Ukuchazwa kwe-Fed Speak
I-Equities ikhombise ukungazinzi okuzungeze lesi sinqumo, kodwa kwavalwa kungashintshi. Amagugu ase-US abephansi ngaphambi kwalesi sinqumo futhi eminye imidlalo yejika yenzeka, ngokusho kombhalo we-twist, oholele ekusebenzeni kokuphela kwesikhathi eside nebhere elicijile ezingxenyeni zeminyaka emi-5 kuya kwengama-30. I-EUR / USD yehle kuqala phansi, yabe isiphakama phezulu, ngaphambi kokuncipha futhi futhi ivale ukungalingani eduze kwamazinga wangaphambi kwe-FOMC.
Isitatimende sangoJuni se-FOMC sikubonile ukwehla komnotho emikhakheni eyehlukene, njengokusebenzisa imali yasekhaya kanye nemakethe yezabasebenzi. Ukutshalwa kwemali okuhleliwe kwezebhizinisi kubonakale kuqhubeka nokuthuthuka (okungashintshiwe futhi umkhakha wezezindlu uchazwe njengokucindezelekile yize kunezimpawu ezithile zokwenza ngcono (ezingashintshiwe) .Ukusetshenziswa kwemali emakhaya kubonakala kukhula kancane kancane kunasekuqaleni konyaka, kanti ngo-Ephreli Emakethe yezabasebenzi, isitatimende sithi “ukukhula emisebenzini kuye kwahamba kancane ezinyangeni ezisanda kwedlula, kanti izimo zezimakethe zezabasebenzi zibonakale zingcono futhi nezinga labantu abangasebenzi lehlile ngo-Ephreli.
Ngokuphathelene nesimo somnotho, kwaba nokulungiswa okuncane. Ukukhula kusalindelwe ukuthi kuhlale ngokulingene ngaphezu kwezindawo ezizayo, bese kukhethwa kancane kancane (ukwengeza kakhulu). Izinga labantu abangasebenzi manje kulindeleke ukuthi lehle kancane kancane, kanti ngo-Ephreli kulindeleke ukuthi lenze kancane kancane. Izinkinga zezezimali zibonakala njengaphambilini njengokubeka ingozi enkulu. Ukuqagela kwezomnotho nokho kubuyekezwe kwaba ngaphansi kakhulu kowezi-2013 nowezi-2014, okusho ukuthi ukukhula kulindeleke ukuthi kube ngaphansi noma kancane ngaphansi kokukhula komkhuba eminye iminyaka emibili. Ngenxa yalokho, ababusi bakhuphule izinga labo lokungasebenzi, okukhombisa ngezinga elizinzile lokungasebenzi ekupheleni konyaka futhi okuthe ukwehla kancane ngasekupheleni kuka-2014 Izinga lezimali zeFed ligcinwa lingashintshi (0-0.25%) kanjalo nesilinganiso salo sokubheka phambili ukuholwa. I-FOMC isalindele ukuthi izimo zizoqinisekisa amazinga aphansi e-FF okungenani kuze kube sekupheleni kuka-2014. Umbono wokubukeza wokukhula kanye nokuntuleka kwemisebenzi kuchaza ukuthi kungani le nqubomgomo yehlisa i-FOMC. Ukukhethwa kokushintshwa kokusebenza kusikisela ukuthi iFed ayikhethanga isenzo sokushaqeka nokwesaba.
Abatshalizimali babelindele uhlelo lwe-QE-3, obekungaba isenzo esinamandla ngokwengeziwe. Isethenjwa esicacile esitatimendeni sokuthi i-Fed isilungele ukuthatha ezinye izinyathelo kusho ukuthi isinqumo sethuluzi elisisebenzisile silinganiswe kahle. UMnu Bernanke naye osevele ekuqaleni kwesithangami nabezindaba ukuqinisekisile ukuthi iFed ngeke ilinde isikhathi eside ukwenza okuningi uma ikakhulukazi izimo zemakethe yezabasebenzi bezingathuthuki. Ubalule ukuthi isenzo esinjalo singasho ukuthi i-QE-3 ethe xaxa (ekupheleni konyaka azikho izimali eziphelelwe yisikhathi ezisele kuphothifoliyo yeFed okwenza omunye umsebenzi uphenduke kungenzeki), kepha njengoba ukusebenza kuphenduka kunqunywa ukuhlala izinyanga eziyisithupha, i-QE-6 enjalo ayikabhakwa kwikhekhe. Ezinye izinketho zokunciphisa kungenzeka. Kunezinyanga ezimbili ezengeziwe zemininingwane ye-eco ngaphambi komhlangano ka-Agasti ngakho-ke ungakushiyi ukuthi vele ngo-Agasti iFed ingafuna indawo yokuhlala eyengeziwe, futhi ungakhiphi, yize bekubhalwe imigqa emibili ngaphezulu, kungenzeka ukuthi isesimweni kwe-QE-3. UBernanke uphinde waveza ukuthi kungani bengathathanga zinyathelo ezinqala kulo mhlangano: imininingwane ayikacaci kahle (isimo sezulu nezinye izingqinamba zokulungiswa kwesizini kungenzeka kubaphazamisile) futhi amathuluzi angajwayelekile nawo anezingozi nezindleko.
Ngakho-ke, iFed ifuna ukulahlwa yicala iyadingeka; mhlawumbe i-Fed ibifuna ukugcina izinhlamvu ezithile uma inkinga ye-EMU ingakhula. Wengeze ngokuqinile yize iFed izothatha izinyathelo ezinqala, uma kudingeka.
I-twist yokusebenza enqunywe ngonyaka odlule izophela ekupheleni kukaJuni. I-FOMC ithathe isinqumo sokuthi iqhubeke kuze kube sekupheleni konyaka uhlelo lwayo lokukhulisa ukuvuthwa okuphakathi kokuphepha kwayo. I-NY Fed izokwenza imisebenzi. Izothenga izibambiso zikaMgcinimafa ngokuvuthwa okusele kweminyaka eyisithupha kuya kwengu-6 ngalesi sikhathi esikhona futhi ithengise noma ihlenge izibambiso zikaMgcinimafa ngokuvuthwa okusele cishe kweminyaka emi-30 noma ngaphansi. IFed ithi lokhu kufanele kubeke ingcindezi eyehlayo kumazinga wenzalo yesikhathi eside futhi kusize ukwenza izimo zezimali ezibanzi zihlale kahle. I-NY Fed yengeze ukuthi ekupheleni kohlelo, iFed izobamba cishe zonke izibambiso ezingakhuli ngoJanuwari 3. Ukuphepha okuvuthwa ku-H2016 ka-2 kuzohlengwa futhi kungathengiswa njengoba umphumela kuphothifoliyo ucishe ufane. Ukusatshalaliswa kokuthengiwe kucishe kufane nohlelo lokuqala (ama-2012% ebhakedeni lonyaka lama-30-20, ama-30% ebhakedeni ngalinye lonyaka we-32-6 no-8-8, i-10% ngonyaka we-4-10 no-20% AMACEBISO wonyaka we-3-6. Ekupheleni kohlelo, ukuthenga nokuthengisa kuzofinyelela ku- $ 30B ngayinye.
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