Fibonacciand Isicelo sayo ku-Forex Trading
Kuyo yonke imigomo: imigomo, amaphethini, izinkomba kanye namathuluzi asetshenziswa ekuhwebeni, igama, ukuheha kanye nomqondo we "Fibonacci" ugqama njengoyimfihlakalo kakhulu futhi ovusa inkanuko. Ukusetshenziswa okuyindumezulu kwezibalo zezibalo, kuyinikeza igunya elingahlobene nezinkomba zamashadi zesimanje, ezisetshenziswa kakhulu, njenge: MACD, RSI, PSAR, DMI njll.
Kungase kumangaze abathengisi abaningi be-novice ukuthola ukuthi ukulandelana kwe-Fibonacci 'kwasekuqaleni' kusetshenziswa abathengisi abaningi kanye nezikhalazo ezikhungweni ezinkulu lapho beklama amamodeli wokuhweba we-algorithmic, emizameni yabo yokukhipha inzuzo emakethe. Isifundo somlando esifushane ngeFibonacci kufanelekile kuleli phuzu, ngaphambi kokuthi singene ekutheni singasisebenzisa kanjani lesi simanga esihlanzekile, sezibalo, kumashadi ethu.
Ukulandelana kweFibonacci kwaqanjwa ngesazi sezibalo sase-Italy uLeonardo wasePisa, owaziwa njengoFibonacci. Incwadi yakhe engu-1202 ethi Liber Abaci yethule lo mkhuba kwizibalo zaseYurophu. Ukulandelana bekuchazwe phambilini njengezinombolo zeVirahanka ezibalweni zaseNdiya.
UFibonacci uchaze umbono wakhe ngokusebenzisa isibonelo sokukhula senani (lethiyori) labantu, onogwaja abasanda kuzalwa abakhweshanayo benonyaka owodwa. Ekupheleni kwenyanga yayo yesibili owesifazane angakhipha omunye unogwaja, kucatshangwa ukuthi onogwaja abaze bafe, umbhangqwana okhwelayo ukhiqiza umbhangqwana omusha omusha (owesilisa oyedwa, owesifazane oyedwa) njalo ngenyanga kusukela ngenyanga yesibili kuya phambili. Iphazili elenziwa nguFibonacci kwaba ukuthi: mangaki amapara azoba khona ngonyaka owodwa? Imodeli yezibalo echaza lokhu kunwetshwa yaba ukulandelana kweFibonacci. Ukulandelana kwezinombolo kuvela kuzilungiselelo zebhayoloji: amagatsha ezihlahleni, amaqabunga esiqwini, amahlumela ezithelo zikaphayinaphu, izimbali ze-artichoke, ama-ferns angavuleki nama-bracts we-pine cones.
Ngakho-ke lokhu kulandelana kwezibalo, okutholwe nokwakhiwa ngaphezulu kweminyaka engama-800 emuva, kuhlobene kanjani nokuhweba kwanamuhla kwe-forex? Kunezinkolelo ezimbili lapho isicelo sithinteka khona. Okukodwa kukhathaza lokho okubizwa ngokuthi “isiprofetho esizigcwalisayo”. Olunye uhlelo lokusebenza luphathelene nokusikwa kwemvelo okucatshangelwayo, njengoba amandla enhlangano enyamalala; ukunyakaza okubukhali kwemakethe kuzobe sekubuyela emazingeni athile. Ake sibhekane nombono wokuzigcwalisa ngaphambi kokuchaza izibalo ezingemuva kwethiyori yokubuyisela emuva.
Umbono wokuzigcwalisa uphakamisa ukuthi uma abathengisi abaningi besebenzisa umbono wokubuyisa we-Fibonacci, khona-ke imakethe inethuba lokubuyela kulawa mazinga futhi kube nobufakazi bokufakazela ukuthi le mfundiso ingahle isebenze ezimakethe. Uma abathengisi abenele: emabhange amakhulu, ezikhungweni, kumahedge funds nakwabaqambi abanele bezindlela zokuhweba ze-algorithmic, sebenzisa ukulandelana kokubuyisela kabusha ukufaka ama-oda, khona-ke amazinga angashaywa. Ingozi esemqoka ukuthi noma nini lapho sihlangabezana nokwanda okukhulu, ngokwesibonelo, i-pair enkulu yemali, ithuba likhona lokuthi sizohoxiswa ngokuphawulekayo, ngenxa yezizathu ezahlukahlukene. Njengoba intengo ibuyela emuva abalandeli abaningi beFibonacci bazobanga “eureka! Kuyasetshenzwa futhi! ” Lapho iqiniso kungaba ukuthi ababambiqhaza bemakethe bamane bathenge ngokweqile noma babeke ngaphezulu imakethe futhi manje sebebhekana nokungabaza, ngenkathi imakethe iyema ukuthola izinga elisha 'lemvelo'.
Manje ake sibheke ukuthi amagagasi emizwa angahlehlela kanjani futhi nezibalo ziqale ukusebenza. Uqala ngokumane uthole phezulu nangaphansi kokuhamba kwemakethe bese uhlela amaphuzu amabili, lokhu kungu-100% wokuhamba. Amazinga we-Fibonacci asetshenziswa kakhulu yi-38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, kwesinye isikhathi kusetshenziswa ama-23.6% kanye nama-76.4%, yize izinga le-50% lingeyona ingxenye yokulandelana kwe-maths, lifakwe eminyakeni edlule ngabadayisi ngobuningi . Ekuthambekeni okuqinile ukubuyiselwa kabusha okuncane kungama-38.2%, kuthrendi ebuthakathaka, ukubuyisela kabusha kungaba yi-61.8% noma i-76.4%. Ukubuyiselwa kabusha okuphelele (kokungu-100% kokuhamba) kungaqeda ukuhamba okukhona.
Amaleveli e-Fibonacci kufanele abalwe kuphela ngemuva kokuthi imakethe yenze isenzo esikhulu futhi kubonakala sengathi ithambile ezingeni elithile lentengo. Uma kungabalwa ngokuzenzakalela ngephakeji yokuchofoza, amazinga okubuyisela kabusha we-Fibonacci angama-38.2%, ama-50% kanye nama-61.8% asethwe ngokudweba amashadi avundlile ukukhomba izindawo lapho imakethe ingabuyela khona, ngaphambi kokuqalisa kabusha ukuthambekela okwakhiwa yintengo enkulu yokuqala hamba. Okulandelayo manje amasu ambalwa abadayisi be-forex abasebenzisela ukuhweba amazinga we-Fibonacci.
- Ukungena kufinyelela ezingeni le-retracement lama-38.2%, misa ukulahleka ngaphansi nje kwezinga lama-50%.
- Ukungena kufinyelela ezingeni lama-50%, misa i-oda lokulahleka ngaphansi nje kwezinga lama-61.8%.
- Kufinyezwa eduze kwaphezulu kokuhamba, kusetshenziswa amazinga e-Fibonacci njengezinjongo zokuthatha inzuzo.
Njengenjwayelo kubadayisi ukuzijayeza ukusebenzisa i-Fibonacci. Indawo enhle yokuqala kuzobuya / ukuhlolwa ngokuhlela iziqongo zamabhodi eshadini lansuku zonke. Mane nje uthole ukunyakaza okukhulu okuyisihluthulelo, thola inani eliphakeme nomkhombe bese uthola ukuthi ukubuyiselwa esikhundleni empeleni 'kuyasebenza' yini. Ngokufana nazo zonke izindlela zokuhweba azikho ngokuphelele, azikho ezinokwethenjelwa ku-100%. Kodwa-ke, sonke siye sabona, isikhathi nesikhathi, izimakethe zethu ziyabuya futhi zibuyela emuva ngemuva kokunyakaza okukhulu kwemakethe. Uma ungakwazi ukunamathisela ezinye izibalo nesayensi kulokho okubuyiselayo bese ukusekela (uqagele), inqubo yokuphatha imali ezwakalayo, lapho ungathola ukuthi ukufaka i-Fibonacci kucebo lakho lokuhweba kusebenza kahle kakhulu.
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