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"Tengesa muna Chivabvu uende", dai chete zvaive nyore.

Jun 3 • Forex Kutengesa Zvinyorwa, Mashoko eMusika • 5103 Views • Comments Off pa "Tengesa muna Chivabvu uende", dai chete zvaive nyore.

Mutsara wekuti "tengesa muna Chivabvu uende" unofungidzirwa kuti unobva pachirevo cheChirungu chekare; "Tengesa muna Chivabvu uende wozodzoka paSt. Leger's Day." Uyu mutsara unoreva kutsika munguva dzakapfuura apo: vanokudzwa, vatengesi, nemabhangi, vaizobva muguta rakasviba reLondon votizira munyika, mukati memwedzi inopisa yezhizha. Kudzoka kudzoka kuguta reLondon, mushure mekunge mujaho weSt.

Mujaho uyu, wakatanga kuitirwa muna 1776, wemakore matatu ekuberekwa akagadzwa uye akazara, achiri echinyakare chikamu chemutambo wemazuva matatu wemujaho, wakaitirwa muDoncaster kuchamhembe kweEngland. Ndiwo wekupedzisira musangano wemujaho wemujaho wegore, unounza keteni pasi pamwaka wemujaho wekumhanya, sezvo mwedzi yechando inoswedera.

Pakati pemwedzi waMay 2019, misika yeUSA yemari yakasangana nekudonha kwakakosha; iyo SPX yakanyatso kunyoresa kechipiri chikuru pamwedzi kudonha kubva kuma1960. Pakati pemwedzi waMay SPX neNASDAQ yakawira kwemavhiki mana akateedzana, iyo DJIA yakawira kwemavhiki matanhatu zvakateedzana; yakarebesa kurasikirwa streak mumakore masere.

  • Iyo DJIA yakawa ne -6.69%.
  • Iyo SPX yakawa ne -6.58%.
  • Iyo NASDAQ yakawa ne -7.93%.

Munguva yekupedzisira vhiki yekutengesa yaMay.

  • Iyo DJIA yakawa ne -3.01%.
  • Iyo SPX yakawa ne -2.62%.
  • Iyo NASDAQ yakawa ne -2.41%.

Kuderera kwekukosha kweUSA equity indices uye iwo chaiwo manhamba emwedzi, zvichave zvauya sekuvhundutsa kwekutenga nekubata, venguva refu vega varairidzi. Asi mune yepasirese, 24/6, mazuva ano, nzvimbo dzekutengesa, zvinogona kuratidza kuva danho rakaoma kungorega kutengeserana: equities, indices, kana mimwe misika, kwemwedzi mina inotevera.

Zvakare, kudonha kwakapa kwakanakisa mamiriro ekutengesa kune vapfupi vatengesi veUSA indices indices mukati memwedzi waMay, nepo ichipa kukurudzira kune mamwe misika; kunyanya misika yepamberi neyezvinhu, iyo yaitengesa mumatanho akapamhama, mukati memwedzi. Huru mamiriro ekuyerera aivapo, nerubatsiro rweTrump manejimendi yekumisikidza kweimwe yekuwedzera mitero kuChina uye kutyisidzirwa kwemitero mitsva, yakanangana neMexico neEU. 

Zvino mwedzi waMay wapera, vaongorori vazhinji uye vezvehupfumi vari kuyedza kufanotaura; "Chii chinotevera, misika yemari inoenda kupi?" Izvo zvinoonekwa, zvichibva pazvinhu zviviri zvekutengesa zvakawanikwa mukati memakamuri maviri apfuura, ndeyekuti hupfumi hwepasirese hwave kutendeuka zvinoenderana nezviito uye mazwi eMutungamiri weUSA. Hazvigoneke kurondedzera uye kuenzanisa yapfuura nguva; apo yakakosha uye yehunyanzvi kuongororwa, yakadzoserwa kune yakasarudzika chinzvimbo, mukuremekedza kumagariro enhau chiitiko uye unilateral mutemo wePOTUS.

Pakati pemakota maviri ekupedzisira e2018, misika yemari (pasi rose) yakatsvedza sezvo hondo yekutengeserana nemitero zvakatanga kushanda. Pakati pemwedzi waMay, mapatani akadzokororwa, fungidziro yakachengeteka inogona kutorwa yekuti misika yemakambani ichafamba munzira mbiri. Chero varairidzi vanozoenzanisa kukosha kweyakajairwa misika uye misika ichatengesa padivi, kana kuti pamwe icharamba ichitengesa, ichiburitsa zvakadzika zvakatumirwa panguva yekudonha kwa2018. Vatengesi vanogona kureva P / E ratios, mutengo v mibairo uye voona chimiro chekusafarira zvisina musoro kuchiripo. Iyo yazvino P / E chiyero cheSPX is circa 21, avhareji kuverenga ichidzokera kuma1950 inguva 16, saka, nharo inogona kuiswa kumberi kuti iyo index iri circa 23% pamusoro yakakosheswa.

Vaongorori vanowanzo taura nezve "kukosha kwakaringana" kwemisika yekutengesa uye nepo vazhinji, avo vakatorwa mumubhadharo wezvemari, parizvino vachiratidzira kuti maUSA equices indices parizvino ave padhuze nekukosha kwakaringana, vamwe vanoyambira kuti mwero wekudzikira kwaZvita 2018. yakasvika zvakare. Kupfuurirazve, panzvimbo pekuti chinotevera chitengese kutenderedzwa nemanzwiro, chero kudonha kweramangwana, kana kuchifungidzirwa pahwaro hwekumanikidza kwekudzikisira kwakaunzwa nekuda kwemitero inokanganisa kutengeserana kwepasirese, zvinogona kukonzerwa nekushaikwa kwemanzwiro uye metric dzakashata zvakanyanya. Neimwe nzira, USA equity misika uye mamwe epasirese ma indices anogona kusimuka; varimi vanogona kungo tarisa pamitero uye voregeredza yakaoma metric, senge kudonha kweGDP kukura uye kungo tenga iwo madhipi.

Masoko anotungamirwa nemanzwiro uye kuvimba zvakanyanya sezvavari nedhata rakaomarara. Kutungamira kwaTrump kwakatanga kusimbisa kuvimba muna2017 ndokuenderera mberi nemusika uye kugadzirisa hupfumi, zvakatanga pasi pehutongi hwapfuura. Iyo yakatarwa mitero yakatemwa yakatemerwa kumakambani mu2017-2018, ichitora mitengo yakaderera se15%, yakakonzera kuwana kwemusika wekuenzana we2018. Nekudaro, iko kukonzeresa iko zvino kwadzikira, sekuvimba kweWhite House nePOTUS yekuchengetedza mutemo wezvemari usingachinji.

Vamwe vaongorori vanoti kana mitero ichienderera, pasina zviratidzo zvekukanganisa, saka misika yekubatsira chete yavanogona kutarisira kucheka mumusoro wetsiva kubva pa2.5%. Bumbiro remari rakatemwa iro rinogona kunge richidikanwa nekuda kwekumanikidza kwekuderera kwemari. Iyo inogona kudonha iyo isingazokonzereswa nehupfumi kutenderera kupera, asi zvakazara nekuda kwePOTUS, ingangomiririra yakasarudzika chiitiko.

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