Umhlangano wokuqala wokumiswa kwesilinganiso se-FOMC wango-2018 ungahlinzeka ngemikhondo, maqondana nokuholwa phambili kweFed konyaka
NgoLwesithathu umhla zingama-31 kuJanuwari ngo-19: 00 GMT (isikhathi sase-UK), i-FOMC izodalula isinqumo sayo maqondana namanani wenzalo yase-USA, ngemuva kokubamba umhlangano wezinsuku ezimbili. IFederal Open Market Committee iyikomiti, ngaphakathi kweFederal Reserve System, enesibopho ngaphansi komthetho wase-United States wokwengamela ukusebenza kwezimakethe ezivulekile zesizwe, njengokuthi; ukuhlelwa kwamanani, ukuthengwa kwempahla, ukuthengiswa kwebhizinisi lomgcinimafa nezinye izinto ezingathathwa njengenqubomgomo yemali. I-FOMC yakhiwe ngamalungu ayi-12; Amalungu ayisikhombisa eBhodi labaPhathi kanye nabanguMongameli abahlanu kwabangu-7 beReserve Bank. I-FOMC ihlela imihlangano eyisishiyagalombili ngonyaka, ibanjwa cishe amasonto ayisithupha ngokuhlukana.
Ukuvumelana okujwayelekile, kusuka emibonweni eqoqwe ngethimba lezomnotho elivotelwe yi-ejensi yezindaba yeReuters, akulona ushintsho lwenani elikhulu lokuboleka (elibizwa ngokuthi yi-upper bound) okumanje likwi-1.5%, ngemuva kokumenyezelwa kukhuphuke ngo-0.25% Disemba. I-FOMC igcine isibophezelo sayo esenziwe ekuqaleni kowezi-2017 ukukhuphula amanani kathathu ngonyaka ka-2017. Emihlanganweni yayo yokugcina yowezi-2018 i-FOMC iphinde yazibophezela ekunyukeni kwamanani wenzalo ngo-2018, kanti futhi izibophezele ekuqaliseni ukusebenzisa i-QT (ukuqina kwamanani); ukwehla kwesilinganiso se-Fed sika- $ 4.2 trillion sheet sheet, esikhule cishe ngama- $ 3 trillion kusukela ngezinkinga zebhange ngo-2008.
Ngaphandle kokuzibophezela ekukhuphukeni kwamanani ngonyaka we-2018, i-FOMC ibingacaci ngamabomu maqondana nesikhathi futhi ibiqaphele ukuthi ingaphoqeleli ikomidi ngenqubomgomo ye-hawkish. Esikhundleni salokho, bamukela inqubomgomo engathathi hlangothi; egcizelela ukuthi ukukhuphuka ngakunye kwesikhathi esizayo kuzobhekwa ngokucophelela ngomthelela wayo emnothweni wase-USA. Ukuphakamisa ukuthi uma kukhona umthelela omubi owenzekayo, mhlawumbe ukwephuza ukukhula, khona-ke inqubomgomo ingalungiswa. Njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali kuseduze nezinga le-FOMC / Fed elihlosiwe elingu-2.1% kanye nezimpawu ezincane zokucindezela kwamandla emali okwakha emnothweni, noma yisiphi isinqumo sokukhuphuka kwamazinga cishe ngeke sithonywe ukuze kulawulwe ukwehla kwamandla emali.
Uma i-FOMC imemezela ukubanjwa kwamanani wenzalo, ukunakwa kuzoshesha kuphendukele ezitatimendeni ezahlukahlukene ezihambisana nesimemezelo kanye nengqungquthela ebanjwe ngusihlalo weFed Mrs Janet Yellen, ozobe engusihlalo womhlangano wakhe wokugcina futhi abambe isithangami sakhe sokugcina sabezindaba. , njengosihlalo weFed ngaphambi kokushintshwa nguSihlalo omusha weFed, uJerome Powell, ukhetho olukhethwe ngumongameli uTrump. Kunoma yisiphi isitatimende esibhaliwe kanye nesithangami nabezindaba, abahlaziyi kanye nabatshalizimali bazofunda ngokucophelela futhi balalele ngokucophelela noma yiziphi izinkomba mayelana nokulingana phakathi kwamajuba noKlebe ku-FOMC; oKlebe bazobe becindezela ukukhushulwa kwamanani ngokwedlulele kanye nokwehliswa okusheshayo kwebhalansi yeFed. Ukuhlaziywa okuningiliziwe komhlangano we-FOMC kuzofika lapho imizuzu ikhishwa, kungakapheli amasonto ambalwa umhlangano wenzekile.
Noma ngabe yisiphi isinqumo nokulandwa okuhambisana nakho, izinqumo zamazinga wenzalo zihambisa ngokomlando izimakethe zezwe lasekhaya lapho kwenziwa khona isinqumo. Izimakethe ze-equity zingakhuphuka futhi zehle, njengoba kwenza izimakethe zemali ngokushesha ngaphambi, ngesikhathi nangemva kokukhishwa kwesinqumo. Idola laseMelika libe nempikiswano enkulu phakathi no-2017, ngenxa yokuwa kwalo uma liqhathaniswa nontanga balo abaphambili, yize i-FOMC inyuke ngezinga amahlandla amathathu ngo-2017, iliphinda kabili izinga kusukela ku-0.75% - 1.5%. Abahwebi ngakho-ke kufanele bahlukanise lo mcimbi wekhalenda lezomnotho onomthelela omkhulu futhi balungise izikhundla zabo bese bezibeka engcupheni ngokufanele.
IZIKHOMBISI ZOMNOTHO EZISEMQOKA ZOMNOTHO WE-USA
• I-GDP 2.5%.
• I-GDP QoQ 2.6%.
• Isilinganiso senzalo 1.5%.
• Izinga lentengo ye-2.1%.
• Izinga lokungasebenzi 4.1%.
• Isikweletu v GDP 106.1%.
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