Juni 3 • Amanqaku orhwebo nge Forex, Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 3362 izimvo • Comments Off Ngaba iRBA, ibhanki esembindini yaseOstreliya, iyakusika umyinge wemali ukuya kwi-1.25% ukusuka kwi-1.50%, kwaye iyakusabela njani i-dollar yaseAussie ukuba bayayenza?
Nge-5: 30 ekuseni e-UK, ngoLwesibini we-4 kaJuni, i-RBA, i-Reserve Bank yase-Australia, iyakubhengeza isigqibo sayo malunga nenqanaba eliphambili lenzala kwilizwe. I-RBA igcine ireyithi yemali kwirekhodi ephantsi ye-1.5 yeepesenti kwintlanganiso yabo kaMeyi, yandisa ixesha lokurekhodwa kokungasebenzi komgaqo-nkqubo wezemali kunye nokuchasa nakuphi na ukuqikelela ukuba ibhanki ephambili ingayinciphisa imigaqo-nkqubo yabo yezemali, kulandela inqanaba lokunyuka kwamaxabiso elilahlekileyo uqikelelo, kwikota yokuqala ye-2019.
Amalungu ekomiti ye-RBA ahlala ethembile ngoMeyi, ukuba inani le-2019 elinyukayo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso liza kuba malunga neepesenti ezi-2, ezixhaswa ngokunyuka kwamaxabiso eoli, ngelixa beqikelela ukuba izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso liza kuba malunga ne-1.75% ngo-2019 kunye ne-2% ngo-2020. bakholelwa ukuba kusekho amandla okugcina kuqoqosho lwase-Australia, kodwa kufuneka kuphuculwe ngakumbi kwimarike yezabasebenzi, ukuze ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuhambelane noko bekujoliswe kuko.
Abahlalutyi beemarike kunye nabarhwebi baya kuba befuna ukwahluka ukusuka kumgaqo-nkqubo kaMeyi, emva kokubhengezwa kwenqanaba kusasazwa, xa iRBA ikhupha iingxelo kwaye ibambe inkomfa noonondaba. Umbono wokuvumelana ngokubanzi, emva kokuba iiarhente zeendaba iBloomberg kunye neReuters kutshanje bevotele iphaneli yabo yezoqoqosho, kukucuthwa kwenqanaba lenzala, ukusuka kwi-1.5% ukuya kwi-1.25%, eya kuthi ibonakalise irekhodi elitsha eliphantsi kwibhanki ephambili yase-Australia kunye ezoqoqosho.
I-RBA inokuthi ixhase isilinganiselo semali esiyi-0.25%, ngokukhomba ekuwohlokeni kutshanje, idatha yasekhaya, ezoqoqosho kunye nefuthe lokuphazanyiswa kwemfazwe yorhwebo e-USA-China kunye neerhafu kuqoqosho lwase-Australia, oluthembele kakhulu kwintengiso yalo yokuthumela ngaphandle. e China, ngakumbi iimpahla ezilinywayo kunye neeminerali. Ukukhula kwe-GDP e-Australia kwehle ku-0.2% kwi-Q4 2018, ukuwa okuthe kratya kwe-1.1% okurekhodwe kwi-Q1 2018, kuprinta elona nani likhulu lokukhula elibi ukusukela nge-Q3 2016. Ngonyaka ukuya kwikota yesine, uqoqosho lwandise i-2.3%, olona lucothayo Isantya ukusukela kwikota kaJuni ka-2017, emva kokuhla okuhlaziyiweyo kwe-2.7% ukukhula kwixesha elidlulileyo, oku kungene ngaphantsi kwengqikelelo yentengiso ye-2.5%. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuku-1.3% ngonyaka, ukuwa ukusuka kwi-1.8%, ukurekhoda i-0.00% yexabiso ngoMatshi. Imveliso yokugqibela ye-PMI iwele kuma-52.7.
Ngaphandle kwesibikezelo esothusayo esivela koqoqosho malunga nokusikwa kwenqanaba lemali, ukusuka kwi-1.5% ukuya kwi-1.25%, i-RBA ingagcina ipowder yabo yomile kwaye ithintele ukusikwa, kude kube kwicala elikhoyo loqoqosho licaciswe gca. Ngenye indlela, banokuphumeza ukusika kwimizamo yabo yokuhamba phambi kwazo naziphi na izoyikiso ezisekude, kwintlalontle yoqoqosho lwelizwe.
Ngenxa yokuxelwa kwangaphambili kokunqunyulwa, abahlalutyi be-FX kunye nabarhwebi baya kugxila kwisibhengezo, njengoko isigqibo sihanjiswa ngo-5: 30 ekuseni e-UK. Ukuqikelelwa kwexabiso le-AUD kuya kuqinisa phambi, ngexesha nasemva kokuba isigqibo sikhutshiwe. Kufuneka kuqatshelwe ukuba ngamaxesha apho ibhanki enkulu ikhuphe isikhokelo phambili, iphakamisa utshintsho kumgaqo-nkqubo wezemali, ukuba akukho lutshintsho lulandelayo emva koko lubhengeziweyo, imali isenokusabela kabukhali, ukuba naluphi na uhlengahlengiso sele luxabiso lwenziwe.
« I-indices ye-equity indices zisondele ekuhlambeni izibonelelo zonyaka ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, i-USA equity indices ikamva libonisa ukungavuleki, i-dollar yase-US, ngelixa i-Swiss franc izuza. "Thengisa ngoMeyi uhambe", ukuba nje bekulula. »
Ngaba i-RBA, ibhanki esembindini yase-Australia, iyakusika umyinge wemali ukuya kwi-1.25% ukusuka kwi-1.50%, kwaye iyakusabela njani i-dollar yaseAussie ukuba bayayenza?
Juni 3 • Amanqaku orhwebo nge Forex, Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 3362 izimvo • Comments Off Ngaba iRBA, ibhanki esembindini yaseOstreliya, iyakusika umyinge wemali ukuya kwi-1.25% ukusuka kwi-1.50%, kwaye iyakusabela njani i-dollar yaseAussie ukuba bayayenza?
Nge-5: 30 ekuseni e-UK, ngoLwesibini we-4 kaJuni, i-RBA, i-Reserve Bank yase-Australia, iyakubhengeza isigqibo sayo malunga nenqanaba eliphambili lenzala kwilizwe. I-RBA igcine ireyithi yemali kwirekhodi ephantsi ye-1.5 yeepesenti kwintlanganiso yabo kaMeyi, yandisa ixesha lokurekhodwa kokungasebenzi komgaqo-nkqubo wezemali kunye nokuchasa nakuphi na ukuqikelela ukuba ibhanki ephambili ingayinciphisa imigaqo-nkqubo yabo yezemali, kulandela inqanaba lokunyuka kwamaxabiso elilahlekileyo uqikelelo, kwikota yokuqala ye-2019.
Amalungu ekomiti ye-RBA ahlala ethembile ngoMeyi, ukuba inani le-2019 elinyukayo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso liza kuba malunga neepesenti ezi-2, ezixhaswa ngokunyuka kwamaxabiso eoli, ngelixa beqikelela ukuba izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso liza kuba malunga ne-1.75% ngo-2019 kunye ne-2% ngo-2020. bakholelwa ukuba kusekho amandla okugcina kuqoqosho lwase-Australia, kodwa kufuneka kuphuculwe ngakumbi kwimarike yezabasebenzi, ukuze ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuhambelane noko bekujoliswe kuko.
Abahlalutyi beemarike kunye nabarhwebi baya kuba befuna ukwahluka ukusuka kumgaqo-nkqubo kaMeyi, emva kokubhengezwa kwenqanaba kusasazwa, xa iRBA ikhupha iingxelo kwaye ibambe inkomfa noonondaba. Umbono wokuvumelana ngokubanzi, emva kokuba iiarhente zeendaba iBloomberg kunye neReuters kutshanje bevotele iphaneli yabo yezoqoqosho, kukucuthwa kwenqanaba lenzala, ukusuka kwi-1.5% ukuya kwi-1.25%, eya kuthi ibonakalise irekhodi elitsha eliphantsi kwibhanki ephambili yase-Australia kunye ezoqoqosho.
I-RBA inokuthi ixhase isilinganiselo semali esiyi-0.25%, ngokukhomba ekuwohlokeni kutshanje, idatha yasekhaya, ezoqoqosho kunye nefuthe lokuphazanyiswa kwemfazwe yorhwebo e-USA-China kunye neerhafu kuqoqosho lwase-Australia, oluthembele kakhulu kwintengiso yalo yokuthumela ngaphandle. e China, ngakumbi iimpahla ezilinywayo kunye neeminerali. Ukukhula kwe-GDP e-Australia kwehle ku-0.2% kwi-Q4 2018, ukuwa okuthe kratya kwe-1.1% okurekhodwe kwi-Q1 2018, kuprinta elona nani likhulu lokukhula elibi ukusukela nge-Q3 2016. Ngonyaka ukuya kwikota yesine, uqoqosho lwandise i-2.3%, olona lucothayo Isantya ukusukela kwikota kaJuni ka-2017, emva kokuhla okuhlaziyiweyo kwe-2.7% ukukhula kwixesha elidlulileyo, oku kungene ngaphantsi kwengqikelelo yentengiso ye-2.5%. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuku-1.3% ngonyaka, ukuwa ukusuka kwi-1.8%, ukurekhoda i-0.00% yexabiso ngoMatshi. Imveliso yokugqibela ye-PMI iwele kuma-52.7.
Ngaphandle kwesibikezelo esothusayo esivela koqoqosho malunga nokusikwa kwenqanaba lemali, ukusuka kwi-1.5% ukuya kwi-1.25%, i-RBA ingagcina ipowder yabo yomile kwaye ithintele ukusikwa, kude kube kwicala elikhoyo loqoqosho licaciswe gca. Ngenye indlela, banokuphumeza ukusika kwimizamo yabo yokuhamba phambi kwazo naziphi na izoyikiso ezisekude, kwintlalontle yoqoqosho lwelizwe.
Ngenxa yokuxelwa kwangaphambili kokunqunyulwa, abahlalutyi be-FX kunye nabarhwebi baya kugxila kwisibhengezo, njengoko isigqibo sihanjiswa ngo-5: 30 ekuseni e-UK. Ukuqikelelwa kwexabiso le-AUD kuya kuqinisa phambi, ngexesha nasemva kokuba isigqibo sikhutshiwe. Kufuneka kuqatshelwe ukuba ngamaxesha apho ibhanki enkulu ikhuphe isikhokelo phambili, iphakamisa utshintsho kumgaqo-nkqubo wezemali, ukuba akukho lutshintsho lulandelayo emva koko lubhengeziweyo, imali isenokusabela kabukhali, ukuba naluphi na uhlengahlengiso sele luxabiso lwenziwe.
« I-indices ye-equity indices zisondele ekuhlambeni izibonelelo zonyaka ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, i-USA equity indices ikamva libonisa ukungavuleki, i-dollar yase-US, ngelixa i-Swiss franc izuza. "Thengisa ngoMeyi uhambe", ukuba nje bekulula. »