Kodi kutulutsidwa koyamba kwa NFP kwa 2018 kudzapitiliza mchitidwe waposachedwa wa nkhani zofunikira zachuma ku USA?
Lachisanu pa 5 Januwale nthawi ya 13:30 GMT, zidziwitso zoyambirira za Non Farm Payroll za chaka zizisindikizidwa. Zomwe zanenedwa, kuchokera kwa akatswiri azachuma omwe adafunsidwa ndi bungwe lofalitsa nkhani la Reuters, akuneneratu zakukwera kwa 188k mu Disembala, kugwa kwa ntchito 228k zopangidwa mu Novembala 2017, zomwe zidapambana chiyembekezo cha 200k. Nambala ya NFP ya Disembala 2016 inali 155k, zolemba zotsika kwambiri za NFP mu 2017 zinali mu Marichi pa 50k ndipo mu Seputembara pa 38k. Chiwerengero cha Seputembala sichinali chapadera, popeza ntchito idakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi mphepo yamkuntho / nyengo yamkuntho ku USA.
Pazaka zaposachedwa kutulutsidwa kwa NFP kwalephera kukhudza misika ya FX modabwitsa, zolemba zambiri mu 2017 zinali pafupi kunenedweratu ndipo USA yakhala ikupitilizabe kukula kwa ntchito m'zaka zaposachedwa; kupatula kuwerenga kwa Seputembala kwa 2017, komwe kunakanidwa ndi osunga ndalama, popeza anali atachenjezapo za anthu ochepa. Komabe, chiwerengerochi cha NFP chimawerengedwa ngati kuwerengera kofunikira pama thermometer paumoyo wonse wachuma ku USA, ndipo kuwerengedwa kwa Novembala ndi Disembala kumawunikiridwa mokhudzana ndi kufunsira kwa nyengo munyengo ya Xmas. Chifukwa chake amalonda ayenera kudziika mosamala kuti ateteze zomwe zingachitike mu USD motsutsana ndi anzawo; Kutulutsidwa kwa NFP kumatha kudodometsa kumtunda, kapena pansi. Pali umboni wakale wosonyeza kuti azimayi nthawi zambiri amatenga nawo gawo pakumasulidwa kwa NFP, koma chithunzi chokwanira (kuphatikiza ntchito zina zonse zomwe zidatulutsidwa tsiku lomwelo ndi tsiku lapitalo), zimatenga nthawi kuti zitheke pamisika.
Lachisanu USA BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) ifalitsanso ziwerengero zaposachedwa za ulova, pakadali pano pa 4.1%, palibe chiyembekezo chilichonse chosintha. Zina zamtundu wa ntchito zimatulutsidwa patsikulo; Kukula kwakulipirira pa ola limodzi, kuchuluka kwa maola ogwira ntchito, kuchuluka kwa omwe akutenga nawo mbali pantchito komanso kuchuluka kwa osagwira ntchito.
Asanatulutse gawo limodzi la ntchito Lachisanu, Lachinayi likuwonetsa kufalitsa kwa ntchito zina: ziwerengero zaposachedwa za ADP zapadera, kutaya ntchito kwa Challenger, madandaulo aposachedwa aposachedwa pantchito ndi zonena zopitilira. Amalonda atha kuyamba kuyeza thanzi la misika yantchito ku USA isanatuluke NFP, popeza chiwerengero cha ADP chimayang'aniridwa ngati chiwonetsero chabwino kwambiri chokhudza kulondola kwa nambala ya NFP, yomwe mwamwambo imasindikizidwa tsiku lotsatira.
ZINTHU ZOFUNIKA PADZIKO LAPANSI KU USA.
- Mulingo wosagwira ntchito 4.1%.
- Chiwongoladzanja 1.5%.
- Mtengo wamagetsi 2.2%.
- Kukula kwa GDP 3.2%.
- Avereji ya zolipira paola 0.2%.
- Avereji ya maola 34.5.
- Ogwira nawo ntchito 62.7%.
- Mulingo wosagwira ntchito 8%.
« Ndalama za US zimafika pachimake pomwe ziwerengero zakapangidwe zimamenya kuneneratu, kukwera kwa madola aku US, kutumphuka kwa golide Ziwerengero zaposachedwa za inflation ku China ndi USA ziziwunikidwa, sabata yoyamba yamalonda yonse ya 2018. »
