Izimakethe zase-Europe zikhanya ngokukhanya kwe-FOMC taper kanye ne-rally ekuhwebeni kokuqala, njengoba ongqongqoshe be-EU ngobusuku obubodwa bafinyelele esivumelwaneni ngenyunyana yasebhange | I-Forex Trading Blog - Izindaba ze-Forex, Imibhalo kanye Nokuhlaziywa Kwemakethe

Izimakethe zase-Europe zikhanya ngokukhanya kwe-FOMC taper kanye ne-rally ekuhwebeni kokuqala, njengoba ongqongqoshe be-EU ngobusuku obubodwa bafinyelela esivumelwaneni ngenyunyana yamabhange

Dis 19 • Ingqondo I-Gap • Ukubukwa okungu-7798 • Amazwana Off ezimakethe zase-Europe kubhekwe ukukhanya kwe-FOMC taper kanye ne-rally ekuhwebeni kokuqala, njengoba ngobusuku bonke ongqongqoshe be-EU bafinyelele esivumelwaneni ngenyunyana yasebhange

Yize ukugxila bekugxile ekunciphiseni imali kweFed izolo ebusuku, ongqongqoshe bezezimali base-Europe bafinyelele esivumelwaneni esibalulekile mayelana nenyunyana yamabhange, ngaphambi kwengqungquthela yabo yase-Europe namuhla nakusasa. Intuthuko ebalulekile ekugcineni yenziwe ekuseni ngovivi. Ongqongqoshe be-EU bavumelene ngesivumelwano esibanzi se-ejensi yezinyunyana zamabhange kanye nesikhwama sama- € 55bn sokuvala amabhange anezinkinga ngokushesha nje lapho i-European Central Bank iqala ukubaphoyisa ngonyaka ozayo. Abaholi base-Europe, abazobuthana eBrussels futhi bazoyisayinisa futhi kuzothintwa okokugcina ezingxoxweni nePhalamende lase-Europe ngonyaka ozayo.

"Insika yokugcina yenyunyana yamabhange ifinyelelwe," kusho uNgqongqoshe wezeziMali eJalimane uWolfgang Schäuble etshela izintatheli ebezihlangene.

Izindaba ezinhle eziphathelene nenyunyana yasebhange zisekelwa yimininingwane enhle kakhulu yendawo yase-euro kubhalansi yayo yezinkokhelo ephrintiwe namhlanje ekuseni. Le ndawo idale insalela engama- $ 208 billion, icishe yaphindeka kabili ngo-2012 yaba- € 109 billion futhi yahluke kakhulu kunenani elicatshangelwe yi-USA elicishe lakhokhwa ngo- $ 400 billion lonyaka.

Sekuyizinyanga abahlaziyi bekhuluma maqondana ne-USA QE3 ukuba yidriphu ababhange abaphakathi ababenqena ukuyiphuca isiguli esisohlwini olubucayi. Ngakho-ke kumangaze abaningi ukuthi izimakethe zehlulekile ukugcina izolo ezindabeni zokuthi iFed ekugcineni iyathinta, kepha ngokubheka emuva bekungafanele ibe nayo. Mhlawumbe bekunezizathu ezintathu zokuthi kungani izimakethe zamasheya zingashabalali.

Ku- $ 10bn, i-taper ibithathwa njengelingene. Uma i-Fed iqhubeka nokusika ngalelo zinga, ngeke iyeke ukuthenga amabhondi kuze kube sekupheleni kuka-2014.
IFed ikuqinisekisile ukuthi izoshintsha izinga uma izimo ziba zimbi.
I-Fed ikhombisile ukuthi amanani enzalo asazohlala esezingeni eliphansi isikhathi esingaphezu komunye unyaka.

Ukuthengisa Kwe-UK, ngoNovemba 2013

Ukulinganiselwa konyaka nonyaka kwenani elithengiwe embonini yezitolo liyaqhubeka nokukhombisa ukukhula. NgoNovemba 2013, inani elithengiwe lenyuke ngo-2.0% uma kuqhathaniswa noNovemba 2012. Iphethini eyisisekelo yedatha njengoba kusikiselwe yinyanga emithathu ekunyakazeni kwezinyanga ezintathu ihlala iyisicaba ngenxa yokuncipha kwenani elithengwe ezitolo zokudla naseziteshini zikaphethiloli okususa ukukhula ezitolo okungezona ezokudla nokuthengisa kabusha okungezona ezitolo.

Umbiko we-RBA wokutshalwa kwezimali kwebhizinisi

Utshalomali lwebhizinisi e-Australia selufinyelele kumaphesenti ayi-18 okukhiphayo engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka wezi-2012, okuyisabelo salo esiphezulu eminyakeni engaphezu kwengama-50. Lesi sabelo sehlile futhi kulindeleke ukuthi siqhubeke nokwehla, yize kungacaci ukuthi kungakanani nokuthi isikhathi sini.

Ibhalansi yendawo yokukhokha ye-Euro ngo-Okthoba 2013

I-akhawunti yamanje elungiswe ngezikhathi ezithile yendawo ye-euro ibhale insalela engama- € 21.8 billion ngo-Okthoba 2013. Lokhu kukhombisa imali enqwabelene yezimpahla (€ 17.0 billion), izinsizakalo (€ 9.4 billion) kanye nemali engenayo (€ 4.7 billion), obekuncishiswe ukusilela kokudluliswa kwamanje (€ 9.4 billion). I-akhawunti yamanje ehlelelwe isikhathi esiyizinyanga eziyi-12 eqongelelwe yesikhathi esiphela ngo-Okthoba 2013 iqophe imali esalayo engama- € 208.3 billion (2.2% we-euro area GDP), uma kuqhathaniswa nensalela yama- € 109.8 billion (1.2% of euro area GDP) ye Isikhathi sezinyanga eziyi-12 kuze kufike ku-Okthoba 2012.

Ukuguquka komnotho waseSwitzerland nakho kudlulela embonini yokuthumela kwamanye amazwe, amathemba okuntuleka kwemisebenzi okuphansi

Isimo somnotho eSwitzerland siqhubeke nokugqama ezinyangeni zasekwindla. Ukwanda okulindelekile okulindelekile embonini yokuthumela kwamanye amazwe kubonakala kuqinisekisiwe. Ukuthekelisa okuthe xaxa okuthekelisa kwamanye amazwe kulandele ukwanda komnotho okuthe xaxa kulindelwe, ngoba umnotho wasekhaya, oqhubeke kahle selokhu kwaba nenkinga yezezimali, kufanele uhlale uqinile. Ukuhlinzeka ngomnotho wamazwe omhlaba kuyaqhubeka endleleni yokululama kancane kancane kunamathuba amahle okuqina kwezomnotho eSwitzerland eminyakeni emibili ezayo. Ukulandela ukukhula okuqinile kwe-GDP ngo-1.9% i-Expert Group ilindele ukuthi ukukhula kukhuphuke kuye ku-2.3% ngo-2014 naku-2.7% 2015. Emakethe yezabasebenzi lokhu kungenzeka futhi kubonakale ngokuntuleka kwemisebenzi okuphansi.

Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-10: 00 ekuseni isikhathi sase-UK

I-ASX 200 ivale u-2.08% kwiseshini yasebusuku, i-CSI 300 ivale u-1.05%, i-Hang Seng yavala u-1.10%, kanti i-Nikkei yona yavala u-1.74%. Ekuhwebeni kokuqala kweYurophu i-euro STOXX inyuke ngo-1.94%, i-CAC inyuke ngo-1.79%, i-DAX inyuke ngo-1.76%, i-FTSE inyuke ngo-1.09%. Ikusasa lenkomba ye-DJIA equity okwamanje liphansi ngo-0.04%, ikusasa le-SPX lehle ngo-0.12% kanti ikusasa le-NASDAQ lehla ngo-0.11%, wonke lawa mazwe amathathu asikisela ukuthi izimakethe zase-USA zizovuleka lapho kuvulwe khona eNew York.

Igolide le-COMEX liwele kakhulu, okwamanje lehle ngo-1.81% ku- $ 1212.60 nge-ounce, ngesiliva ku-COMEX phansi ngo-3.26% ngo- $ 19.40 nge-ounce.

I-WTI yokulethwa kukaJanuwari, ephela ngoLwesine, ibingama- $ 97.83 emgqonyeni, isenti elingama-3, ekuhwebeni ngogesi ngesikhathi saseNew York Mercantile Exchange phakathi nesikhathi santambama saseSingapore. Kukhuphuke amasenti angama-58 kuya ku- $ 97.80 izolo, okuyindawo yokuhlala ephakeme kakhulu kusukela ngoDisemba 10. Inkontileka ebisebenza kakhulu ngoFebhuwari ithole isenti eliya ku- $ 1. Umthamo wakho konke okuzayo okuthengisiwe wawungamaphesenti angama-98.07 ngaphansi kwesilinganiso sezinsuku eziyi-51.

Ukugxila kwe-Forex

I-US Dollar Index, elandelela i-greenback ngokuqhathaniswa nontanga bayo abayishumi abayishumi, ingeze amaphesenti ayi-10 ku-0.1 ekuqaleni kweLondon. Imali yase-US yazise amaphesenti ayi-1,021.96 kuya ku- $ 0.1 nge-euro ngayinye.

I-yen iqoqe amaphesenti angu-0.4 yaya ku-142.20 nge-euro ngayinye ngemuva kokuthinta i-142.90 izolo, okuyizinga elibuthakathaka kakhulu kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2008. Liqinise amaphesenti angu-0.3 laya ku-103.99 ngedola ngalinye kulandela ukuwa kwamaphesenti ayi-1.6 izolo, okuyisibalo esikhulu kakhulu kusukela ngo-Agasti 1.

Idola likhuphuke liqhathaniswa nozakwethu abakhulu abangu-16 ngemuva kokuthi iFederal Reserve inqume ukwehlisa amandla okubonakala ukuthi yehlise imali yaseMelika.

Amarandi ase-Australia naseNew Zealand awele ngokuqhathaniswa nontanga abakhulu ngenxa yokwesaba ukuthi iFed izoqhubeka nokubuyisela emuva ukuthengwa kwamabhondi okuvuselele amanani entengo emhlabeni jikelele. I-Aussie yehle ngo-0.1% yaya ku-88.52 US cents, kwathi imali yaseNew Zealand yehla ngo-0.6% yaya ku-81.87 US cents.

Iphawundi lashintshwa kancane ngo-83.57 pence nge-euro ngayinye ekuqaleni kwesikhathi saseLondon ngemuva kokukhuphuka ngamaphesenti ayi-1.4 izolo, okuyinyuka enkulu ukwedlula yonke kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2011. Phambilini yayikhuphuke yaya ku-83.39 pence, okuyizinga eliqine kakhulu kusukela ngoDisemba 5. Imali yase-UK ibikade ingu- $ 1.6379 ngemuva kokukhuphuka yaya ku- $ 1.6484 izolo, okuyimali ephezulu kakhulu kusukela ngo-Agasti 2011. Isikwele sakhuphukela ezingeni eliqine kakhulu emasontweni amabili sibhekene ne-euro ngaphambi kokuthi umbiko wezomnotho uthi uzokhombisa ukuthi ukuthengiswa kwezitolo zase-UK kwenyuka ngoNovemba.

izibopho

Isilinganiso seminyaka eyi-10 sokukhiqizwa asishintshwanga kangako ngamaphesenti angu-2.88 ekuqaleni kweLondon. Intengo yenothi lamaphesenti angu-2.75 ngenxa kaNovemba 2023 yayingu-98 7/8. Isivuno seqe amaphuzu ayisisekelo ayisithupha, noma iphesenti le-0.06, izolo, ukwanda okukhulu kakhulu kusukela ngoNovemba 20. Amagugu aphethwe ngamanani aphansi kakhulu uma kuqhathaniswa nozakwabo bamazwe omhlaba eminyakeni eyisithupha ngemuva kokuthi iFederal Reserve imemezele izinhlelo zokunciphisa ukuthengwa kwezikweletu.