Kokubili i-UK ne-USA bashicilela imiphumela yabo yokugcina ye-GDP Q4 ngoLwesihlanu, zombili zizobhekwa ngeso elibukhali, ngezizathu ezahlukene
Zombili izinhlangano zezibalo zase-UK nase-USA zishicilela izibalo zekota yokugcina ze-GDP zango-2017, ngoLwesihlanu ngoJanuwari 26. Kokubili ukufundwa kuzobhekwa ngokucophelela nganoma yiziphi izimpawu zokuntenga kwezomnotho, noma amandla aqhubekayo, njengoba unyaka usuphela. Ukufundwa kwase-UK kuzobhekelwa ngokucophelela ukuthola ezinye izimpawu zokuthi iBrexit eseduze ayithinti kakhulu umnotho, kanti ukufundwa kwe-USA kuzobhekwa nganoma yiziphi izimpawu zokuthi idola elibuthakathaka, kulo lonke u-2017, lihlulekile ukufiphaza ukukhula okungaguquki kwezwe, okurekhodwe eminyakeni yamuva.
Ngo-9: 30 ekuseni i-GMT (isikhathi saseLondon) ngoLwesihlanu zingama-26 kuMasingana i-UK ONS (i-ejensi esemthethweni yezibalo zikazwelonke) izokhipha ikota yokugcina nonyaka ngonyaka izibalo ze-GDP zase-UK Isibikezelo esokufundwa kuka-0.4% we-Q4 yokugcina ka-2017, okuholele ekutheni isibikezelo sonyaka nonyaka se-GDP sokukhula kwama-1.4%.
Abahlaziyi kanye nabatshalizimali bazoqapha zombili lezi zifundo ngokucophelela, ikakhulukazi maqondana nodaba lweBrexit oluzayo, njengoba osomnotho abaningi kanye nabahlaziyi bezimakethe bekholelwa (futhi babikezela ngempela), ukuthi umnotho wase-UK uzodlala ngothando ngokushesha nokwehla kwamandla omnotho ngasekupheleni kuka-2016 nango-2017, ngenxa Ukuvotelwa kwe-referendum ukuphuma ku-EU Kodwa-ke, njengoba abaningi besezinhlungwini zokukhomba; i-UK ayikahambi okwamanje, ngakho-ke noma yimuphi umthelela wezomnotho weBrexit ungahlulelwa kanye kuphela (futhi uma) i-UK ingena enkathini yenguquko futhi uma ekugcineni iphuma.
Ukufundwa kwe-Q3 GDP kungene ngo-0.4%, uma isibalo se-Q4 singena njengesibikezelo ku-0.4% bese isibalo sokukhula sika-2017 sizongena ku-1.4%, ukuwa kweYoY ngo-0.3%, kusuka ku-1.7% obekurekhodwe phambilini. Yize lokhu kungamelela ukuwa kokukhula kwe-GDP, osomnotho abaningi bazobheka lo mphumela njengowamukelekayo, uma kubhekwa izibikezelo zokwehla komnotho ngaphambi kwesikhathi. Kodwa-ke, uma ukufundwa kungena ku-0.5% we-Q4, ngokufana nokubikezela okwenziwe yi-NIESR, inhlangano ezimele yezomnotho, khona-ke isibalo se-GDP esingu-1.7% singagcinwa. ISterling ijabulele i-rally uma iqhathaniswa nontanga bayo abakhulu ngo-2018, inyuka ngaphezu kuka-2% uma iqhathaniswa nontanga abaningi futhi inyuka cishe ngo-5.5% uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika. Uma kwenzeka ukufundwa kwe-GDP kushaya isibikezelo, lokho-ke kungaba kuhle ukunakwa futhi ngenxa yalokho kube nomsebenzi omkhulu.
Ngo-13: 30 ntambama, i-GMT (isikhathi saseLondon) isibalo se-GDP sakamuva somnotho wase-USA sizoshicilelwa yi-Bureau of Economic Analysis; ukufundwa okwenziwa minyaka yonke (QoQ) (4Q A). Isibikezelo esokufundwa kwe-3%, ukuwa kusuka ku-3.2% ukufundwa okwenziwe ngonyaka okubhaliselwe ikota edlule. Izinga lokukhula kweYoY njengamanje lingu-2.30%.
Ngaphandle kohlelo oluningi olumenyezelwe lokunciphisa intela olugcine luqala ukusebenza kanye nomthetho ngoDisemba 2017, lesi sikhuthazo sezimali mancane amathuba okuthi sibe nomthelela ekusebenzeni kwe-GDP e-USA ngonyaka we-2017. ukukhuthaza ukuqhuma emkhakheni wezokukhiqiza nowokuthekelisa. Ibhalansi ye-USA yokuhweba kanye nezinkokhelo isabhala ukwanda kwamaphutha, unyaka nonyaka.
Noma ikuphi ukufundwa okungenhla, noma okusondele ku-3% kwezomnotho ohamba phambili we-Western Hemisphere, kuthathwa njengokuhle, ngakho-ke uma ukwehliswa okwenziwa minyaka yonke ekukhuleni kwe-GDP kuqoshwa, kusuka ku-3.2% kuye ku-3%, abahlaziyi, abahwebi kanye nabatshalizimali bangakuthatha lokhu njengokwamukelekayo, ngokwenani le-USD.
IZIKHOMBISI EZIMqoka ZOMNOTHO ZE-UK
• I-GDP YoY 1.7%.
• Isilinganiso senzalo 0.50%.
• Izinga lentengo ye-3%.
• Izinga lokungasebenzi 4.3%.
• Ukukhula komholo u-2.5%.
• Isikweletu v GDP 89.3%
• I-PMI eyinhlanganisela 54.9.
IZIKHOMBISI EZIMqoka ZOMNOTHO ZE-USA
• I-GDP QoQ yenze unyaka we-3.2%
• Isilinganiso senzalo 1.50%.
• Izinga lentengo ye-2.10%.
• Izinga lokungasebenzi 4.1%.
• Isikweletu v GDP 106%.
• I-PMI eyinhlanganisela 53.8.
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