Eph 10 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-5492 • Amazwana Off eChina, Crude And The GCC
Onyakeni odlule, amanani kawoyela anyuke kakhulu ngenxa yokusabela kwentwasahlobo yama-Arab, afinyelela cishe ku-$126 umphongolo ngo-Ephreli odlule esiqongweni senhlekelele yaseLibya.
Kusukela lapho, amanani awazange abuyele emazingeni alinganiselwe ka-2010, lapho intengo evamile yonyaka yayizungeze u-$80 umphongolo ngamunye. Esikhundleni salokho, amanani kawoyela ahlala ezungeze u-$110 umphongolo ngamunye ngo-2011, aphinde akhuphuka amanye amaphesenti angu-15 ngo-2012. Uwoyela evikini eledlule usuqalile ukwehla, ezinhlwini zezimpahla eziphakeme kanye nesidingo esehlisiwe, uwoyela uyahweba namuhla ezingeni lika-100.00 .
Amanani aphezulu kawoyela ngokuvamile azuzisa i-GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) ngokukhuphuka kwemali engenayo, kodwa uma amanani enyuka ngokushesha kakhulu, noma ehlala ephakeme isikhathi eside, umkhiqizo obizayo uba ungathandeki futhi abangenisa uwoyela kwamanye amazwe bavame ukunciphisa ukusetshenziswa kwabo kukawoyela. Ezimweni ezinjalo, isidingo esincane sikawoyela sihumusheka ekukhuleni komnotho emhlabeni wonke.
Ukukhathazeka okuyinhloko kwe-OPEC intengo kawoyela kanye nokuziphatha kwabathengi. Amanani aphezulu aletha imali ephezulu kodwa kunezinga lapho isidingo sabathengi sinciphisa khona. Uma izintengo ziphoqa uguquko esidingweni sabathengi, uguquko lungasuka ekuguquleni okulula luye ekuziphatheni kwesikhathi eside okusongela ukusetshenziswa esikhathini eside.
I-China, njengamanye amazwe amaningi, isivele isimemezele ukukhula okuphansi konyaka wezi-2012. Njengoba ingenisa uwoyela oqinile kwamanye amazwe, isidingo salo mkhiqizo kufanele ngombono wehle. Kanjalo, amandla okuthenga eChina aqina maqondana nokuthenga impahla yedola laseMelika, kulokhu uwoyela, okwenza ushibhile eChina kunabanye abawuthenga kwamanye amazwe. Ngakho-ke intengo kawoyela ekhuphukayo inxeshezelwa kahle ngamandla okuthenga aqinisayo we-giant. Ngenxa yalokhu, inani lempahla yaseShayina ephuma kwamanye amazwe evela kumalungu e-GCC e-OPEC (Inhlangano Yamazwe Athumela Uphethiloli) liye landa.
Amaphesenti angu-12 kawoyela womhlaba wonke avela ku-OPEC, eyakhiwe amazwe ayi-20 nje kuphela, ingxenye yesithathu yawo engamalungu e-GCC. Kodwa ngokuhlangene, iSaudi Arabia, i-UAE, i-Kuwait kanye ne-Qatar benza cishe ingxenye yesamba se-OPEC - amaphesenti angama-XNUMX kawoyela emhlabeni wonke.
Amazwe amane e-GCC abelokhu ekhulisa kancane kancane ukuthunyelwa kwawo e-China, kusukela ku-$4.6 billion ngonyaka odlule kuya ku-$7.8 billion kawoyela ngoFebhuwari. Lokhu kuhambisana nokwenyuka ngamaphesenti angama-68.8 kokuthi iChina ingenise malini emazweni amane e-GCC ngonyaka owodwa nje vo.
Lokhu kufanele kubhekwe njengophawu oluqinisekisayo. Njengoba idola laseMelika lingase libe ntekenteke esikhathini esimaphakathi ngenxa yokugqugquzelwa okuqinile kwenqubomgomo yezimali yase-US futhi njengoba inkambiso yokushintshashintsha kancane kancane ibuyela esimeni esijwayelekile, i-China, kanye namanye amazwe ase-Asia okungenzeka ukuthi izimali zawo zazisa, zingalondoloza isidingo. ngokuthunyelwa kwe-GCC.
Amanani kawoyela azozuzisa neminotho ye-GCC. Kuze kube manje kulo nyaka, amanani athonywe kakhulu intuthuko e-Iran. Njengoba unswinyo oluzothinta ibhalansi yezinkokhelo zase-Iran, sesivele sibona umnotho omkhulu ubhekela kwezinye izimakethe zikawoyela, okuhlanganisa kokubili iSaudi Arabia kanye neKuwait. Lolu shintsho luzobeka iChina esimeni esiqinile njengoba i-Iran izophoqeleka ukuthi ithengise uwoyela wayo eChina njengomthengi oyinhloko kanti iChina izokwehlisa inani elingatholwa yi-Iran.
Izwe laseChina lizoba ngelinye lamazwe ambalwa azokhipha uwoyela kwamanye amazwe kodwa angakwazi nokuwakhokhela, ngenxa yonswinyo.
I-GCC kufanele iqhubeke nokujabulela imali engenayo kawoyela ephezulu, enganxephezela kahle ukukhula kwayo kwasekhaya okuntekenteke, kanye nanoma yikuphi ukushaqeka okukhulu kwendawo ye-euro.
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« Amafutha Angahluziwe Nabaqambi Baphazamisa Ukubuyiselwa Kwezomnotho Ukubuyekezwa Kwemakethe ngo-Ephreli 11 2012 »
I-China, i-Crude ne-GCC
Eph 10 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-5492 • Amazwana Off eChina, Crude And The GCC
Onyakeni odlule, amanani kawoyela anyuke kakhulu ngenxa yokusabela kwentwasahlobo yama-Arab, afinyelela cishe ku-$126 umphongolo ngo-Ephreli odlule esiqongweni senhlekelele yaseLibya.
Kusukela lapho, amanani awazange abuyele emazingeni alinganiselwe ka-2010, lapho intengo evamile yonyaka yayizungeze u-$80 umphongolo ngamunye. Esikhundleni salokho, amanani kawoyela ahlala ezungeze u-$110 umphongolo ngamunye ngo-2011, aphinde akhuphuka amanye amaphesenti angu-15 ngo-2012. Uwoyela evikini eledlule usuqalile ukwehla, ezinhlwini zezimpahla eziphakeme kanye nesidingo esehlisiwe, uwoyela uyahweba namuhla ezingeni lika-100.00 .
Amanani aphezulu kawoyela ngokuvamile azuzisa i-GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) ngokukhuphuka kwemali engenayo, kodwa uma amanani enyuka ngokushesha kakhulu, noma ehlala ephakeme isikhathi eside, umkhiqizo obizayo uba ungathandeki futhi abangenisa uwoyela kwamanye amazwe bavame ukunciphisa ukusetshenziswa kwabo kukawoyela. Ezimweni ezinjalo, isidingo esincane sikawoyela sihumusheka ekukhuleni komnotho emhlabeni wonke.
Ukukhathazeka okuyinhloko kwe-OPEC intengo kawoyela kanye nokuziphatha kwabathengi. Amanani aphezulu aletha imali ephezulu kodwa kunezinga lapho isidingo sabathengi sinciphisa khona. Uma izintengo ziphoqa uguquko esidingweni sabathengi, uguquko lungasuka ekuguquleni okulula luye ekuziphatheni kwesikhathi eside okusongela ukusetshenziswa esikhathini eside.
I-China, njengamanye amazwe amaningi, isivele isimemezele ukukhula okuphansi konyaka wezi-2012. Njengoba ingenisa uwoyela oqinile kwamanye amazwe, isidingo salo mkhiqizo kufanele ngombono wehle. Kanjalo, amandla okuthenga eChina aqina maqondana nokuthenga impahla yedola laseMelika, kulokhu uwoyela, okwenza ushibhile eChina kunabanye abawuthenga kwamanye amazwe. Ngakho-ke intengo kawoyela ekhuphukayo inxeshezelwa kahle ngamandla okuthenga aqinisayo we-giant. Ngenxa yalokhu, inani lempahla yaseShayina ephuma kwamanye amazwe evela kumalungu e-GCC e-OPEC (Inhlangano Yamazwe Athumela Uphethiloli) liye landa.
Amaphesenti angu-12 kawoyela womhlaba wonke avela ku-OPEC, eyakhiwe amazwe ayi-20 nje kuphela, ingxenye yesithathu yawo engamalungu e-GCC. Kodwa ngokuhlangene, iSaudi Arabia, i-UAE, i-Kuwait kanye ne-Qatar benza cishe ingxenye yesamba se-OPEC - amaphesenti angama-XNUMX kawoyela emhlabeni wonke.
Amazwe amane e-GCC abelokhu ekhulisa kancane kancane ukuthunyelwa kwawo e-China, kusukela ku-$4.6 billion ngonyaka odlule kuya ku-$7.8 billion kawoyela ngoFebhuwari. Lokhu kuhambisana nokwenyuka ngamaphesenti angama-68.8 kokuthi iChina ingenise malini emazweni amane e-GCC ngonyaka owodwa nje vo.
Lokhu kufanele kubhekwe njengophawu oluqinisekisayo. Njengoba idola laseMelika lingase libe ntekenteke esikhathini esimaphakathi ngenxa yokugqugquzelwa okuqinile kwenqubomgomo yezimali yase-US futhi njengoba inkambiso yokushintshashintsha kancane kancane ibuyela esimeni esijwayelekile, i-China, kanye namanye amazwe ase-Asia okungenzeka ukuthi izimali zawo zazisa, zingalondoloza isidingo. ngokuthunyelwa kwe-GCC.
Amanani kawoyela azozuzisa neminotho ye-GCC. Kuze kube manje kulo nyaka, amanani athonywe kakhulu intuthuko e-Iran. Njengoba unswinyo oluzothinta ibhalansi yezinkokhelo zase-Iran, sesivele sibona umnotho omkhulu ubhekela kwezinye izimakethe zikawoyela, okuhlanganisa kokubili iSaudi Arabia kanye neKuwait. Lolu shintsho luzobeka iChina esimeni esiqinile njengoba i-Iran izophoqeleka ukuthi ithengise uwoyela wayo eChina njengomthengi oyinhloko kanti iChina izokwehlisa inani elingatholwa yi-Iran.
Izwe laseChina lizoba ngelinye lamazwe ambalwa azokhipha uwoyela kwamanye amazwe kodwa angakwazi nokuwakhokhela, ngenxa yonswinyo.
I-GCC kufanele iqhubeke nokujabulela imali engenayo kawoyela ephezulu, enganxephezela kahle ukukhula kwayo kwasekhaya okuntekenteke, kanye nanoma yikuphi ukushaqeka okukhulu kwendawo ye-euro.
chinaokungcolilegcc
« Amafutha Angahluziwe Nabaqambi Baphazamisa Ukubuyiselwa Kwezomnotho Ukubuyekezwa Kwemakethe ngo-Ephreli 11 2012 »