IMathematics Yokuphathwa Kwemali Ekuhwebeni Kwangaphambili
Njengabahwebi be-Forex kufanele sivumelane nezakhi zokuhweba ezingaphandle kokulawula kwethu. Ukuze sithuthuke kufanele samukele, (ngisho siqale ukwamukela), lokho kuntuleka kokulawula kusenesikhathi ekuziphendukeleni kwethu kokuhweba komuntu siqu. Intengo ngokusobala iyibha yesici sokuhweba esivelele kakhulu futhi ngokulinganayo kuneqiniso elilodwa elingaguquleki, intengo iyisici sokuhweba esingenakho nhlobo ukulawula kuso. Ukuze sibe abadayisi be-forex abaphumelelayo kufanele samukele ukuthi asinakho ukulawula ukuthi iyiphi intengo ezokwenza, singakwazi kuphela ukuthatha isikhundla emakethe yethu ekhethiwe ngokusekelwe ekuchazeni kwethu okungenzeka. Ingozi emakethe akuyona into esifuna ukuthi ibe yikho. Ingozi yilokho imakethe esibeka phezu kwethu.
Lowo mphumela kanye 'nobizo lwethu lokwahlulela' kungagcizelelwa ngokuthi; ukubonwa kwephethini, izinkomba, isenzo senani, amagagasi, izindaba ezibalulekile noma inhlanganisela yezindlela ezimbalwa ezishiwo ngenhla. Kodwa-ke, ukusebenzisa noma yikuphi kwalokhu okukhulunywe ngakho ngenhla akuqinisekisi impumelelo, ukuqinisa kuphela indlela yokuphatha imali okuzodala impumelelo yesikhathi eside.
Abathengisi abaningi abasha basebenzisa inkulumo ethi "Ngangilungile" lapho ukuhweba komuntu ngamunye kuphumelela. Kodwa-ke, awulungile noma awulungile, uma unciphisa ukuhweba phansi kube okulungile noma okungalungile, kuyilapho ukwamukela leyo ntengo ingekho ngaphansi kokulawula kwakho, ungaba kanjani olungile? Ingabe umhwebi owamukela isici samathuba agcizelela ukusebenza kwakhe angazinika ikhredithi yokuthi ulungile, noma ngaphezu kwalokho kufanele empeleni azibonge ngokunamathela ohlelweni lwakhe? Awukwazi ukuzinika isikweletu ngokwangempela 'ngokuqagela' okulungile, kodwa ungazihalalisela ngokuhlela imisebenzi yakho yokuhweba nokuhweba ngohlelo lwakho.
Kunezici zokuhweba esingakwazi ukuzilawula, imizwelo ibe yinto eyodwa, singaphinde silawule ubungozi ngokuhwebelana ngakunye futhi silawule leyo ngcuphe cishe ifinyelele kumapayipi ngokusebenzisa izibalo. Singakwazi ukulawula; izitobhi, imikhawulo, iphesenti lokulahlekelwa kwama-akhawunti ethu ngosuku, ngesonto, ngenyanga. Ukuze siphumelele kuyisibopho kithi ukuthi sisebenzise leyo nto eyodwa nebaluleke kakhulu yokulawula esingaba nayo phezu kokuhweba kwethu.
U-Ralph Vince ubhale izincwadi ezimbalwa zethiyori ngesihloko sokuphathwa kwemali ekuhwebeni. Ubonisa, kaninginingi, ukuthi kukhona isiqiniseko sezibalo ukuthi uzophuka uma ungahwebi ngendlela ehlelekile ngokulawula ubungozi. Omunye ungqondongqondo wokuhweba odumile, uVan Tharp, udle izikhathi eziningi ngamandla e-anecdote elandelayo ephathelene nethiyori kaRalph Vince yokuphatha imali…
"URalph Vince wenze ucwaningo ngeziqu zePh.D ezingamashumi amane Wachitha iziqu zobudokotela ezinesizinda sezibalo noma ukuhweba. Bonke abanye babefanelekile. Abangamashumi amane bodokotela banikezwa umdlalo wekhompyutha ukuze bahwebe. Baqala nge-$ 10,000 futhi banikezwa izivivinyo eziyi-100 umdlalo ababezowina kuwo amaphesenti angama-60. Lapho bewina, bawina inani lemali ababezifaka engozini ngalolo vivinyo. Lapho behlulwa, balahlekelwa inani lemali ababezifaka engozini ngalolo vivinyo. Lokhu kungcono kakhulu umdlalo kunalokho ongakuthola e-Las Vegas.
Kodwa qagela ukuthi bangaki ama-Ph.D abenze imali ekupheleni kwezivivinyo eziyi-100? Kuthe uma sekubalwa imiphumela, babili kuphela abenze imali. Abanye abangu-38 balahlekelwe yimali. Cabanga nje! U-95% wabo ulahlekelwe yimali ngokudlala umdlalo lapho amathuba okuwina abengcono kunanoma yimuphi umdlalo e-Las Vegas. Kungani? Isizathu sokuba balahlekelwe kwakuwukwamukela kwabo amanga womgembuli nomphumela wokuphathwa kabi kwemali.” - Van Tharp.
Inhloso yocwaningo kwakuwukukhombisa ukuthi ukulinganiselwa kwethu kwengqondo nezinkolelo zethu mayelana nezigigaba ezingahleliwe kuyimbangela yokuthi kungani okungenani u-90% wabantu abasha emakethe belahlekelwa ama-akhawunti abo. Ngemva kochungechunge lokulahlekelwa, umfutho uwukukhuphula usayizi wokubheja ukholelwa ukuthi owinile manje usengenzeka kakhulu, lokho kungukukhohlisa komgembuli ngoba empeleni amathuba akho okuwina asengama-60 kuphela%. Abantu baqhumisa ama-akhawunti abo benza amaphutha afanayo ezimakethe ze-forex ukuthi u-Ralph Vince wabona ekuhloleni kwakhe. Ngokuphathwa kahle kwemali, ungakwazi ukugwema kalula lezi zingibe, wakhe usayizi we-akhawunti yakho ngenkathi ubhekene nezingqinamba zokuhweba ezimbi kakhulu kunenzuzo engu-60% yomdlali ekufanisweni kwekhompyutha kaVince.
Abadayisi abaningi 'abalungile' ngaphezu kuka-50% wesikhathi. Abathengisi abaphumelelayo bangaba lungile ku-35% yezohwebo zabo futhi basakha ama-akhawunti anenzuzo. Isihluthulelo siwukunciphisa ukulahlekelwa kwakho futhi uvumele inzuzo yakho isebenze. Isilinganiso sokusebenza esiyisisekelo sifakazela iphuzu. Uma umhwebi elahlekelwa imali ku-65% wemisebenzi yakhe yokuhweba, kodwa ehlala egxilile futhi enesiyalo elandela umthetho we-bullet proof stop-losss futhi ehlose i-1: 2 ROI, kufanele aphumelele. Ngenxa yesiyalo sokunciphisa ukulahlekelwa kufushane futhi uvumele inzuzo isebenze, umhwebi uyaphumelela, nakuba imisebenzi yakhe eminingi igcina ngokulahlekelwa.
Ukuphatha imali kuqala ngaphambi kokuthenga isibambiso. Kuqala ngosayizi wendawo, ukhawule usayizi obeka engcupheni kunoma yikuphi ukuhweba okukodwa kumaphesenti esamba sakho semali yokuhweba. Kuhlale kunengozi yokuthi isikhundla sizowa ngaphambi kokuthi usebenzise umthetho wakho wokulahlekelwa kokuyeka ngakho kungani ungahwebi ngaso sonke isikhathi? Intengo 'ingagebe' obala ngenxa yezindaba ezibalulekile futhi izehlakalo ezinjalo zingenzeka kakhulu kunalokho abadayisi abaningi abakusolayo. Uma amathuba okuthi 1 kuphela ku-100, noma 1%. Uma uhweba kakhulu, maningi amathuba okuthi lowo mcimbi wenzeke. Amathuba aleso senzakalo esenzeka phakathi nokuhweba okungama-50 angama-50%. Abahwebi abaphumelele kakhulu abavamile ukuzifaka engozini ngaphezu kuka-2% wemali enkulu ekuhwebeni okukodwa. Ochwepheshe abaningi babeka ibha ibephansi njenge-1% noma i-0.5% uma i-scalping.
Masisebenzise i-akhawunti yokuhweba ebiza u-€100,000. Uma umnikazi we-akhawunti esetha ukulahlekelwa okukhulu ngokuhweba ngakunye ku-1% yenani eliphelele, uzokhokha noma yisiphi isikhundla sokulahlekelwa ngaphambi kokuthi ukwehla kwe-akhawunti kudlule u-€1,000. Ukulinganisa isikhundla kunenye inzuzo ebalulekile. Ithuthuka enzuzweni ngesikhathi sokuwina uchungechunge. Inciphisa ukulahlekelwa ngesikhathi sokulahlekelwa i-streaks. Ngesikhathi sokuwina ama-streaks, imali yakho enkulu iyakhula, okuholela kancane kancane kumasayizi amakhulu wezikhundla. Ngesikhathi sokulahlekelwa imivimbo, usayizi wendawo uyancipha ne-akhawunti yakho, okuholela ekulahlekelweni okuncane.
Abantu abaningi balahlekelwa ama-akhawunti enza okuphambene ncamashi. Bathatha izikhundla ezinkulu ngemva kokulahlekelwa ukuhweba futhi bathole ukulahlekelwa okukhulu. Uma bewina banciphisa usayizi wemisebenzi yabo, banciphise izinzuzo zabo. Ukuziphatha okunjalo kuvela emangeni omgembuli, ngokusho kukaVan Tharp, isazi sokusebenza kwengqondo esicwaningayo esifunde izinhlelo zokuhweba nemikhuba yezinkulungwane zabahwebi.
Uchaza amanga womgembuli njengenkolelo yokuthi ukulahlekelwa kubangelwa uhide lwabawinile kanye/noma ukuthi inzuzo itholakala ngemva kochungechunge lwabahluliwe. Leso sifaniso sokugembula sembula futhi isimo sengqondo sokugembula; umhwebi ukholelwa ukuthi 'inhlanhla yakhe izoshintsha' futhi ukubheja ngakunye noma ukuhweba okulahlekelwayo kumsondeza eduze komnqobi ongeke akwazi, empeleni inhlanhla ayinamsebenzi futhi uma isimo sezibalo sokuhweba sigcizelelwa ngaphezu kwesu lokuhweba umphumela kungenzeka kakhulu positive.
Kukhona usayizi wokubala wesikhundla esitholakala mahhala ekhasini le-FXCC Trading Tools. Ukusebenzisa ileveli ye-akhawunti engafanele nakhu ukuboniswa kwesibalo;
- Imali : USD
- Ukulingana kwe-akhawunti : 30000
- Amaphesenti engcuphe : 2%
- Misa Ukulahlekelwa Ku-Pips: 150
- Uhlobo Lwemali : EUR/USD
- Inani elisengozini : €600
- Isikhundla: 40000
Kunesixhumanisi sokubeka isibali sokuhweba phansi kwalesi sihloko, kufanelekile ukusibeka uphawu lokubekisa. Kubathengisi abangenalwazi ngokuqhathaniswa ukubaluleka kosayizi wesikhundla akunakubukelwa phansi, kunenqwaba yethu ezovuma ukuthi kusithathe isikhathi ngaphambi kokuthi sithole ukubaluleka. Uma sikwazile ukukubamba kusenesikhathi ekuthuthukisweni kwakho kwezohwebo ngalesi siqephu esincane semfundo nezeluleko sizokubheka njengomsebenzi owenziwe kahle.
http://www.fxcc.com/trading-tools
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