Iqembu lika-Angela Merkel le-CDU linqoba i-German Federal Election, kanti iqembu le-AfD elingakwesokudla lenza inzuzo enkulu
Ukunqoba kwe-Pyrrhic kuwukunqoba okufaka umonakalo onjalo kumnqobi, kufana nokuhlulwa kwangempela. Umuntu othola ukunqoba kwe-Pyrrhic uye waba ngumnqobi, nakuba imali ekhokhiswayo ishaya indiva noma yimuphi umuzwa wangempela wokuphumelela, noma inzuzo.
Nakuba kungekona (ngokwencazelo) ukunqoba kwe-Pyrrhic, u-Angela Merkel, umholi wamanje noqhubekayo we-Christian Democrat Union Party eJalimane, kanye nokuba ngelinye lamashansela asebenze isikhathi eside kakhulu eJalimane, kumele azizwe edangele futhi edumazekile. Naphezu kokuwina ihlandla lesine, wenze iqembu elimelene nokufika kuleli (i-AfD) elikude kwesokudla, ukuthi likhule ngokuduma futhi lifinyelele cishe. U-13.5% wamavoti adumile, ngokokuvota okuphuma sekwephuzile. Emphakathini othuthuke kangaka njengeJalimane, kumelwe ukuba kwafika njengokushaywa kwangempela, kushansela ophindwe kane.
I-AfD iqhube umkhankaso wayo ngegunya elincane kakhulu kanye nenkundla esobala okuhlanganisa; ukuvalwa kwama-mosque kanye nokubuyiselwa kwawo ngokushesha kwabo bonke ababaleki, umkhankaso osopolitiki abaxubile njengoMerkel, ababenethemba lokuthi ngeke ube nesikhalo esibanzi.
Naphezu kokugcizelela ukuthi indlela yokuthuthela kwelinye izwe ingeyesikhashana nje, ukwamukelwa kobuntu kanye nempatho yesihle iJalimane eyanikeza (ikakhulukazi) ababaleki baseSyria abaphelelwe yithemba nabanyathelwe phansi abayisigidi, imbuyisele emuva uMerkel. Izinxushunxushu eMpumalanga Ephakathi akuzona okwenziwa yiJalimane, kodwa izingxenye zomphakathi waseJalimane ovotayo zijezise iqembu lakhe kanye namademokhrasi omphakathi okhethweni, ngokuvumela lezi zinombolo ukuthi zinikezwe indawo ephephile eJalimane.
Ukwanda kwamavoti e-AfD kuzoqinisekisa ukuthi bathola izihlalo ezingaba ngu-87 futhi babe yiqembu lokuqala elingakwesokudla, ukungena ePhalamende laseJalimane laseBundestag, iminyaka engama-60. Ngeke babe kuhulumeni, njengoba manje sekuzoba kuMerkel ukuhweba ngamahhashi, ngokuxoxisana namanye amaqembu amakhulu asezinzile, ukuqinisekisa ukuthi udala umfelandawonye ozinzile. UMerkel ngeke agcine ubudlelwano bomfelandawonye nomholi weSocial Democratic Party eholwa nguMartin Schulz, njengoba sebekuchithile ukuthi akukho malungiselelo okwabelwana ngawo. Manje u-Schulz kufanele ukuthi uyazisola ngokuqhuba umkhankaso onjalo ongenamdlandla. Mhlawumbe u-Schulz ubezothola isabelo samavoti amaningi ukube ubethembise ubumbano nokubambisana okukhulu noMerkel, ngenkathi ekhuthaza ukungahambisani ne-AfD futhi eqaphela usongo abalubekayo, kunokuba ethule ukuphikisa okuqondile ngokumelene noMerkel kanye ne-CDU.
Manje u-Angela Merkel kuzomele akhe uhulumeni womfelandawonye, inqubo enzima engathatha amasonto/izinyanga, ngemuva kokudlulela cishe ku-33% wamavoti, agcine izihlalo ezicishe zibe ngu-218 zisuka ku-41.5% ngo-2013. I-SPD yathola u-20% kanye nesilinganiso esingu-138 izihlalo, ukwehla okusha kwangemuva kwempi kweqembu, okwathi ngokushesha (futhi manje ngokusemthethweni), bakhipha isinqumo sokuthi kungenzeka kube “nomfelandawonye omkhulu” omusha.
Kokubili i-Left Party kanye ne-Green Party nabo babone isabelo sabo samavoti siphuma ngaphansi kwamaphesenti ayishumi okhethweni. Nokho, abahlaziyi bezombangazwe abahlukahlukene manje sebebikezela ukuthi umphumela uzoletha umphumela ongalindelekile kwabaHlaza; ithonya ezingeni likahulumeni. Umfelandawonye othandwayo ka-Angela Merkel wawuzoba nemakethe yamahhala, i-Pro business Liberals ye-FDP, ukubuyisela “kumfelandawonye Ophuzi Omnyama” owabusa iJalimane iminyaka eyishumi nesithupha ngaphansi kukaHelmut Kohl. Njengoba leyo nhloso kazakwethu oyedwa manje isibonakala ingenakwenzeka, ushansela angase akhethe ukuphendukela kulokho okubizwa ngomfelandawonye “weJamaica”; eqanjwe ngegama elimnyama, eliphuzi kanye neliluhlaza kwefulegi lase-Jamaica, imibala ngokulandelana kwe-CDU, i-FDP kanye namaqembu aGreen.
Mayelana nomthelela wemakethe yaseYurophu, izimakethe njengezinhlangano zithanda ukuqiniseka futhi njengoba uMerkel ehola izwe futhi ehlonishwa njengosopolitiki ovelele novelele kakhulu eYurophu, ukuqhubeka kwakhe ngokungangabazeki kuzophumela ekukhululekeni kwemakethe. Naphezu kwezingxoxo zomfelandawonye waseJalimane ngaphambilini ezazithatha amasonto, uma kungezona izinyanga, i-euro mancane amathuba okuba ibhekane nokunyakaza okungekuhle ngenxa yomphumela futhi ayiyona imakethe enkulu ye-DAX yaseJalimane, nanoma iyiphi inkomba ebanzi yaseYurophu.
Njengoba izimakethe ze-FX zivulwe ngasekupheleni kweSonto lokhetho, imiphumela ku-euro yayisheshayo, i-EUR/USD yehla nge-S1 ukuze ifinyelele, kodwa ingaphuli i-S2, ukuze ihlehle ibuyele ku-S1. I-euro iphinde yaba nokuwa okufanayo, nakuba kuncane, uma kuqhathaniswa nontanga yayo abambalwa, amapheya amaningi abuyele endaweni ye-pivot yansuku zonke, cishe ngo-00:30am ngesikhathi sase-London. Kodwa ngesimo esishintshashintshayo esinjalo nesinyakazayo, njengoba umfelandawonye usazokwakhiwa, abatshalizimali bangalulekwa ukuthi baqaphe isimo sabo se-euro ngokucophelela futhi bathathe izinyathelo zokuphepha ezilinganiselwe ukuze bagweme ukuguquguquka okungazelelwe.
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