Inkomba yedola laseMelika ifinyelela phezulu ayibonwa kusukela ngoJuni 2017, i-GBP / USD iwela ezinyangeni ezimbili eziphansi, njengoba kubuya izingqinamba zeBrexit.
Ngo-20:20pm isikhathi sase-UK ngoLwesibili zingama-23 kuMbasa, inkomba yedola laseMelika, i-DXY, ihwebe ngo-97.62, ikhuphuke ngo-0.34% ngosuku, yafinyelela izinga eliphezulu elingakaze libonwe kusukela ngoJuni 2017, njengoba i-USD ihlangabezane nokwanda kwezikhathi zokuhweba zakamuva. Idola laseMelika libe nezinzuzo ezinkulu uma liqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yalo, phakathi nezikhathi zokuhweba zosuku.
Izizathu zokukhuphuka kwenani le-USD bezihlukene; ukwenyuka okuphawulekayo kukawoyela we-WTI kudala ukukhuphuka okuhambisanayo kwenani le-USD, abahlaziyi abathile babikezela ukukhula kwe-GDP yase-USA ukuze kudlule okulindelekile lapho idatha ishicilelwa ngoLwesihlanu, kuyilapho idatha entsha yokuthengiswa kwezindlu eshicilelwe e-USA ngoLwesibili, yenyuka ngo-4.5 % ngoMashi, laya onyakeni owodwa nengxenye ukuphakama, lidlula okulindelekile ku-2.7%.
Abahlaziyi baphinde bacabangele ukuthi, ngokusekelwe kudatha eqinile yezomnotho eyisisekelo kanye nezimakethe zokulingana ezisondela ekukhuphukeni kwamarekhodi, ukuthi i-FOMC/Fed ingacabangela yini ukushiya inqubomgomo yayo yezimali eqinile futhi ikhuphule izinga eliyisisekelo ngaphezu kwezinga layo lamanje elingu-2.5%, engxenyeni yokugcina ka-2019. Izimakethe ze-equity zase-US zisondele kumarekhodi aphezulu ngesikhathi seseshini yaseNew York, i-SPX ivale ngo-0.87% ku-2,933, amaphuzu angu-7 kuphela okufutshane nerekhodi layo eliphezulu. Inkomba ye-NASDAQ tech ivale ngo-1.25%, ngo-8,155, amaphuzu angama-20 kuphela okushoda ngerekhodi eliphezulu, njengoba uTesla wehla kakhulu okungakaze kubonwe muntu kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2018, kanti i-Twitter ikhuphuke cishe ngo-16%, ngokusekelwe emalini engenayo ekhuphukayo kanye nabasebenzisi.
Ngo-20:30pm, i-USD/CHF ihwebe ngo-0.50% yephula u-R3, i-AUD/USD yehle -0.58% yephula i-S3, i-USD/JPY ithengiswe phansi -0.10%. I-WTI iqhubekile nokukhuphuka kwayo kwakamuva okubangelwe abaphathi bakaTrump besabisa bonke abanye abangenisa uwoyela wase-Iran unswinyo, okuhlanganisa nemakethe enkulu kunazo zonke yase-Iran iChina. Ngo-20:40pm i-WTI ihwebe ngo-$66.36 umphongolo ngamunye, ikhuphuke ngo-1.22%, kuyilapho i-XAU/USD (igolide) yehle ngo--0.37%, yaya ku-$1,273 iwunsi ngayinye. Isikhalazo sokuphepha sensimbi esiyigugu sehlile, njengoba ubungozi bomuzwa wemakethe, bubuyile ngokuphindiselela.
I-GBP/USD yehle yaba ngaphansi kwezinyanga ezimbili phakathi neseshini yosuku, ngo-20:50pm umbhangqwana omkhulu wemali ovame ukubizwa ngokuthi “ikhebula”, ohweba ngo-1.294, washiya isikhundla esibanjeni esingu-1.300, ngenkathi uhweba ngaphansi kwe-200 DMA, at 1.296. Umbhangqwana ushaye uhla olubanzi, oscillating phakathi kwezimo zokuqala ze-bullish nezidlulele, phakathi nezikhathi zosuku. Ngemva kokwephula u-R3, intengo iguqule ngendlela enobudlova indlela eya emuva, ukuze ibuyele emuva endaweni ye-pivot yansuku zonke, ukuze iphahlazeke ku-S3.
Ukuziphatha kwe-GBP / USD ngoLwesibili, kwakuyisikhumbuzo esifike ngesikhathi sabathengisi be-FX, ukuthi ukuguquguquka kubuyile ngokuphathelene ngqo nendaba ye-Brexit. Kuvele izindaba phakathi kwantambama ngoLwesibili, zokuthi amaqembu amabili ezepolitiki ahamba phambili e-UK mancane amathuba okuba afinyelele indawo yokuhlala mayelana nomthethosivivinywa wokuhoxiswa kwezomthetho. Ngenkathi impi yombango phakathi kweqembu le-Tory ifinyelele eziqongweni ezintsha zakamuva, njengoba amaLungu ePhalamende amaningana e-Tory ezwakalise umbono wawo wokuthi u-Theresa May kufanele asule, noma aphoqwe ukuthi abhekane nelinye ivoti lokuzethemba. I-UK FTSE ivale ngo-0.85% ngosuku, yephula isibambo esingu-7,500, ngenkathi ithumela ukuphakama kwezinyanga eziyisithupha.
I-euro ithole ingcebo exubile phakathi nezikhathi zokuhweba zosuku, ngo-21:00pm isikhathi sase-UK i-EUR/USD yehle -0.33% ku-1.122, yehla ngezinga lesithathu lokusekelwa, i-S3, ngesinye isikhathi phakathi neseshini yaseNew York, intengo yephule umthetho. 1.120 izinga. I-EUR/GBP ihwebe eduze nendawo ephansi ku-0.863, kuyilapho i-EUR/JPY yehle -0.40%, yephula i-S3 futhi yafinyelela ephansi ngeviki. Ukuzethemba kwabathengi nge-Eurozone kufike kubi kakhulu kunesibikezelo ku--7.9, nokho, iziphathimandla ze-EZ zashesha ukuveza ukuthi ukufundwa kusengaphezulu kakhulu kwesilinganiso sesikhathi eside futhi kuseduze nokuphakama kwakamuva.
Imicimbi yangoLwesithathu yekhalenda yezomnotho ebalulekile yaseYurophu imayelana nokufundwa kwemizwa kwakamuva, okuhlukahlukene, kweJalimane kwe-IFO, abakwaReuters babikezela ukuthi ukufundwa okubalulekile okuthathu kuzohlala kungashintshile, lapho imininingwane ishicilelwa ngo-9:00am ngesikhathi sase-UK. I-ECB izophinde ishicilele umbiko wayo wezomnotho wakamuva ngesikhathi esifanayo, zombili lezi zihloko eziwuchungechunge zingase zibe nomthelela enanini le-euro kanye nezinkomba ze-EZ ezibalulekile. E-UK kuzokhishwa uchungechunge lwezibalo eziboleka uhulumeni ngo-9:30am ngesikhathi sase-UK, okugqama kakhulu kuzoba yisibalo esibolekayo somkhakha womphakathi sangoMashi.
Ngo-15:00pm ngesikhathi sase-UK ngoLwesithathu, kuzodalulwa isinqumo sezinga lenzalo sakamuva esivela ebhange eliphakathi laseCanada, i-BOC. Isibikezelo se-Reuters esokubanjelwa ku-1.75% ngesilinganiso sokuma. Ngokwemvelo, kuzogxilwa ngokushesha ekukhululweni kwabezindaba okuhambisana naso, noma noma yisiphi isitatimende senqubomgomo yezimali, esivela kuMbusi uStephen Poloz, ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuthi ibhange elikhulu lisishintshile yini isimo salo senqubomgomo samanje, esishubile.
« Impumelelo ekuhwebeni kwe-FX yokudayisa ihlobene futhi kufanele ibe ngeyakho. Idola lase-Aussie liyaphahlazeka uma liqhathaniswa nontanga yalo, njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali kwehla kakhulu, amamethrikhi e-IFO yaseJalimane aphuthelwa yizibikezelo, okwengeza ukwesaba ukuthi iJalimane ingase ingene enzimeni yomnotho. »
