Idola lase-Aussie liyaphahlazeka uma liqhathaniswa nontanga yalo, njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali kwehla kakhulu, amamethrikhi e-IFO yaseJalimane aphuthelwa yizibikezelo, okwengeza ukwesaba ukuthi iJalimane ingase ingene enzimeni yomnotho.

Eph 24 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2448 • Amazwana Off ekuphahlazekeni kwedola lase-Aussie uma liqhathaniswa nontanga yalo, njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali kwehla kakhulu, amamethrikhi e-IFO yaseJalimane aphuthelwa yizibikezelo, okwengeza ukwesaba ukuthi iJalimane ingase ingene ekuwohlokeni komnotho.

Idola lase-Aussie lehla phakathi neseshini yokuhweba yase-Sydney-Asian, abahlaziyi basheshe bathi ukuwa okusekelwe ekwehleni kwamandla emali okuza ngaphansi kokulindelwe ku-1.3% unyaka nonyaka ngoMashi, kwehla ku-1.8%, njengoba i-Q1 CPI ingene ku-0.00%. Imethrikhi ye-CPI ewayo iyinkomba yokukhula okubuthakathaka, ngakho-ke, i-RBA, ibhange eliphakathi lase-Australia, mancane amathuba okuthi linyuse izinga lenzalo elibalulekile. Ngo-9:30am ngesikhathi sase-UK, i-AUD/USD ihwebe ngo-0.704, phansi -0.82%, iphahlazeka emazingeni amathathu okusekela, kuya ku-S3, ngenkathi ishaya kancane izinyanga ezimbili. Amanye amapheya e-AUD alandele amaphethini wokuziphatha afanayo.

Ukukhishwa kwekhalenda laseYurophu ngeseshini yasekuseni, kuthinta ukufundwa kwe-IFO kwakamuva kweJalimane, nawo womathathu amamethrikhi ashoda ngezibikezelo zeReuters. Ibalwa njengemicimbi yekhalenda yomthelela omaphakathi, ukufundwa kwe-IFO kuzobe kwengezelele ekwesabeni okwandayo kokuthi umnotho waseJalimane ungase untengantenge, noma mhlawumbe uphokophele ekuwohlokeni kobuchwepheshe, emikhakheni eyahlukene. Ngo-9:45am ngesikhathi sase-UK, i-EUR/USD ihwebe ngo-1.121, yehle ngo-0.10%, inyakaza ebangeni eliqinile, phakathi kwephoyinti le-pivot lansuku zonke kanye nezinga lokuqala losekelo. I-euro ithole ingcebo yokuhweba okuxubile iqhathaniswa nontanga yayo abambalwa, ikhuphuka kakhulu uma iqhathaniswa ne-AUD ne-NZD, njengomphumela wedatha ebuthakathaka yokwehla kwamandla emali yase-Aussie kanye nokwehla kakhulu uma iqhathaniswa ne-Swiss franc. I-Swissies ikhuphuke ngohwebo lwakuqala uma iqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yayo, njengoba i-metric yenhlolovo ye-Credit Suisse yeza ngaphambi kwesibikezelo.

Ukufundwa kokuntengantenga kokuhweba okuhle kakhulu, kwehle kakhulu phakathi nekhefu/iholide lePhasika lamasonto amabili, okuveza ukuthi izindaba ezihlobene ne-Brexit ziyisici esiyinhloko sokunyakaza kwamaphawundi ase-UK. Njengoba amaLungu ePhalamende ebuyela emuva emsebenzini wawo ngoLwesibili zingama-24 kuMbasa, ukuntengantenga kwanda ngokushesha, njengoba isihloko seBrexit sibuyela ezingxoxweni embonini ye-FX. I-GBP/USD yehle phakathi neseshini yangoLwesibili, ngenxa yamandla edola kunobuthakathaka bephawundi, kodwa lokho kwehla kwaqhubekela phambili ezimisweni zangoLwesithathu. Naphezu kosuku lokugcina lokuphuma e-UK manje selusethwe ngo-Okthoba 31, kanye nokushoda kwesabelomali sase-UK kufinyelela eminyakeni eyishumi nesikhombisa ephansi, besingekho isifiso sokubhidela i-GBP, ngesikhathi seseshini yaseLondon-European.

I-UK yaboleka u-£24.7b ukuze ibhalansise izincwadi onyakeni wezimali odlule, izibalo ezikhishwe ngoLwesibili ekuseni ziveze, ephansi kakhulu kusukela ngo-2001-2002, futhi yehle ngonyaka odlule, ukuboleka onyakeni wakamuva wezimali ogcwele bekungaphezu kuka-£1.9b. isibikezelo se-£22.8 billion yi-OBR (Ihhovisi Lesibopho Sesabelomali). Njengokushoda, ukuboleka kwe-UK manje sekuyi-1.2% kuphela ye-GDP, ngenkathi emuva ngo-2008-09 i-UK yaboleka u-£153b, noma u-9.9% we-GDP, lapho umnotho ubhekene nokuwohloka komnotho, kuyilapho abakhokhi bentela betakula amabhange ase-UK. Ngokushesha ngemva kokushicilelwa kwedatha ekhuthazayo, i-GPB/USD ihwebe ku-1.290, yehluleka ukubuyisela isibambo se-1.300, nokuhweba ngaphansi kwe-DMA engu-200, ebekwe ku-1.296, yehlela phansi engakaze ibonwe kusukela ngoFebhuwari 2019.

Ukunakwa kuzophendukela emnothweni waseCanada phakathi neseshini yantambama, njengoba i-BOC isakaza isinqumo sayo sakamuva mayelana nesilinganiso senzalo, okwamanje ku-1.75% kukhona okulindelekile phakathi komphakathi wabahlaziyi ngokunyuka, ngokusekelwe ekusebenzeni komnotho okungekuhle kweCanada. Ngokwemvelo, kuzogxilwa ngokushesha esitatimendeni soMbusi uStephen Poloz esihambisana nesinqumo, njengoba abahlaziyi behlanganisa imininingwane yanoma yimiphi imikhondo i-BOC ecabanga ngayo ukushintsha isimo sayo samanje senqubomgomo yezimali, ukuze inyuse amanani esikhathini esizayo esiseduze. Abadayisi be-FX abahweba nge-CAD, noma abasebenza ngokukhethekile ekuhwebeni kwezindaba ezisematheni, bazokwaziswa ukuthi baveze isimemezelo, esihlelelwe ukukhululwa ngo-15:00pm ngesikhathi sase-UK. Ngo-10:45pm i-USD/CAD ihwebe ngo-0.20%, i-oscillating phakathi kwephoyinti le-pivot lansuku zonke kanye nezinga lokuqala lokumelana.

Njengohlobo lwemali lwempahla, idola laseCanada libe nenzuzo enkulu ngezikhathi zakamuva, ngemuva kokuthi abaphathi bakaTrump bexwayise amakhasimende ase-Iran, ukuthi azoba ngaphansi kwenswinyo, uma eqhubeka nokuthenga uwoyela wase-Iran. I-WTI ikhuphuke ngaphezu kwe-$ 66 umgqomo, izinga elingakaze libonwe kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2018. Naphezu kokuwa ngo-0.66% ngoLwesithathu, intengo ebanjwe ngaphezu kwesibambo se-66.00. Izinga elingase lihlolwe, uma i-DOE seyembule imininingwane yakamuva yokugcina amandla emnothweni wase-USA, ngo-15:30pm namhlanje ntambama.

Amazwana zivaliwe.

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