Satumba 15 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 6697 • Comments Off akan Sunan Jarin, Eurobond
Shugaban Hukumar Tarayyar Turai Jose Manuel Barroso yana da tsari kuma yana samun goyan bayan wasu manyan mutane a matsayin 'shirin ceto' don matsalar bashin Euroland sannan kuma manyan bankunan Turai suna fuskanta. Manufar ita ce fitar da “kudin Euro” a matsayin wata hanya ta danyen aiki don 'tattaro' dukkannin radadin da raba nauyi a dukkan kasashe mambobi goma sha bakwai na Tarayyar Turai.
Ministan kudi na kasar Italia ya bayyana shi a matsayin "babban maganin" matsalar bashin kasashen Turai. Manyan mutane a duniyar kudi, gami da hamshakin attajirin nan da kuma mai kirkirar kudin kasar George Soros, sun baiwa Eurobonds albarka da goyon baya. Don haka menene kama kuma me yasa babbar adawa daga wasu bangarori? Me yasa Jamus ke ta maimaita nuna adawa ga duk ra'ayin Eurobonds?
Maganin Eurobond yana da kyau cikin sauki. Wasu gwamnatocin Turai suna ganin yana daɗa tsada idan rance daga kasuwannin kuɗi. Yayin da tattalin arzikinsu ya tsaya cak, kuma suke wahala karkashin dimbin bashi da bukatun rance, kudin aron ya zama tilas. Girka tana bin lamuni na shekara biyu a kan kashi 25% yayin da Jamus ta sami damar cin bashi a cikin mafi ƙarancin riba na shekaru sittin. Shakka babu wannan yana nuna irin ƙididdigar tattalin arzikin ƙasar ta Jamus, amma, matsalolin tsarin cikin kuɗin Euro sun jefa turawan kudancin Turai cikin mawuyacin hali. Maganin hada-hadar kudin Euro shine ga dukkan gwamnatocin kasashe masu amfani da kudin Euro su hada gwiwa su tabbatar da bashin junan su, ta hanyar lamunin bai daya. A yin haka duk gwamnatoci na iya yin rance bisa tsari da kuma tsada ɗaya.
Babban haɓaka ga shirin na Eurobond bai fito daga ƙasashe membobin ba amma daga jami'an China waɗanda da alama a ƙarshe suka ƙarar da launukan su a kan masar. China a bayyane take ta sayi lamunin Euro daga kasashen da ke cikin rikicin bashi. Zhang Xiaoqiang, mataimakin shugaban babbar hukumar tsara tattalin arzikin kasar, ya ba da goyon baya a taron tattalin arzikin duniya a Dalian tare da kalamai na goyon baya daga Firayim Minista Wen Jiabao a farkon makon a wannan taron.
Akwai fiye da alamar zato cewa asalin abin da ya ƙi amincewa da Jamus kamar siyasa ce ta cikin gida. Shugabannin Jamusawa babu shakka suna lura da yawan ci gaban GDP na kasarsu a cikin makwannin da suka gabata kuma sun fahimci cewa durkushewar Euro ba zai iya zama "mai tsari" ba zai kasance cikin rudani, musamman ga Jamus. Masu sharhi game da kasuwa sun gabatar da adadi na rage kashi ashirin da biyar na kasuwanci da GDP. Duk da tub din da ke bugun kirji na nuna wariyar launin fata wanda aka buga a jaridun jaridun Jamus madadin madadin ceton ajiya babu shi, babu wata dabara a ciki B. Saboda haka shirin A yana bukatar a sayar wa Jamusawan masu shakku.
Wataƙila tattara hankalinsu gaba ɗaya kan karuwar rashin aikin yi kwanan nan da tunatar da al'ummar Jamusawa cewa idan wasu abokan tarayyar Turai suka sauka suka ɗauki Jamus da su za su isa. Maganganun motsin rai na; Italiya, Spain, Girka, Fotigal, Ireland, (PIIGS na gama gari) suna son 'tafiya kyauta' a bayan kyakkyawan tsarin tafiyar da harkokin tattalin arziki da tsarin tattalin arziƙin Jamus yana buƙatar ɓarna kuma yana da kyau shugabar gwamnati Merkel ta fara wannan tattaunawa da labarin nan da nan. zai yiwu. Tare da wannan a tunanin Ms Merkel da Shugaba Sarkozy na Faransa sun bayyana cewa an hade su yau da safiyar yau bisa jajircewarsu da kuma yakinin cewa Girka ba za ta bar Euro ba.
Babban bankin Switzerland ya ci gaba da rike matsayin da yake ba shi. Masu tsara manufofin SNB sun rage farashin bashi daga 0.25 bisa dari a watan da ya gabata yayin da suke bunkasa ruwa zuwa kasuwannin kudi don taimakawa rage karfin franc. Babban bankin Switzerland na karshe ya gabatar da 'kudin tafiya' a cikin 1978 don tsayar da nasarori akan alamar Deutsche. Duk da cewa ba a kira shi da “rufe” zanga-zangar da babban bankin ya yi kwanan nan ba, cewa zai iya zuwa kowane fanni don kiyaye franc ya shiga kusan 1.20 da Yuro, daidai yake. Wataƙila a cikin tsammanin wannan ƙimar tushen ƙimar Euro ɗin ta sami riba a kan franc a cikin zaman tattaunawar kasuwanci biyu da suka gabata.
Kasuwannin Asiya sun sami (galibi) riba mai kyau a cikin kasuwancin dare / sanyin safiya, Nikkei ya rufe 1.76% kuma Hang Seng ya rufe 0.71%. CSI ya rufe 0.15%. Indididdigar Turai sun sami gagarumar nasara a kasuwancin safiya, STOXX ya ci gaba 2.12%, CAC 2.01%, DAX 2.13%. ftse ya tashi 1.68%. Farashin danyen Brent ya tashi $ 150 a ganga, zinare ya sauka kusan $ 5 ko ɗaya. SPX na gaba yana ba da shawarar buɗe kusan 0.5% sama. Kasuwannin kuɗi sun ɗan daidaita, dala Aussia tana kasancewa sanannen banda tare da faɗuwar dare da daddare. Idan muka juya zuwa kasuwannin Amurka akwai rafin bayanan da za a buga da yammacin yau wanda zai iya shafar jin ra'ayi.
13:30 US - CPI Aug.
13:30 US - Asusun Yanzu na 2Q
13:30 US - Fihirisar Kirkirar Masarautar Satumba
13:30 US - Da farko da Ci gaba da Da'awar rashin aikin yi
14:15 US - Kirkirar Masana'antu Aug.
14:15 US - Amfani da acarfin aiki Aug.
15: 00 US - Philly Fed Satumba
Adadin CPI ana hasashen zai kasance mai daidaituwar wata a wata, hasashe na ga adadi na shekara-shekara ya kasance ba canzawa a 3.6%.
Lambobin farko da ci gaba da neman lambobin za su kasance masu sha'awar gaske. Binciken Bloomberg ya yi hasashen adadi na farko na da'awar rashin aiki na 411K, wannan idan aka kwatanta shi da na baya na 414K. Wani binciken makamancin haka yayi hasashen 3710K don ci gaba da da'awar, idan aka kwatanta da adadi na 3717K da ya gabata.
An dauki Philly Fed a matsayin 'farkon' batun abinda sauran bayanan zasu iya bayyana, ana gudanar da binciken tun shekarar 1968 kuma ya kunshi tambayoyi da yawa kamar aikin yi, lokutan aiki, umarni, kayan kwalliya da farashi. Binciken Bloomberg na masana tattalin arziki ya ba da tsaka-tsakin tsaka-tsakin -15. A watan da ya gabata lissafin ya shigo -30.7.
rikicin Eurofxccsharhin kasuwa
« Jirgin Kudi da Jan Hakoran Zinare Girka ita ce Kalmar yayin da Haɗarin Rushewar Duniya ke ƙaruwa zuwa DEFCON 4 »
Jarin sunan, Eurobond
Satumba 15 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 6697 • Comments Off akan Sunan Jarin, Eurobond
Shugaban Hukumar Tarayyar Turai Jose Manuel Barroso yana da tsari kuma yana samun goyan bayan wasu manyan mutane a matsayin 'shirin ceto' don matsalar bashin Euroland sannan kuma manyan bankunan Turai suna fuskanta. Manufar ita ce fitar da “kudin Euro” a matsayin wata hanya ta danyen aiki don 'tattaro' dukkannin radadin da raba nauyi a dukkan kasashe mambobi goma sha bakwai na Tarayyar Turai.
Ministan kudi na kasar Italia ya bayyana shi a matsayin "babban maganin" matsalar bashin kasashen Turai. Manyan mutane a duniyar kudi, gami da hamshakin attajirin nan da kuma mai kirkirar kudin kasar George Soros, sun baiwa Eurobonds albarka da goyon baya. Don haka menene kama kuma me yasa babbar adawa daga wasu bangarori? Me yasa Jamus ke ta maimaita nuna adawa ga duk ra'ayin Eurobonds?
Maganin Eurobond yana da kyau cikin sauki. Wasu gwamnatocin Turai suna ganin yana daɗa tsada idan rance daga kasuwannin kuɗi. Yayin da tattalin arzikinsu ya tsaya cak, kuma suke wahala karkashin dimbin bashi da bukatun rance, kudin aron ya zama tilas. Girka tana bin lamuni na shekara biyu a kan kashi 25% yayin da Jamus ta sami damar cin bashi a cikin mafi ƙarancin riba na shekaru sittin. Shakka babu wannan yana nuna irin ƙididdigar tattalin arzikin ƙasar ta Jamus, amma, matsalolin tsarin cikin kuɗin Euro sun jefa turawan kudancin Turai cikin mawuyacin hali. Maganin hada-hadar kudin Euro shine ga dukkan gwamnatocin kasashe masu amfani da kudin Euro su hada gwiwa su tabbatar da bashin junan su, ta hanyar lamunin bai daya. A yin haka duk gwamnatoci na iya yin rance bisa tsari da kuma tsada ɗaya.
Babban haɓaka ga shirin na Eurobond bai fito daga ƙasashe membobin ba amma daga jami'an China waɗanda da alama a ƙarshe suka ƙarar da launukan su a kan masar. China a bayyane take ta sayi lamunin Euro daga kasashen da ke cikin rikicin bashi. Zhang Xiaoqiang, mataimakin shugaban babbar hukumar tsara tattalin arzikin kasar, ya ba da goyon baya a taron tattalin arzikin duniya a Dalian tare da kalamai na goyon baya daga Firayim Minista Wen Jiabao a farkon makon a wannan taron.
Akwai fiye da alamar zato cewa asalin abin da ya ƙi amincewa da Jamus kamar siyasa ce ta cikin gida. Shugabannin Jamusawa babu shakka suna lura da yawan ci gaban GDP na kasarsu a cikin makwannin da suka gabata kuma sun fahimci cewa durkushewar Euro ba zai iya zama "mai tsari" ba zai kasance cikin rudani, musamman ga Jamus. Masu sharhi game da kasuwa sun gabatar da adadi na rage kashi ashirin da biyar na kasuwanci da GDP. Duk da tub din da ke bugun kirji na nuna wariyar launin fata wanda aka buga a jaridun jaridun Jamus madadin madadin ceton ajiya babu shi, babu wata dabara a ciki B. Saboda haka shirin A yana bukatar a sayar wa Jamusawan masu shakku.
Wataƙila tattara hankalinsu gaba ɗaya kan karuwar rashin aikin yi kwanan nan da tunatar da al'ummar Jamusawa cewa idan wasu abokan tarayyar Turai suka sauka suka ɗauki Jamus da su za su isa. Maganganun motsin rai na; Italiya, Spain, Girka, Fotigal, Ireland, (PIIGS na gama gari) suna son 'tafiya kyauta' a bayan kyakkyawan tsarin tafiyar da harkokin tattalin arziki da tsarin tattalin arziƙin Jamus yana buƙatar ɓarna kuma yana da kyau shugabar gwamnati Merkel ta fara wannan tattaunawa da labarin nan da nan. zai yiwu. Tare da wannan a tunanin Ms Merkel da Shugaba Sarkozy na Faransa sun bayyana cewa an hade su yau da safiyar yau bisa jajircewarsu da kuma yakinin cewa Girka ba za ta bar Euro ba.
Babban bankin Switzerland ya ci gaba da rike matsayin da yake ba shi. Masu tsara manufofin SNB sun rage farashin bashi daga 0.25 bisa dari a watan da ya gabata yayin da suke bunkasa ruwa zuwa kasuwannin kudi don taimakawa rage karfin franc. Babban bankin Switzerland na karshe ya gabatar da 'kudin tafiya' a cikin 1978 don tsayar da nasarori akan alamar Deutsche. Duk da cewa ba a kira shi da “rufe” zanga-zangar da babban bankin ya yi kwanan nan ba, cewa zai iya zuwa kowane fanni don kiyaye franc ya shiga kusan 1.20 da Yuro, daidai yake. Wataƙila a cikin tsammanin wannan ƙimar tushen ƙimar Euro ɗin ta sami riba a kan franc a cikin zaman tattaunawar kasuwanci biyu da suka gabata.
Kasuwannin Asiya sun sami (galibi) riba mai kyau a cikin kasuwancin dare / sanyin safiya, Nikkei ya rufe 1.76% kuma Hang Seng ya rufe 0.71%. CSI ya rufe 0.15%. Indididdigar Turai sun sami gagarumar nasara a kasuwancin safiya, STOXX ya ci gaba 2.12%, CAC 2.01%, DAX 2.13%. ftse ya tashi 1.68%. Farashin danyen Brent ya tashi $ 150 a ganga, zinare ya sauka kusan $ 5 ko ɗaya. SPX na gaba yana ba da shawarar buɗe kusan 0.5% sama. Kasuwannin kuɗi sun ɗan daidaita, dala Aussia tana kasancewa sanannen banda tare da faɗuwar dare da daddare. Idan muka juya zuwa kasuwannin Amurka akwai rafin bayanan da za a buga da yammacin yau wanda zai iya shafar jin ra'ayi.
13:30 US - CPI Aug.
13:30 US - Asusun Yanzu na 2Q
13:30 US - Fihirisar Kirkirar Masarautar Satumba
13:30 US - Da farko da Ci gaba da Da'awar rashin aikin yi
14:15 US - Kirkirar Masana'antu Aug.
14:15 US - Amfani da acarfin aiki Aug.
15: 00 US - Philly Fed Satumba
Lambobin farko da ci gaba da neman lambobin za su kasance masu sha'awar gaske. Binciken Bloomberg ya yi hasashen adadi na farko na da'awar rashin aiki na 411K, wannan idan aka kwatanta shi da na baya na 414K. Wani binciken makamancin haka yayi hasashen 3710K don ci gaba da da'awar, idan aka kwatanta da adadi na 3717K da ya gabata.
An dauki Philly Fed a matsayin 'farkon' batun abinda sauran bayanan zasu iya bayyana, ana gudanar da binciken tun shekarar 1968 kuma ya kunshi tambayoyi da yawa kamar aikin yi, lokutan aiki, umarni, kayan kwalliya da farashi. Binciken Bloomberg na masana tattalin arziki ya ba da tsaka-tsakin tsaka-tsakin -15. A watan da ya gabata lissafin ya shigo -30.7.
rikicin Eurofxccsharhin kasuwa
« Jirgin Kudi da Jan Hakoran Zinare Girka ita ce Kalmar yayin da Haɗarin Rushewar Duniya ke ƙaruwa zuwa DEFCON 4 »