Isikhwama se-Bail Out Fund esiyi- € 2 Trillion sizalwa
Manje-ke, impikiswano isidlulile, kungabekwa ama-bunting, amaqembu emigwaqo angabanjwa kuyo yonke imigwaqo kulo lonke elaseYurophu njengoba usuku luka-'D 'lukhona nathi, isikhwama sebheyili siphila futhi sonke singaphefumula kalula. Ngaphandle kwababhali bamakhophi eBloomberg ngokusobala, manje kuzofanele bathole omunye umuntu ongamsola ngokuqhubeka kokuwohloka komnotho emhlabeni, ngaphandle uma-ke manje sebesola ukwehla okuqhubekayo esikhwameni sama- trillion ama-2. bona?
IFrance neJalimane, amazwe amabili ahamba phambili kwezomnotho emazweni ayishumi nesikhombisa amukela i-euro futhi njengalabo abadayisi abahamba phambili, ngokusobala bafinyelele esivumelwaneni sokukhuphula isikhwama sokutakula se-euro sibe ngu- € 2 trillion njengengxenye ye “Uhlelo oluphelele” ekugcineni ukuxazulula inkinga yezikweletu. Ingqungquthela yale mpelasonto kumele iqinisekise isivumelwano osomaqhinga base EU abasho ngoLwesibili kusihlwa. Mhlawumbe i-push yokugcina yavela kumthombo ongaphandle; isexwayiso se-ejensi yokulinganisa i-Moody's, ukuthi ingabuyekeza isilinganiso se-AAA saseFrance ngenxa yezindleko zokutakula amabhange ayo namanye amalungu e-eurozone, kubonakala sengathi kunikeze uSarkozy noMerkel isikhuthazo esengeziwe.
Kodwa-ke, abakwaMoody's banciphise izilinganiso zombuso waseSpain ngama-notches amabili ngoLwesibili, bethi amazinga aphezulu esikweletu emabhange nasezinkampanini zezinkampani ashiya izwe lisengcupheni yokuthola uxhaso lwezimali. Ukwanda kwamathuba okukhula kwendawo ye-euro kwenza kube nzima kakhulu eSpain ukuthi ifinyelele ezinhlosweni zayo zezimali ezivelele, i-ejensi yokulinganisa yengeze nokuthi iSpain ingahle yehliswe futhi uma inkinga yesikweletu se-euro zone ikhula ngokuya phambili, kuxwayisa uMoody.
Selokhu kwafakwa izilinganiso zaseSpain ngasekupheleni kukaJulayi, asikho isixazululo esithembekile sesimo esikhona samanje sesikweletu esivelile, futhi kuzothatha isikhathi ukuzethemba ekubumbaneni kwezombusazwe kanye namathemba okukhula ukuze abuyiselwe ngokuphelele.
Izindaba zesixazululo 'secebo elikhulu' zaqinisa abatshalizimali baseMelika nezimakethe zase-USA. I-Dow Jones Industrial Average inyuke ngamaphuzu angama-250, noma u-2.2%, yaya ku-11,651 101, ngemuva kokuwa ngamaphoyinti ayi-393 ekuqaleni kosuku. Izimakethe zaseMelika phambilini bezingaziphathi kahle noma yiziphi izindaba ezintsha ezivela eYurophu ezinikezwe ukuthi kubonakale sengathi kunokwehlukana okungenakulungiswa okwenzeka phakathi kweFrance neJalimane. Ngasekuqaleni kosuku uGoldman Sachs ubike ngokulahleka kwekota yesithathu kuka- $ 12m, kwaba ukulahleka kwakhe kwesibili eminyakeni engu-XNUMX, kanti isikhulu sezimali uDavid Viniar uthe ukungazinzi kwemakethe kube nomthelela ekuweni.
Osomaqhinga base-EU abasondele kulezi zingxoxo bathi isivumelwano seFranco-Germany sihlanganisa ukukhulisa izingqinamba zezezimali zamalungu e-eurozone ukuze akwazi ukumelana nosongo oluzokwenzeka "lomcimbi wokuthenga ngesikweletu" noma ukwehluleka ukukhokha isikweletu emazweni abuthaka, ikakhulukazi eGrisi. Lokhu kungathatha izindlela ezimbili, isikhwama esikhulu sokutakula, isikhungo sokuzinza kwezezimali sase-Europe, sizonikezwa amandla ongezelelweyo omlilo asivumela ukuthi sinikeze iziqinisekiso zokulahleka kokuqala kubaninimasheya. Oonozakuzaku abaphezulu bathi lokhu kuzokwenyusa okuphindwe kahlanu emandleni esikhwama - okunikeza ngaphezulu kwama- € 2 trillion uma kuqhathaniswa namandla akhona okubolekisa ngemali engama- € 440 billion. I-EFSF empeleni iyoba umshwalense, ngaleyo ndlela inqobe ukumelana ne-European Central Bank emcabangweni wokuphenduka ibhange.
IBerlin neParis ngokusobala nabo bavumile ukuthi amabhange ase-Europe kumele akhishwe kabusha ukuze ahlangabezane ne-9% capital capital efunwa yi-European Banking Authority ngemuva kokucwaninga kabusha kwamazinga okuvezwa kwamabhange angama-60 kuya kwangama-70. I-EBA ibonakalise lokhu kudalulwa kusondele kakhulu kumanani amanje emakethe ngokuqhathaniswa nokumaka imodeli. Ukwakhiwa kabusha kwemali okudingakalayo kuzosondela ku- € 100bn kune- € 200bn ephakanyiswe nguChristine Lagarde, umphathi we-IMF. Amabhange aseFrance nawaseJalimane ngokusobala angahlangabezana nenhloso entsha yezimali ezivela kuzinsizakusebenza zabo ngaphandle kokuthola usizo kwizimali zombuso, noma i-EFSF. Amabhange amanye amazwe, noma kunjalo, angadinga uxhaso lwezezimali oluvela kuhulumeni noma ku-EFSF.
Ngabe izimakethe zizosithenga lesi sixazululo, noma zizosheshe 'zenze izibalo' zisike ngokushesha i-spin bese zibona ukuthi isibalo sangempela somkhawulo womonakalo singama- € 2 trillion? Impela imali enzima yangempela engu- € 440 billion kungenzeka isetshenziselwe ubukhulu njengoba umlenze ngamunye omusha oqhubekayo wenhlekelele evelayo uguquka. I-EU ayiwagcini omile amandla esikhwama sayo esandisiwe, isisebenzisa ngaso sonke isikhathi ngenkathi inika isithombe sokuthi isetshenziswe kuphela okwesihlanu, izinto ezihlakaniphile, noma ingabe kunjalo? Isikhathi kuphela esizotshela ..
Markets
I-SPX ihlanganiswe yi-2.04% ekuhwebeni okwenzekile ngemuva kokuthi izimakethe zase-Europe zihlaselwe kakhulu. I-FTSE ivale u-0.48%, i-CAC yavala u-0.79% kwathi i-STOXX yavala u-0.39%. i-DAX iphule lo mkhuba ngokuvala u-0.31%. Ngokuya kwesikhathi esizayo senkomba yokulingana i-FTSE iphakamisa ukuthi kuvulwe kahle i-circa 1.3% + i-SPX okwamanje iflethi.
zezimali
I-euro ihlanganyele ekuhwebeni sekwephuzile ngenxa yesixazululo esanikelwa yiFrance neJalimane ngemuva kokuchitha iseshini yangaphambilini isiphansi uma iqhathaniswa nedola ngemuva kokuthi abakwaMoody Investors Service behlise izilinganiso zebhizinisi likahulumeni waseSpain, okwenza ukukhathazeka ngokuthi inkinga yesikweletu sesifunda izosabalala. Idola liwele ezimali zase-Australia nezaseCanada njengoba amasheya nempahla kwahlangana, kwanciphisa isidingo sokuphephela okusobala. I-euro ibonge amaphesenti ayi-0.1 eNew York ngemuva kokukhuphuka phambilini ngamaphesenti angu-0.6. I-euro ithole amaphesenti ayi-0.1 kuya kuma-yen ye-105.56. Imali yaseJapan yayicabalele ku-76.83 uma kuqhathaniswa nedola ngemuva kokuthuthuka okungamaphesenti angama-0.3. Imali yaseJapan isule noma iyiphi inzuzo uma iqhathaniswa nedola ngemuva kokuba iphephandaba iNikkei libike ukuthi uhulumeni waseJapan nebhange elikhulu lizobheka izinyathelo ezenzelwe ukubhekana namandla emali.
Ukukhishwa kwedatha yezomnotho ekuseni ngo-Okthoba 19
09:00 I-Eurozone - I-Akhawunti Yamanje Agasti
09:30 UK - Amaminithi weBhange laseNgilandi
10:00 I-Eurozone - Umphumela Wokwakha ngo-Agasti
Isimo se-akhawunti yamanje ye-ECB sinomthelela omkhulu emandleni e-euro. Ukushoda okuqhubekayo kwe-Akhawunti yamanje kungadala ukuthi i-euro yehle, kukhombise ukuphuma kwama-euro emnothweni, kanti imali eningi ingaholela ekwazisweni ngokwemvelo kwe-euro. Imizuzu yase-UK BoE yimanothi anikeza ukuqonda ngenqubo yokwenza izinqumo ze-MPC kanye nombono we-BoE ngentuthuko yezomnotho ngaphakathi nangaphandle kwe-UK. Amaminithi ngokuvamile akhombisa ukuholwa kwezinguquko zesilinganiso senzalo esizayo okuyiyo izimakethe ezizojwayela ukugxila kuzo ikakhulukazi.
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