen kadara a taron MPC na baya-bayan nan a watan Yuni, kuma yana da yuwuwar cewa masu rinjaye za su yi nasarar fadada shirin sayan kadarar a taro na gaba a watan Yuli.
Daga baya a zaman, ƙarin asarar kuɗi na EUR / USD sun auna akan kasuwancin EUR / GBP, suma. EUR / GBP sun kai ƙaramar rana a cikin yankin 0.7985 kuma sun rufe zaman a 0.7986, idan aka kwatanta da 0.8029 a yammacin Litinin.
A yau, kalandar Burtaniya ta ƙunshi rancen BBA don siyan gida da kuma kasuwancin CBI masu rarraba. Don CBI ana tsammanin raguwa daga 21 zuwa 15. Daga ƙarshen, ciniki a cikin ƙimar giciye na EUR / GBP ba shi da tasiri ƙarancin bayanan eco mai rauni da kuma hasashe game da ƙarin kuɗaɗen kuɗi. Ba mu da wata alama da ke nuna cewa ya kamata wannan salon ya canza kowane lokaci nan ba da jimawa ba. Kamar yadda lamarin yake don EUR / USD, EUR / GBP yana zuwa kusa da matakan tallafi masu mahimmanci. Yankin 0.7968 / 50 yanki ne mai ƙarfi. Don haka, za a iya buƙatar wasu manyan labarai marasa kyau daga Turai don share wannan matakin. Ana iya la'akari da ɗan gajeren riba akan EUR / GBP idan za'a gwada wannan maɓallin yankin.
Daga ra'ayi na fasaha, ƙimar giciye ta EUR / GBP ta haɓaka bayan tallan da aka fara a watan Fabrairu. A farkon watan Mayu, an cire maɓallin tallafi na 0.8068. Wannan hutun ya buɗe hanya don yiwuwar dawo da aiki zuwa yankin 0.77 (Oktoba 2008 ƙasa). Tsakiyar Mayu, ma'auratan sun saita ƙarancin gyara a 0.7950. Daga can, aka sake bugawa / gajarta matsi. Ci gaba da ciniki sama da yankin 0.8100 zai kashe faɗakarwar ƙasa da haɓaka hoton ɗan gajeren lokaci. Ma'auratan sun yi ƙoƙari sau da yawa don sake dawo da wannan yankin, amma ba a sami fa'idodin bi ta hanyar ba tukuna. Na ƙarshen, mun duba don siyarwa cikin ƙarfi don dawo da aiki ƙasa da kewayon. Bottomasan zangon yanzu yana zuwa cikin tazara mai nisa. Don haka, mun ƙara ɗan tsaka tsaki akan gajeren gajeren wando na EUR / GBP.
« Danyen Mai ya fadi kasa yayin da iskar Gas ke tashi Binciken Kasuwa Yuni 28 2012 »
