Kubvumbi 24 • Forex Kutengesa Zvinyorwa, Mashoko eMusika • 3410 Views • Comments Off pane Chii chinonzi kusagadzikana, ungagadzirise sei yako nzira yekutengesa kwairi uye inogona sei kukanganisa mhedzisiro yako yekutengesa?
Hazvishamise kuti ruzhinji rwevatengesi veFX vatengesi, vanokundikana kubvuma kusagadzikana kunogona kuita pamhedzisiro yavo yekutengesa. Nyaya yacho, sechiitiko uye nekukanganisa kwainogona kuita pane yako yepazasi mutsara, haina kumbobvira yanyatsokurukurwa zvizere muzvinyorwa, kana kumaforamu ekutengesa. Chete panongedzo, yenguva pfupi chirevo, inombogadzirwa. Iko kutarisa kwakanyanya, zvichibva pachokwadi chekuti (semusoro wenyaya), ndeimwe yezvinhu zvisina kunzwisiswa uye kufuratirwa, zvine chekuita nekutengesa misika yese, kwete chete FX.
Tsananguro yekusagadzikana inogona kuve "chiyero chehuwandu hwekuparadzaniswa kwemitero kune chero kupihwa kuchengetedzeka kupihwa, kana index yemusika". Mukutaura kwakawanda; iyo yakakwira kusagadzikana chero nguva, iyo iriskier kuchengetedzeka kunoonekwa kunge kuri. Volatility inogona kuyerwa nekushandisa zviyero zvekutsauka, kana mutsauko pakati pekudzoka kubva kune imwechete chengetedzo, kana musika index. Kusagadzikana kwepamusoro kunowanzo kuve kwakabatana nekuchinja kukuru, uko kunogona kuitika mune chero nzira. Semuenzaniso, kana vaviri veFX vachikwira uye kana kudonha neinopfuura imwechete muzana panguva dzezvirongwa zvezuva, zvinogona kuverengerwa semusika "unogadzikana".
Kunze kwemusika kusagadzikana kwemisika yeUSA yemari, inogona kucherechedzwa nenzira yezvinonzi "Volatility Index". Iyo VIX yakagadzirwa neChicago Board Options Exchange, inoshandiswa seyero yekuyera mazuva makumi matatu anotarisirwa kushomeka kwemusika weUS wekutengesera uye inotorwa kubva kune chaiyo-nguva mitengo mitengo yeSPX 500, kufona uye kuisa sarudzo. Iyo VIX ingori yakapusa gaji yemabheji emangwana ayo varimari nevatengesi vari kugadzira, munzira yekumisika, kana kuchengetedzeka kweumwe neumwe. Kuverenga kwepamusoro paVIX kunoreva musika une njodzi.
Hapana chimwe chezvinyanya kuzivikanwa zvehunyanzvi zvinoratidza, zviripo pamapuratifomu akadai seMetaTrader MT4, akave akagadzirwa zvine hungwaru nenyaya yekusagadzikana mupfungwa. Bollinger Bhendi, Commodity Channel Index uye iyo Avhareji Yechokwadi Range, zviratidzo zvehunyanzvi izvo zvinogona kuratidza shanduko mukushomeka, asi hapana chakagadzirirwa kunyatsogadzira metric yekusagadzikana. Iyo RVI (Relative Volatility Index) yakasikwa kuti iratidze mafambiro anochinja mutengo. Nekudaro, haisi kuwanikwa zvakanyanya uye hunhu hweRVI ndeyekuti inongosimbisa mamwe maratidziro ezviratidzo '' (RSI, MAСD, Stochastic nevamwe) pasina kudzokorora. Kune mamwe mawadhiji ane chekuita nawo anopihwa nevamwe nevagadziri, ayo anogona kuratidza shanduko mukusagadzikana, izvi hazviwanzo kuwanikwa sezviratidzo, ivo vanomira vega, maturusi mathematics.
Kushaikwa kwekusagadzikana (sechiitiko) chinokanganisa paFX, ichangobva kuratidzirwa nekudonha mune maviri akaenzana, zvakanangana nekudonha kwakakura mukutengesa zviitiko mune vaviri vaviri seGGP / USD. Kudonha kwe GBP vaviri 'mutengo chiito uye kufamba, kwaive kwakanangana nezororo rebhanga reEaster uye UK Paramende yekuzorora. Misika yakati wandei yeFX yakavharwa panguva yezororo rebhangi Muvhuro neChishanu, nepo nhengo dzeparamende dzeUK dzakatora zororo remavhiki maviri. Munguva yezororo ravo, nyaya yaBrexit yainyanya kubviswa mumisoro mikuru yenhau, sezvakange zviri zvinhu zvakakosha zvine chekuita nemutengo wemuenzaniso, maringe nevezera rawo.
Munguva yekuzorora, mutengo wekutsvaira chiito, unowanzo fananidzirwa mukati memwedzi ichangopfuura, apo UK yakatarisana nemipendero yemakomo akasiyanasiyana maererano neBrexit, yakanga isisaonekwe pamireza yenguva dzakasiyana. Kune chikamu chikuru, mazhinji emhando mbiri akatengesa padivi mukati memavhiki ayo maMP MP anga asisiri kuoneka, kana kunzwika. Zviri nyore; fungidziro yekutengesa mu sterling yakadonha zvakanyanya, nekuti Brexit semusoro wenyaya, yakadonha kubva radar. Kufungidzira kwakasiyana siyana kwakaratidza kuti kusagadzikana mune zvakanakisa kwaive pamusoro pe50% pasi pamatanho azororo eParamende. Mapairi akadai seEUR / GBP uye GBP / USD anotengeswa akasungwa, kazhinji padivi, mitsara, kweanenge vhiki mbiri. Asi nekukurumidza apo nhengo dzeUK dzekuparamende dzakadzokera kumahofisi avo muWestminster, Brexit yakange yadzoka pazano renhau rezvemari.
Kufungidzira mune zvakaomarara kwakakurumidza kuwedzera uye mutengo wakakwenenzverwa zvine mutsindo munzvimbo dzakasiyana siyana, uchipenga pakati penzvimbo dzakakwenenzverwa, pakupedzisira kupaza kuburikidza neS3, neChipiri Kubvumbi 23, apo nhau dzakabuda maererano nekushomeka kwekufambira mberi muhurukuro pakati pemapato makuru ezvematongerwo enyika eUK. Pakarepo, kunyangwe paine shanduko yezuva reGroundhog raivapo nguva yekuzorora kusati kwaitika, kushomeka kwakanyanya, chiitiko nemikana zvanga zvadzoka pa radar. Izvo zvakakosha kune vatengesi veFX kuti vasangoziva chete kuti kusagadzikana chii uye kuti nei ichigona kuwedzera, asi zvakare, pazvinenge zvichinyanya kuitika. Inogona kuwedzera zvakanyanya nekuda kwechiitiko chinopaza nhau, chiitiko chezvematongerwo enyika, kana nekuda kwemamiriro anoenderera anochinja zvinoshamisa. Chero chingave chikonzero, ichi chiitiko chinokodzera kutariswa uye kuremekedzwa kubva kune vatengesi veFX vatengesi, kupfuura izvo zvinowanzo kupihwa.
« Aussie dhora rinopaza maringe nevezera raro, sezvo inflation iri kudonha zvakanyanya, maGerman IFO metric anoshaya fungidziro, achiwedzera kutya kuti Germany inogona kunge ichipinda mumatambudziko. Australasian madhora ekudonha, US dhora rinokwira, US equities inotsvedza kubva kurekodhi yakakwira. »
Chii chinonzi kusagadzikana, ungaita sei kuti ugadzirise marongero ako ekutengesa kwairi uye anogona sei kukanganisa mhedzisiro yako yekutengesa?
Kubvumbi 24 • Forex Kutengesa Zvinyorwa, Mashoko eMusika • 3410 Views • Comments Off pane Chii chinonzi kusagadzikana, ungagadzirise sei yako nzira yekutengesa kwairi uye inogona sei kukanganisa mhedzisiro yako yekutengesa?
Hazvishamise kuti ruzhinji rwevatengesi veFX vatengesi, vanokundikana kubvuma kusagadzikana kunogona kuita pamhedzisiro yavo yekutengesa. Nyaya yacho, sechiitiko uye nekukanganisa kwainogona kuita pane yako yepazasi mutsara, haina kumbobvira yanyatsokurukurwa zvizere muzvinyorwa, kana kumaforamu ekutengesa. Chete panongedzo, yenguva pfupi chirevo, inombogadzirwa. Iko kutarisa kwakanyanya, zvichibva pachokwadi chekuti (semusoro wenyaya), ndeimwe yezvinhu zvisina kunzwisiswa uye kufuratirwa, zvine chekuita nekutengesa misika yese, kwete chete FX.
Tsananguro yekusagadzikana inogona kuve "chiyero chehuwandu hwekuparadzaniswa kwemitero kune chero kupihwa kuchengetedzeka kupihwa, kana index yemusika". Mukutaura kwakawanda; iyo yakakwira kusagadzikana chero nguva, iyo iriskier kuchengetedzeka kunoonekwa kunge kuri. Volatility inogona kuyerwa nekushandisa zviyero zvekutsauka, kana mutsauko pakati pekudzoka kubva kune imwechete chengetedzo, kana musika index. Kusagadzikana kwepamusoro kunowanzo kuve kwakabatana nekuchinja kukuru, uko kunogona kuitika mune chero nzira. Semuenzaniso, kana vaviri veFX vachikwira uye kana kudonha neinopfuura imwechete muzana panguva dzezvirongwa zvezuva, zvinogona kuverengerwa semusika "unogadzikana".
Kunze kwemusika kusagadzikana kwemisika yeUSA yemari, inogona kucherechedzwa nenzira yezvinonzi "Volatility Index". Iyo VIX yakagadzirwa neChicago Board Options Exchange, inoshandiswa seyero yekuyera mazuva makumi matatu anotarisirwa kushomeka kwemusika weUS wekutengesera uye inotorwa kubva kune chaiyo-nguva mitengo mitengo yeSPX 500, kufona uye kuisa sarudzo. Iyo VIX ingori yakapusa gaji yemabheji emangwana ayo varimari nevatengesi vari kugadzira, munzira yekumisika, kana kuchengetedzeka kweumwe neumwe. Kuverenga kwepamusoro paVIX kunoreva musika une njodzi.
Hapana chimwe chezvinyanya kuzivikanwa zvehunyanzvi zvinoratidza, zviripo pamapuratifomu akadai seMetaTrader MT4, akave akagadzirwa zvine hungwaru nenyaya yekusagadzikana mupfungwa. Bollinger Bhendi, Commodity Channel Index uye iyo Avhareji Yechokwadi Range, zviratidzo zvehunyanzvi izvo zvinogona kuratidza shanduko mukushomeka, asi hapana chakagadzirirwa kunyatsogadzira metric yekusagadzikana. Iyo RVI (Relative Volatility Index) yakasikwa kuti iratidze mafambiro anochinja mutengo. Nekudaro, haisi kuwanikwa zvakanyanya uye hunhu hweRVI ndeyekuti inongosimbisa mamwe maratidziro ezviratidzo '' (RSI, MAСD, Stochastic nevamwe) pasina kudzokorora. Kune mamwe mawadhiji ane chekuita nawo anopihwa nevamwe nevagadziri, ayo anogona kuratidza shanduko mukusagadzikana, izvi hazviwanzo kuwanikwa sezviratidzo, ivo vanomira vega, maturusi mathematics.
Kushaikwa kwekusagadzikana (sechiitiko) chinokanganisa paFX, ichangobva kuratidzirwa nekudonha mune maviri akaenzana, zvakanangana nekudonha kwakakura mukutengesa zviitiko mune vaviri vaviri seGGP / USD. Kudonha kwe GBP vaviri 'mutengo chiito uye kufamba, kwaive kwakanangana nezororo rebhanga reEaster uye UK Paramende yekuzorora. Misika yakati wandei yeFX yakavharwa panguva yezororo rebhangi Muvhuro neChishanu, nepo nhengo dzeparamende dzeUK dzakatora zororo remavhiki maviri. Munguva yezororo ravo, nyaya yaBrexit yainyanya kubviswa mumisoro mikuru yenhau, sezvakange zviri zvinhu zvakakosha zvine chekuita nemutengo wemuenzaniso, maringe nevezera rawo.
Munguva yekuzorora, mutengo wekutsvaira chiito, unowanzo fananidzirwa mukati memwedzi ichangopfuura, apo UK yakatarisana nemipendero yemakomo akasiyanasiyana maererano neBrexit, yakanga isisaonekwe pamireza yenguva dzakasiyana. Kune chikamu chikuru, mazhinji emhando mbiri akatengesa padivi mukati memavhiki ayo maMP MP anga asisiri kuoneka, kana kunzwika. Zviri nyore; fungidziro yekutengesa mu sterling yakadonha zvakanyanya, nekuti Brexit semusoro wenyaya, yakadonha kubva radar. Kufungidzira kwakasiyana siyana kwakaratidza kuti kusagadzikana mune zvakanakisa kwaive pamusoro pe50% pasi pamatanho azororo eParamende. Mapairi akadai seEUR / GBP uye GBP / USD anotengeswa akasungwa, kazhinji padivi, mitsara, kweanenge vhiki mbiri. Asi nekukurumidza apo nhengo dzeUK dzekuparamende dzakadzokera kumahofisi avo muWestminster, Brexit yakange yadzoka pazano renhau rezvemari.
Kufungidzira mune zvakaomarara kwakakurumidza kuwedzera uye mutengo wakakwenenzverwa zvine mutsindo munzvimbo dzakasiyana siyana, uchipenga pakati penzvimbo dzakakwenenzverwa, pakupedzisira kupaza kuburikidza neS3, neChipiri Kubvumbi 23, apo nhau dzakabuda maererano nekushomeka kwekufambira mberi muhurukuro pakati pemapato makuru ezvematongerwo enyika eUK. Pakarepo, kunyangwe paine shanduko yezuva reGroundhog raivapo nguva yekuzorora kusati kwaitika, kushomeka kwakanyanya, chiitiko nemikana zvanga zvadzoka pa radar. Izvo zvakakosha kune vatengesi veFX kuti vasangoziva chete kuti kusagadzikana chii uye kuti nei ichigona kuwedzera, asi zvakare, pazvinenge zvichinyanya kuitika. Inogona kuwedzera zvakanyanya nekuda kwechiitiko chinopaza nhau, chiitiko chezvematongerwo enyika, kana nekuda kwemamiriro anoenderera anochinja zvinoshamisa. Chero chingave chikonzero, ichi chiitiko chinokodzera kutariswa uye kuremekedzwa kubva kune vatengesi veFX vatengesi, kupfuura izvo zvinowanzo kupihwa.
« Aussie dhora rinopaza maringe nevezera raro, sezvo inflation iri kudonha zvakanyanya, maGerman IFO metric anoshaya fungidziro, achiwedzera kutya kuti Germany inogona kunge ichipinda mumatambudziko. Australasian madhora ekudonha, US dhora rinokwira, US equities inotsvedza kubva kurekodhi yakakwira. »