Ingabe i-RBA, ibhange elikhulu lase-Australia, izokwehlisa izinga lemali libe ngu-1.25% lisuka ku-1.50%, futhi idola lase-Aussie lizosabela kanjani uma lenza kanjalo?

UJun 3 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-3328 • Amazwana Off kokuthi Ingabe i-RBA, ibhange elikhulu lase-Australia, izonciphisa izinga lemali libe ngu-1.25% lisuka ku-1.50%, futhi lizosabela kanjani idola lase-Aussie uma lenza kanjalo?

Ngo-5:30am ngesikhathi sase-UK, ngoLwesibili mhla zizi-4 kuJuni, i-RBA, iBhangengodla lase-Australia, izomemezela isinqumo sayo mayelana nenani lenzalo elibalulekile lezwe. I-RBA igcine izinga lemali lisezingeni eliphansi ngamaphesenti angu-1.5 ekupheleni komhlangano wabo kaMeyi, yelula isikhathi esirekhodiwe sokungenzi lutho kwenqubomgomo yezimali futhi yaphikisana nanoma yikuphi ukuqagela kokuthi ibhange elikhulu lingase lehlise inqubomgomo yalo yezimali, kulandela izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali lishoda izibikezelo, phakathi nekota yokuqala ka-2019.

Amalungu ekomiti le-RBA ahlala eqiniseka ngoMeyi, ukuthi isibalo sokwehla kwamandla emali esiyinhloko sango-2019 sizoba cishe ku-2%, sisekelwa ukwenyuka kwamanani kawoyela, kuyilapho bebikezela ukuthi izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali lizoba cishe ku-1.75% ngo-2019 kanye no-2% ngo-2020. bakholelwa ukuthi asekhona amandla asele emnothweni wase-Australia, kodwa ukuthi kwakudingeka enye intuthuko emakethe yezemisebenzi, ukuze ukwehla kwamandla emali kuhambisane nalokho okuhlosiwe.

Abahlaziyi bezimakethe nabahwebi bazobe befuna ukuhlukana nalokho mgomo wenqubomgomo kaMeyi, ngemva kokuba isimemezelo sezinga sisakazwa, lapho i-RBA ikhipha izitatimende futhi ibamba umhlangano wabezindaba. Umbono wokuvumelana obanjelwe kabanzi, ngemuva kokuthi izikhungo zezindaba iBloomberg kanye neReuters zisanda kuvota iqembu labo lezomnotho, ngowokwehliswa kwezinga lenzalo, lisuka ku-1.5% liye ku-1.25%, elingamela irekhodi elisha eliphansi ebhange eliphakathi lase-Australia futhi. umnotho.

I-RBA ingase ithethelele ukwehliswa kwayo kwenani lemali ngo-0.25%, ngokukhomba idatha ewohlokayo yakamuva, yasekhaya, yezomnotho kanye nomthelela oqeda amandla impi yezohwebo yase-USA-China kanye nentela enawo emnothweni wase-Australia, othembele kakhulu emakethe yayo yokuthekelisa. ukuya e-China, ikakhulukazi ezimpahleni ezilinywayo namaminerali. Ukukhula kwe-GDP e-Australia kwehle kwaya ku-0.2% ku-Q4 2018, ukwehla okukhulu kusuka ku-1.1% okurekhodiwe ku-Q1 2018, okuphrinte isibalo esibi kakhulu sokukhula kwekota kusukela ngo-Q3 2016. Kuwo wonke unyaka kuya kwikota yesine, umnotho ukhule ngo-2.3%, okuyisibalo esihamba kancane kakhulu ijubane kusukela ngekota kaJuni wezi-2017, ngemuva kokukhula okubuyekezwe phansi okungu-2.7% esikhathini esedlule, okungene ngaphansi kwesibikezelo semakethe sika-2.5%. Ukwehla kwamandla emali ku-1.3% minyaka yonke, kwehle kusuka ku-1.8%, okuqopha isilinganiso esingu-0.00% ngoMashi. I-PMI yokukhiqiza yakamuva yehle yaya ku-52.7.

Naphezu kokubikezela okukhulu okuvela kosomnotho ngokuncishiswa kwenani lemali, kusukela ku-1.5% kuya ku-1.25%, i-RBA ingagcina impushana yabo yomile futhi igweme ukusika, kuze kube yilapho isiqondiso samanje somnotho sichazwa ngokucacile. Kungenjalo, bangasebenzisa ukuncipha emizamweni yabo yokudlulela phambili kunoma yiziphi izinsongo ezisemkhathizwe, enhlalakahleni yezomnotho yezwe.

Ngenxa yokubikezelwa kokusikwa, abahlaziyi be-FX nabahwebi bazogxila esimemezelweni, njengoba isinqumo sihanjiswa ngo-5: 30am isikhathi sase-UK. Ukuqagela ngenani le-AUD kuzoqina ngaphambi, ngesikhathi nangemva kokukhishwa kwesinqumo. Kufanele futhi kuqashelwe ukuthi ngezikhathi lapho ibhange elikhulu likhiphe isiqondiso sangaphambili, esiphakamisa ushintsho kunqubomgomo yezimali, uma lungekho ushintsho olulandelayo olumenyezelwayo, uhlobo lwemali lusengakwazi ukusabela ngokucijile, uma kukhona ukulungisa osekufakwe inani.

Amazwana zivaliwe.

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