Ukunaka kwabatshalizimali kuzophendukela kwisibalo sakamuva sokwehla kwamandla emali kwe-Eurozone, ngenxa yokukhathazeka kwe-ECB mayelana nenani eliphakeme le-euro
NgoLwesithathu ngoFebhuwari 28, ngo-10: 00 am GMT (isikhathi saseLondon), kuzokhishwa isilinganiso esisha se-Eurozone CPI (intengo yamanani abathengi). Isibikezelo, esitholwe ngokuthatha umbono wokuvumelana kosomnotho abaningi abahamba phambili, sibikezela ukwehla kwe-1.2% YoY ngoFebhuwari, kusuka ku-1.3% okurekhodwe kuze kufike kuJanuwari 2018. Isibalo sanyanga zonke sokwehla kwamandla emali sikaJanuwari (MoM) sashaqisa izimakethe, ngokufika ku -0.9%, ngemuva kokunyuka kuka-0.4% ngoDisemba.
Lesi sibalo sizolindelwa ngabatshali zimali nabadayisi, ngenxa yezingxoxo ezehlukene ezezimali ezehlukene zabezindaba, maqondana nokuzibophezela kwe-ECB ekunikezeni ukuphuma kwabo ku-APP (uhlelo lokuthengwa kwempahla kulo nyaka). Ngokomhlahlandlela wokudlulisela phambili weqembu likaMario Draghi elethwe ngo-2017, i-ECB ihlose ukuqala ngokufaka uhlelo (lwendlela yokwehlisa amanani) ngolaka ezingxenyeni ezintathu zokuqala zika-2018, ngenhloso yokuqeda i-APP ku-Q4. Bekukhona nokusikisela, yize kunamahemuhemu amaningi, okuthi ibhange eliphakathi le-Eurozone lingacabanga ngisho nokukhuphula inani lenzalo, lisuka phansi laya ku-0.00%. Kodwa-ke, kunezinkinga ezimbili ezingaphazamisa zombili izinhloso.
Okokuqala, ngaphandle kohlelo lwe-APP, i-CPI (ukwehla kwamandla emali) isalokhu iphansi ngenkani, i-ECB ihlose ukuthola inani elingaphezulu noma elingaphezulu kuka-2%, isibalo seYoY sesizungeze isibalo esingu-1.5% izinyanga ezimbalwa, lapho i-ECB yayithemba / kuhlelwa ukuthi uhlelo luzokhuphula amandla emali. Izinga lenzalo eliphakeme alinakukhuphula ukwehla kwamandla emali, kanti ngenkathi i-QE ekhuphukile ingakhuphula amandla emali, i-ECB iyoba madolonzima ukwenza lokho.
Okwesibili, i-ECB ngokusobala ikhathazekile ngokuthi inani le-euro liphezulu kakhulu uma liqhathaniswa neningi lontanga, ikakhulukazi i-yen, idola laseMelika kanye nepondo lase-UK. Ukuqeda i-QE nokuphakamisa izinga lenzalo kungenzeka kukhuphule inani le-euro. I-ECB ithintwa yizinqubomgomo zezimali zamanye amabhange amakhulu, ezezimali zasekhaya ezibalwe, ayizilawuli ikusasa lazo. Ngakho-ke kunamathuluzi athile kuphela angalisebenzisa ukukala inani lemali ye-bloc eyodwa.
Uma i-CPI ingadedela noma ihlangane, ishaye, noma ilahlekelwe yisibikezelo, okulindelwe ukuthi i-euro izosabela ekukhishweni ngenxa yokuthi ukukhishwa kwamandla emali kuthathwa njengokukhishwa kwedatha okunzima, okuvame ukuthinta inani lemali ephathelene ekukhululweni. Unalokho ngokuthengisa abathengisi bemali (abagxile kuma-euro ngababili), kufanele baqaphe izikhundla zabo ngokucophelela.
IZIMETRIKI ZOMNOTHO EZISEMQOKA EZIBALULEKILE EMCIMBINI WEKHALENDA.
• I-GDP YoY 2.7%.
• Isilinganiso senzalo 0.00%.
• Izinga lentengo ye-1.3%.
• Izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali nyangazonke -0.9%.
• Izinga lokungasebenzi 8.7%.
• Isikweletu v GDP 88.9%.
• Ukukhula komholo u-1.6%.
« Izimakethe zezimali zaseMelika ziphele ngesonto eledlule ngokwanda okukhulu, kanti abatshalizimali bazogxila ezibalweni ze-USA GDP kulo Lwesithathu ukwahlulela umkhombandlela wezimali kanye nedola laseMelika. Izibalo zakamuva zokukhula kwe-USA GDP zingathulisa izinzwa zabatshalizimali, kepha ziphakamise imibuzo maqondana nenqubomgomo yemali yeFed »