Ngabe ukukhishwa kokuqala kwe-NFP kwe-2018 kuzoqhubeka nokuthambekela kwakamuva kwezindaba zezomnotho eziyisisekelo ezise-USA?
NgoLwesihlanu ngoJanuwari 5 ngo-13: 30 GMT, kuzoshicilelwa imininingwane yokuqala yeNon Farm Payroll yonyaka. Lesi sibikezelo, esivela kubacwaningi abavotelwe yi-ejensi yezindaba iReuters, sibikezela ukuthi kuzokwenyuka u-188k ngoDisemba, ukuwa kwemisebenzi engu-228k eyakhiwe ngoNovemba 2017, okwashaya ukulindela kuka-200k. Inombolo ye-NFP kaDisemba 2016 yayingu-155k, ukuphrinta okuphansi kwe-NFP ngo-2017 kwakungoMashi ku-50k kwathi ngoSepthemba kwaba ngu-38k. Isibalo sangoSepthemba besiphume phambili, njengoba ukuqashwa kwaba nomthelela omubi yisiphepho / isizini yesiphepho e-USA.
Eminyakeni edlule ukukhishwa kwe-NFP kwehlulekile ukuba nomthelela omkhulu ezimakethe ze-FX, iningi lemibhalo ngo-2017 belicishe labikezelwa kanti i-USA ibhekane nokuqhubeka kokukhula kwemisebenzi eminyakeni edlule; ngaphandle kokufundwa kwasekuqaleni kukaSepthemba 2017, okwachithwa ngabatshalizimali, njengoba babexwayise ngaphambili ngesibalo esiphansi. Kodwa-ke, isibalo se-NFP sisathathwa njengokufundwa okubalulekile kwe-thermometer ngempilo yonke yomnotho wase-USA, kanti ukufundwa kukaNovemba nangoDisemba kuvame ukuhlaziywa ngokuhambisana nokuqashwa kwesizini kwesikhathi seXmas. Ngakho-ke abathengisi kufanele bazibeke ngokucophelela ukuze bavikele noma yimaphi ama-spikes angaba khona e-USD uma kuqhathaniswa nontanga; ukukhishwa kwe-NFP kungashaqisa phezulu, noma phansi. Kunobufakazi obungokomlando bokuthi abatshalizimali bavame ukusabela ekuqaleni lapho kukhishwa i-NFP, kepha isithombe esigcwele (kufaka phakathi yonke eminye imininingwane yemisebenzi ekhishwe ngosuku olufanayo nangosuku lwangaphambilini), kuthatha isikhathi ukuba nomthelela ngokuphelele ezimakethe.
NgoLwesihlanu i-USA BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) izophinde ishicilele isibalo sakamuva sabantu abangasebenzi, njengamanje esiku-4.1%, akukho okulindelekile nganoma yiluphi ushintsho. Eminye imininingwane yemisebenzi nayo ikhishwa ngalolo suku; ukukhula kwemiholo ngehora, isilinganiso samahora okusebenza, izinga lokubamba iqhaza kwabasebenzi kanye nezinga labangaphansi kokuqashwa.
Ngaphambi kokukhishwa kweqoqo lemininingwane yemisebenzi ngoLwesihlanu, ngoLwesine kufakazelwe ukushicilelwa kweminye imininingwane yemisebenzi: izibalo zakamuva zabasebenzi abazimele, i-Challenger yokulahleka kwemisebenzi, izimangalo zakamuva ezingenamisebenzi nezicelo eziqhubekayo. Abahwebi ngakho-ke bangaqala ukukala impilo yonke yezimakethe zemisebenzi e-USA ngaphambi kokukhishwa kwe-NFP, njengoba isibalo se-ADP ikakhulukazi sibhekwa njengesibikezelo esihle kakhulu ngokunemba kwenombolo ye-NFP, ekhishwa ngokwesiko ngakusasa.
IMINININGWANE YOMNOTHO EBALULEKILE E-USA.
- Izinga lokungasebenzi 4.1%.
- Izinga lenzalo ngu-1.5%.
- Izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali elingu-2.2%.
- Izinga lokukhula kwe-GDP 3.2%.
- Isilinganiso semali etholwa ngehora ngu-0.2%.
- Isilinganiso samahora onke masonto onke 34.5.
- Ukubamba iqhaza kwabasebenzi ngama-62.7%.
- Izinga lokungasebenzi kahle 8%.
« Izinkomba zezimali zaseMelika zifinyelela izinga eliphezulu kakhulu njengoba izibalo zokukhiqiza zishaya isibikezelo, ukukhuphuka kwedola laseMelika, iziliphu zegolide Izibalo zamanani emali zakamuva zeChina ne-USA zizohlolwa, phakathi nesonto lokuqala eligcwele lokuhweba lonyaka we-2018. »
