I-GBP ayilinganisi Ngokuqhathanisa ne-Euro
NgoLwesithathu, ukuhweba ngamanani amakhulu aphikisayo, kufaka phakathi i-EUR / GBP, bekungathandeki kakhulu kunangezinsuku ezidlule. Ekuqaleni, i-sterling ibibanjelwe eduze nokuphakama kwakamuva kuqhathaniswa nemali eyodwa, kepha bekungekho okunye ukuzuza. Imininingwane yase-UK yayixubile. Imali mboleko ye-BBA yokuthengwa kwekhaya ibibuthaka kunalokho obekulindelekile. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-CBI ibike ukuthi ukuthengisa bekungaphezu kwesivumelwano semakethe. Kodwa-ke, womabili la maqoqo wedatha ahlulekile ukukhuthaza ukuhweba.
I-GBP ibone ukusebenza okuhlanganisiwe kuqhathaniswa nontanga bayo abakhulu yize bekukhishwe i-CBI enamandla kunalindelekile (inkomba yokuthengisa). I-GBP ibe nokusabela okuthulile ngemuva kokukhishwa, iphakamisa ukuthi ababambiqhaza bezimakethe babheka lokho okulindeleke ukuthi kube yisikhathi esisodwa esenzeke phakathi nemikhosi yakamuva yeJubili. Ukusetshenziswa kwemali yokuthengisa kulindeleke ukuthi kuhlale kuthulisiwe esikhathini esimaphakathi njengoba ukukhathazeka nge-Eurozone kuqhubeka ukukhathaza amakhaya ase-UK.
Ngokunjalo, i-BoE kulindeleke ukuthi imemezele ukwanda kokuthengwa kwempahla ngoLwesine oluzayo, futhi izimakethe zibonakala zinezintengo kulokhu kuthuthukiswa uma kwehla u-0.6% we-GBP selokhu kukhishwe imizuzu yamuva (ye-dovish) ye-MPC ngoJuni 20
Futhi ngasohlangothini lwe-euro lendaba, abahwebi babenqikaza ukubeka ukubheja okukhulu ngaphambi kwengqungquthela ye-EU. Ngesikhathi sokuhweba ntambama, i-sterling ilahlekelwe indawo ethile njengoba i-EUR / USD yehle ngaphansi kwe-1.25 mark. Ekuhwebeni kwezobuchwepheshe, i-EUR / GBP iphinde yathola uphawu lwe-0.80. I-EUR / GBP ivale iseshini ngo-0.8009 ngokuqhathaniswa no-0.7986 ngoLwesibili kusihlwa.
Ngobusuku obubodwa, i-EUR / GBP izamile ukunweba izinzuzo zayizolo zingaphezu kuka-0.80. Izintengo zeNdlu Yomhlaba wonke zimangele kokubi (-0.6% M / M; -1.5% Y / Y). Akubanga khona ukusabela ngokushesha ngemuva kwedatha, kepha i-EUR / GBP ijoyine ukubuyela emuva kwe-euro ngokuhamba kwesikhathi ekuhwebeni kwase-Asia namhlanje ekuseni. Kodwa-ke, kulesi sigaba akubukeki ukuthi i-EUR / GBP yakha umfutho oqinile.
Kamuva namuhla; okokugcina kwe-UK Q1 GDP yizindaba ezindala. Ngakho-ke, ukuma kwe-euro emhlabeni wonke okuya engqungqutheleni ye-EU kuzoba futhi igama lomdlalo kuleli zinga lesiphambano. Ngabe i-euro (futhi ngaleyo ndlela i-EUR / GBP) izothokozela uhlobo oluthile lokuphefumula (okwesikhashana?)? ISterling ibambe iqine ngokumelene ne-euro, kepha ngokubuka kwesikhashana, kubukeka sengathi ukwehla kuleli zinga lesiphambano nakho kuphelile.
Ngokombono wobuchwepheshe, isilinganiso esiphambanweni se-EUR / GBP sihlanganisa ukulandela ukuthengisa okude okuqale ngoFebhuwari.
Ekuqaleni kukaMeyi, ukusekelwa kokhiye ongu-0.8068 kusuliwe. Leli khefu lavula indlela yesenzo esingahle sibuyele endaweni engu-0.77 (ngo-Okthoba 2008 kuya phansi). Maphakathi noMeyi, laba bobabili babeke ukulungiswa okuphansi kwaba ngu-0.7950. Ukusuka lapho, ukukhishwa okubuyile / okufushane kungenile. Ukuhweba okuqhubekayo ngaphezulu kwendawo engu-0.8100 kuzomisa isexwayiso esingezansi futhi kuthuthukise isithombe sesikhashana. Laba bobabili bazama kaningi ukuthola le ndawo, kepha akubanga khona nzuzo yokulandelela. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, sibheke ukuthengisa ngamandla okwenza isenzo sokubuyisa siphansi ebangeni. Iphansi lobubanzi manje seliza ebangeni elitangazayo. Ngakho-ke, siphendukela kokungathathi hlangothi kancane ku-EUR / GBP izikhindi zesikhashana.
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