I-EUR / GBP ilungiselela iMpi Yamabhange Aphakathi
Izolo, ukuhweba ngesilinganiso esiphambanweni se-EUR / GBP bekuvinjelwe ebangeni eliqinile lokuhweba emaceleni nge-pivot engu-0.8020. Ukulungiswa kwangoMsombuluko kwe-euro kumisiwe, kepha besingekho isifiso / izindaba zokuthumela imali eyodwa ngaphezulu. Idatha yase-UK ayizange inikeze nesiqondiso esicacile. Ngokuphikisana nesilinganiso sokukhiqiza ngoMsombuluko, i-PMI yokwakha iphume ibuthaka kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe ku-48.2 isuka ku-54.5 (52.9 kulindeleke). Idatha yokubolekisa kaMeyi UK yayixubekile. Akukho lutho oluphendulayo olubonakala eshadini le-EUR / GBP futhi lokhu kuhlale kunjalo ngokuqhubekayo kuseshini yokuhweba. Kamuva phakathi nosuku, i-euro izuze ngokwenza ngcono imizwa ebungozini futhi lokhu kuhlungwe futhi ngokuhweba nge-EUR / GBP. Lo mbhangqwana uvale iseshini eduze kwamazinga aphezulu e-intraday ngo-0.8036, uma kuqhathaniswa no-0.8015 ngoMsombuluko. Kodwa-ke, ngokombono wezobuchwepheshe, alikho izinga elibalulekile elishayekile.
Ngobusuku obubodwa, amanani entengo e-BRC ehle aya ku-2 ½ weminyaka ephansi ngo-1.1%. Kwakungekho ukusabela kwe-EUR / GBP.
Kamuva namhlanje, abatshalizimali bazobheka i-PMI kaJuni yomkhakha wezinsizakalo, ulwazi lokugcina olubalulekile oluzongena emhlanganweni wakusasa we-BoE. Inkomba kulindeleke ukuthi ikhombise ukwehla okulingene kuphela kusuka ku-53.3 kuye ku-52.9. Kodwa-ke, ama-PMI akamuva akhombise ukuphambuka okukhulu ekuvumelaneni.
Umbuzo obalulekile ngothi ngabe lo mbiko usazokwazi yini ukuguqula okulindelwe esinqumweni senqubomgomo ye-BoE yangakusasa. IBhange LaseNgilandi ngokusobala likulungele ukuthatha ezinye izinyathelo njengoba kunempikiswano mayelana nokusebenza kwe-QE eyengeziwe. Njengoba ivoti eliseduze selivele liwumhlangano wenyanga edlule kanye nombusi weBoE King ekamu labambalwa, isimo esithandwayo ukuthi iBoE inyuse uhlelo lokuthengwa kwempahla ngo- £ 50 bn. Siyangabaza ukuthi idatha yanamuhla izoshintsha ukuhlolwa kwe-BoE. Noma isiphi isenzo esingeziwe singaba isimanga futhi ngombono singaba yinto engeyinhle.
Kodwa-ke, ngokuhamba kwesikhathi imakethe yezimali yayicace kakhulu emabhange amakhulu ngokuma okusebenzayo ukuxhasa ukukhula (njengeBoE noma iFed). Siyangabaza ukuthi isilinganiso samaphuzu angu-25 esinqunywe ngamazinga we-ECB (ngomthelela onqunyelwe ezimakethe zamazinga wenzalo) sizoshintsha isimo semakethe. Ngakho-ke, kunezimo ezahlukahlukene ezingenzeka kepha siyangabaza ukuthi zizoshintsha amandla okuhweba akamuva e-EUR / GBP. Okwamanje silindele ukuthi uhlangothi olungaphezulu ku-EUR / GBP luhlale lunzima kakhulu.
Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, sibheke ukuthengisa ngamandla okwenza isenzo sokubuyisa siphansi ebangeni. Ngesonto eledlule, siphenduké kokungathathi hlangothi ngokwengeziwe kuma-shorts e-EUR / GBP njengoba ibanga elingezansi leza ebangeni elihlabayo. Okwamanje siyaqhubeka nokudlala uhla futhi sisancamela ukuthengisa i-EUR / GBP ngamandla okwenza isenzo sokubuyela endaweni engu-0.7950.
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