Izibalo zakamuva zokukhula kwe-USA GDP zingathulisa izinzwa zabatshalizimali, kepha ziphakamise imibuzo maqondana nenqubomgomo yemali yeFed
NgoLwesithathu ngoFebhuwari 28th ngo-13: 00 pm GMT (isikhathi sase-UK), izibalo zakamuva ze-GDP ezimayelana nomnotho wase-USA zizoshicilelwa. Kunamamethrikhi amabili akhishiwe; unyaka owenziwe minyaka yonke ngesibalo sokukhula konyaka kanye nesibalo kuze kufike ku-Q4. Isibikezelo sithi isibalo seYoY sizokwehla sifike ku-2.5% sisuka ku-2.6% obhaliswe ngoJanuwari, kanti isibalo se-Q4 kulindeleke ukuthi sihlale ezingeni le-Q3 lika-2.4%.
Izibalo zakamuva zokukhula kwe-GDP zizobhekwa ngeso elibukhali ngenxa yezizathu eziningana: izenzo ezingenzeka zeFed / FOMC ngokwenqubomgomo yezimali, izenzo ezingaba khona zomgcinimafa kanye nokuphathwa kwe-USA ngokwenqubomgomo yezimali, umthelela wesibalo sokukhula emandleni emali nokuthi inani lokukhula limeleni, maqondana nokulungiswa kwezimakethe zamasheya e-USA, okutholwe ngasekupheleni kukaJanuwari ekuqaleni kukaFebhuwari.
Imininingwane enzima yezomnotho, ethulwa yizinhlangano ezahlukahlukene zezibalo zase-USA (ikakhulukazi i-BLS), ayisiqinile njengoba ukulandisa kwabezindaba okungaphikiswa, nokujwayelekileyo bekungaba khona abatshalizimali abakholelwa kukho. Ukukhula komnotho wase-USA okubonwe ngonyaka we-2017 kwaxhaswa yizikweletu, zombili izikweletu zabathengi / zebhizinisi nezikweletu zikahulumeni, manje ezikwe-105.40% lapho abaphathi bangaphambilini babecabanga ukuthi isibalo esingaphezu kuka-90% sithinteka. Ngenkathi iFed isalokhu ihleli kubhalansi ebiza u- $ 4.2 trillion futhi ingenalo icebo lokuqinisa, njengoba nayo izama ukulinganisa izinzuzo zedola eliphansi, uma iqhathaniswa nanoma yimuphi umonakalo ongase udale isikhathi eside. Amaholo asengene emigomeni yangempela (eguqulelwe ukwehla kwamandla emali) futhi asabambeka emuva emazingeni ama-1990 kubantu baseMelika, iningi labo elengeze izikhala zabo zokuhola ngesikweletu.
Kukonke, kukhona izingcindezi ezakhekayo emnothweni wase-USA, izingcindezi ezingakhuphuka uma i-GDP inyuka ngokushesha futhi amalungu ekomidi le-FOMC anquma ukuthi umnotho unamandla anele ukwamukela ngaphezu kwamazinga enzalo amathathu asevele elindelwe ngonyaka ka-2018. Ngakho-ke, kufanele isibalo se-GDP sishaye isibikezelo lapho kukhishwa izibalo ngoLwesithathu, abatshalizimali bangase bakuthathe njengobufakazi bokuthi i-FOMC inendawo eyanele yokwenyusa amanani ngokwengeziwe, ngaphandle kokulimaza ukukhula. Lokhu kungadala nokuthi abathengisi beFX bakhiphe inani ledola laseMelika.
Izibalo ze-GDP yase-US ngezinye zezinto ezikhishwa kakhulu ekhalendeni lezomnotho ezitholwa abathengisi beFX, amandla okuhambisa ngababili be-USD aphezulu kakhulu, ngakho-ke abathengisi kufanele bacabangele ngokucophelela ukuphathwa kwanoma iziphi izikhundla zamadola abanazo emakethe, njengoba idatha ikhishwa .
IZIMETRIKI ZOMNOTHO EZISEMQOKA EZIBALULEKILE EKUDLULWENI KWEKHALENDA.
• I-GDP YoY 2.5%.
• I-GDP QoQ 2.4%.
• Ukwehla kwamandla emali okungu-2.1%.
• Ukukhula komholo u-4.47%.
• Isilinganiso senzalo 1.5%.
• Izinga lokungasebenzi 4.1%.
• Isikweletu sikahulumeni v GDP 105.4%.
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