Igolide inyukela kwelona nqanaba liphezulu ukusukela ngoFebruwari, iimarike ziqala ukuhla ngamaxabiso kwi-FOMC yokunciphisa ixabiso ngo-2019, ii-FAANGS ziyaphulukana nokulunywa kwazo.
I-XAU/USD inyuke nge-1,330 yeedola kwinqanaba le-ounce okokuqala ngqa kwiinyanga ezininzi, ngexesha leeseshoni zokurhweba ngoMvulo. Abatyalomali kunye nabarhwebi bafuna intuthuzelo kunye nendawo yokusabela kwintsimbi exabisekileyo kunye nezinye izinto ezikhuselekileyo, ngenxa yokuqhubeka koloyiko olunxulumene neemfazwe zorhwebo kunye neerhafu. Nge-20: 10pm ngexesha lase-UK, igolide ithengiswa kwi-1,328, i-1.41%, njengoko isenzo sexabiso le-bullish sabona ukuphulwa kwexabiso kwinqanaba lesithathu lokuchasana, i-R3, emva kwexesha kwiseshoni yaseNew York.
Loo ndawo ikhuselekileyo inomtsalane yandiswe kwi-franc yaseSwitzerland, eyanyuka ngexabiso ngexesha leeseshoni zemini, nangona iingxelo ezivelayo ukuba ibhanki ephakathi, i-SNB, iqwalasela ukucutha inzala nzulu kwintsimi ye-NIRP, ukuze ithintele iidiphozithi. Kwi-20: I-15pm i-USD / CHF ithengiswa kwi-wide, bearish, uluhlu lwemihla ngemihla, phantsi -0.93%, iwela nge-S3 kwaye inikezela kwinqanaba le-parity okokuqala kwiinyanga eziliqela, njengoko ixabiso liphazamise i-200 DMA. Idola yaseMelika ilahlekelwe yilahleko kuninzi loontanga bayo ngexesha leeseshoni zemini; i-dollar index, i-DXY, ithengiswa phantsi -0.65% kwi-97.12.
I-USD / JPY iprinte iinyanga ezintlanu eziphantsi, njengoko i-yen iphinde yatsala isibheno esikhuselekileyo, ukurhweba kwi-107.93, phantsi -0.30%, ixabiso lehla ukuya kwi-2019 ephantsi, ngelixa i-oscillating kuluhlu olumxinwa kufuphi ne-S1, kuyo yonke iseshoni yaseNew York. Ioli ye-WTI yawa ngexesha leeseshoni zoMvulo, ngo-9: 00pm ngexesha lase-UK, ixabiso lithengiswe phantsi -1.33%, ngelixa lihla nge-53.00 i-barrel handle okokuqala ukususela ngoJanuwari, njengoko ixabiso liphule i-200 DMA.
Izalathi zemarike ye-equity yase-USA zifakwe kuluhlu olubanzi ngexesha leseshini yangoMvulo yaseNew York. Iimarike zekamva zazibonisa ukungavulwa okungalunganga, nangona kunjalo, iimarike ze-equity zakhawuleza zathumela iinzuzo ezingephi, kamsinya nje emva kokuvula. Ngasekupheleni kweseshoni iinzuzo ziye zaguquka, njengoko zontathu izalathisi eziphambili; I-DJIA, i-SPX kunye ne-NASDAQ zithengiswa ngokukhawuleza, ngexesha lokugqibela lokuthengisa. I-FAANG stocks (ithengiswa kwi-index ye-NASDAQ) yafumana ukuwa okukhulu; UGoogle wathengisa phantsi, njengoko wenzayo: uFacebook, iAmazon, iNetflix kunye neApple, njengoko iifemu zetekhnoloji zijongene nophando lomthetho wokungathembeki ngurhulumente wase-USA.
Nge-20: 25pm, i-Google ithengisa phantsi -6.5%, kunye ne-Amazon phantsi -5.28%. I-NASDAQ ithengiswe phantsi -1.77%. Unyaka ukuza kuthi ga ngoku inzuzo yesalathiso setekhnoloji ka-2019 ithotywe yaya kutsho malunga ne-10%, njengoko ukuwa kwenyanga kumalunga ne-10%. Ixabiso liye lahla nge-200 DMA, ukusuka kwirekhodi eliphezulu le-8,176, eprintwe ngoMeyi 3rd. Ukubulawa kwabantu ngakumbi kwisalathiso sobuchwephesha kubonakaliswe nguTesla eprinta iveki engama-52 ephantsi, ngelixa iNetflix ilahlekile malunga ne-7.5% ngoMeyi.
Iimali zexesha elizayo ze-Fed zinexabiso kwi-97% ithuba lokuba i-FOMC / i-Fed iya kunqumla inzala ngaphambi kokuphela kwe-2019, ngokwe-Fedwatch yeqela le-CME. Ngoku kukho i-80% yamathuba okucuthwa kwamaxabiso ngaphezulu kabini, ngaphambi kokuba u-2019 aphume. Olu qikelelo lunokuba luphawu lwendlela iziko lezemali e-USA, liyithathela ingqalelo ngayo le mfazwe yorhwebo kunye nomba weerhafu.
Igosa le-Fed, uMnu. Bullard, libonise kwintetho ngoMsombuluko kusihlwa, ukuba akazange abone isisombululo ngokukhawuleza kwimfazwe yorhwebo, ekhuthazwa yi-POTUS. Izivuno kumanqaku e-2 ngonyaka wehla nge-9 bps ukuya kwi-1.842% ngoMvulo. Ukubhalisa i-2 enkulu yeentsuku zokuwa ukususela ekuqaleni kuka-Oktobha 2008, enye into ebonisa ukuba i-Fed ilindeleke ukuba inciphise umgaqo-nkqubo kulo nyaka, ukwenzela ukuxhasa ukukhula, phakathi koxinzelelo lwezorhwebo lwehlabathi. Urhwebo olubuthathaka lwase-USA lubonakaliswe zizo zombini i-ISM kunye ne-PMI ukufundwa kokwenziwa ngoMeyi, kuphoswa luqikelelo.
Idatha yekhalenda yezoqoqosho esisiseko ekhutshwe ngexesha leeseshoni zangoMvulo, ingakumbi i-raft ye-PMIs epapashelwe: e-Asia, eYurophu nase-USA. I-China ye-Caixan yokuvelisa i-PMI yenyuka ngaphezu komgca we-50, ukwahlula ukucutha ukusuka ekwandiseni, ukubhalisa ukufundwa kwe-50.2 ngoMeyi, i-PMI yokuvelisa yaseJapan yahlala ingaphantsi kwe-50 kwi-49.8. Uninzi lwe-EZ PMIs evela ku-Markit yafika okanye isondele kwizibikezelo, ngelixa i-UK yokuvelisa i-PMI yehla ngaphantsi kwenqanaba le-50 okokuqala ukususela ngoJulayi 2016, emva kwesigqibo sereferendamu. Isalathiso esihlekisayo malunga nendlela uvakalelo kwicandelo lemveliso oluthe lwachaphazeleka ngayo, ngokuqhubeka kwe-Brexit debacle. NgokukaMarkit, ii-odolo zaseYurophu e-UK ziye zawa kwezi nyanga zidlulileyo, njengoko ukuzithemba kuye kwaguquka malunga nokukwazi kukarhulumente wase-UK ukuququzelela ukuphuma okuthambileyo.
Izabelo zamashishini ezingenanzala emisiweyo zaseYurophu zinyuke ngoMvulo, nangona iinzuzo zibhaliswe ngaphambi kokuba i-USA ithengiswe ngokuhlwa. I-Sterling yawa ngokuchasene neninzi yoontanga bayo ngoMvulo, ibhalise kuphela i-0.30% yokunyuka nge-21: 10pm ixesha lase-UK ngokubhekiselele kwi-greenback, ngenxa yobuthathaka be-USD kwibhodi yonke, ngokuchasene namandla anqabileyo. Iinzuzo ezibhalisiweyo ze-euro xa zithelekiswa noninzi lweentanga zayo, ngaphandle kwelahleko xa ithelekiswa nefranc yaseSwitzerland. I-EUR/USD irhwebe nge-0.68%, iphula i-R3 kwaye ibuyisela indawo ngaphezulu kwe-50 DMA.
Njengoko iimarike zaseLondon-Yurophu zivula ngoLwesibili, idola yase-Aussie iya kuba sele isabela kwisigqibo se-RBA malunga nexabiso lemali. Imvumelwano ebanjwe ngokubanzi yayikukunqunyulwa kwe-1.25% ukusuka kwi-1.5%. Ukusabela kwi-AUD pairs kunokwandisa kwiseshoni yaseYurophu, ngoko ke abahwebi baya kucetyiswa ukuba babeke iliso naziphi na izikhundla ze-AUD ngononophelo.
Enye idatha yekhalenda yezoqoqosho ukujonga ngoLwesibini iquka ukufundwa kwe-CPI ye-Eurozone yakutshanje. Ukulindela kweReuters kukunyuka kwamaxabiso ngonyaka kwi-EZ ukuya kwi-1.3% ukusuka kwi-1.7%, ukufundwa okunokuthi kube nefuthe kwixabiso le-euro, ukuba abahlalutyi kunye nabarhwebi baguqulela idatha njenge-bearish, ngokusekelwe kwi-ECB ene-slack and justification, ukukhuthaza ukukhula ngendlela yokunciphisa umgaqo wolawulo-mali.
Impembelelo ephezulu yedatha yase-USA ukuze ipapashwe ngoLwesibini, ixhalabele ii-odolo zasefektri zamva nje zika-Epreli. Kulindeleke kwi--0.9%, oku kufundwa kuya kubonisa ukuwa okuphawulekayo kwi-1.9% eprintiweyo ngo-Matshi. Ngapha koko, ingacebisa ukuba abavelisi kunye nabathengisi base-USA baqala ukuziva bebuyile kwimfazwe yorhwebo.
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