Dongosolo la ntchito ndi ulova ku USA liziwunikidwa sabata ikubwerayi, pomwe kuwerenga komaliza kwa NFP kwa 2017 kuwululidwa
Kalendala yathu yazachuma ikuyamba kutenga mawonekedwe odziwika sabata ikubwerayi monga yathu: FX, equity ndi misika yazogulitsa pamapeto pake idayambiranso moyo, pambuyo pa Xmas ndi maholide a chaka chatsopano. Pomwe pali kuwerengera kwa PMI padziko lonse kofalitsidwa ndi: Markit, Caixan ndi USA ofanana ndi ISM sabata yonseyi, cholinga chachikulu cha sabata ndi ntchito ndi ulova, makamaka manambala antchito ku USA.
Sabata limatha ndi manambala a NFP pamwezi ndipo pamanenedweratu a 180k a Disembala, ofufuza ndi omwe amagulitsa ndalama atha kuwona kuti chiwerengerochi ndichokhumudwitsa, chifukwa chantchito zosakhalitsa zomwe nthawi ya tchuthi imayenera kupanga. Mavuto otayika pantchito, manambala a ntchito ku ADP, madandaulo atsopano osowa ntchito ndi madandaulo omwe adzapitilidwe adzafalitsidwa. Komabe, pali miyala ina yomwe nthawi zambiri imanyalanyazidwa mu phokoso; kuchuluka kwa anthu ogwira nawo ntchito ku akulu ku USA, komwe kuli pafupifupi 62%. Mfundo yochititsa chidwi; kuti pafupifupi anayi mwa khumi mwa achikulire ku USA ali osagwira ntchito / osagwira ntchito / kuchoka pa gridi, si mtundu wa chiwonetsero chomwe mungayembekezere kuti chuma chomwe chikukula chizilembetsa.
Lamlungu liyamba sabata ndi ma PMI opanga komanso osapanga a China, kuyerekezera kuti manambala onsewa akhalebe pafupi ndi ziwerengero zomwe zidasindikizidwa mu Novembala ndikupatsidwa udindo waku China ngati injini yapadziko lonse lapansi yopanga kukula, chiwonetsero chazopanga cha 51.7 nthawi zonse chizikhala pafupi kuyang'aniridwa ndi osunga ndalama ndi akatswiri, pazizindikiro zilizonse zofooka.
Lolemba (tsiku la chaka chatsopano) ndi tsiku lopanda phokoso kwambiri pankhani zachuma, zomwe zimafalitsidwa kwambiri ndi ziwerengero zamalonda zamkaka ku New Zealand. Kwa amalonda aku kiwi dollar ziwerengerozi ndizofunikira chifukwa chazomwe dzikolo limagulitsa kwambiri ku Asia. Zambiri zaku Australia zomwe zidasindikizidwa patsikuli zimakhala ndi PMI waposachedwa wa Disembala komanso magwiridwe antchito a AiG opanga index.
Lachiwiri likangofika, chidziwitso chathu cha kalendala yazachuma chimayamba kubwerera kuzolowera ngati tsiku lotanganidwa ndi nkhani zofunika. Chiwerengero chazogulitsa zaku Germany chikuyenera kuwulula kukula kwa 1% mu Novembala (pachaka ndi MoM), kusintha pakuwerenga koyipa komwe kudafalitsidwa mu Okutobala. Ma raft opanga ma Eurozone opanga ma PMI a Disembala amafalitsidwa, France, Germany, Italy ndi ziwerengero zazikulu za Eurozone zikuyembekezeka kukhalabe pafupi posasintha. Pomwe chiwonetsero cha PMI yaku UK chikuyembekezeka kuwulula kutsika kuchokera 58.2 mpaka 57.9. Momwe cholinga chimayang'ana kumpoto kwa America, PMI waku Canada akuwululidwa, monganso USA PMI waku Markit.
Lachitatu likuyamba ndi ziwerengero zatsopano zaposachedwa zogulitsa zamagalimoto zochokera ku USA, zomwe nthawi zonse zimawonetsa kuthekera kwa ogula aku US, chidaliro komanso chidwi chofuna kutenga ngongole yatsopano. PMI waposachedwa kwambiri ku Switzerland wopanga mwezi wa Disembala amamasulidwa, monganso chiwerengero cha ulova mu Disembala ku Germany, ndikuyembekeza kuti zikhala 5.5%. PMI yomanga yaku UK ya Disembala ikuyembekezeka kuti isasinthe ku 53.1, pomwe ndalama zomanga ku USA zikuyembekezeka kugwa mpaka 0.7% mwezi wa Novembala. Kutulutsa kwamphamvu kwa USA patsikuli ndi: Kuwerenga kwa ISM kwa Disembala sikuyembekezeka kusasinthidwa pa 58.2, metric yantchito ya ISM ndikutulutsidwa kwa mphindi kuchokera kumsonkhano womwe FOMC idachitika mu Disembala, pomwe adatenga chisankho kukweza chiwongola dzanja chachikulu kufika 1.5%.
Lachinayi ndi tsiku lotanganidwa kwambiri pa nkhani za kalendala yachuma, komabe, zambiri zomwe zimatulutsidwa ndizotsika pang'ono. Ntchito zaposachedwa kwambiri ku China ndi ma Caixan PMIs ambiri adzafalitsidwa, monganso opanga PMI aposachedwa ku Japan. Pomwe chidwi chikuyang'ana ku Europe, mtengo wakunyumba yaku UK wofalitsidwa ndi Nationwide utulutsidwa, chiyembekezo chikuyembekezeka kukwera kwa 0.2% mu Disembala kulembetsa kukwera kwa 2% YoY. Gulu limodzi la mautumiki ndi ma PMI ophatikizidwa a mayiko a Eurozone ndi Eurozone amafalitsidwa makamaka, ambiri akuyembekezeka kuwonetsa pang'ono kapena kusasintha konse kuchokera pakuwerenga kwa Novembala. Banki yayikulu ku UK BoE imasindikiza mayendedwe ake a Novembala pa: kubwereka ukonde, kubwereketsa nyumba komanso ndalama. Maganizo amasungidwa ku UK pomwe ntchito zaposachedwa kwambiri ndi ma Markit PMIs amafalitsidwa, ndikuwonetseratu ntchito kuti zisinthe pang'ono mpaka 54.1, kuchokera ku 53.8.
Chidwi chikatembenukira kumsika waku USA kutsegulira cholinga chake ndi ntchito, makamaka ndi manambala a NFP omwe adzafalitsidwe tsiku lotsatira, Lachisanu. Nambala zantchito za ADP zimasindikizidwa, monganso kudula ntchito kwa omwe akutsutsa, zonena zakusowa kwa ntchito zaposachedwa komanso zonena mosalekeza ku USA zidzawululidwa. Kuphatikiza kwa mayendedwewa kumatha kupereka chisonyezero cha momwe kulosera kwakukula kwa ntchito kwa NFP mu Disembala kumatsimikizira kukhala kolondola. Kusindikiza tsikuli mwatsatanetsatane kumatha ndi ndalama zaku Japan komanso ngongole ndi kuchotsera.
Lachisanu likuchitira umboni kufalitsa kwa ziwerengero zonse zolipira ku Australia, ntchito zaposachedwa ku Japan ndi ma PMI ambiri awululidwa. Pomwe kutembenukira kumisika yaku Europe 'kutseguka, gulu la ma PMI ogulitsa mayiko otsogola a Eurozone lasindikizidwa, Italy, France, Germany ndi Eurozone yayikulu, pomwe miyala yomanga ku Germany iwululidwa. Chiwerengero chaposachedwa cha Eurozone CPI chikuyembekezeka kubwera ku 1.4%, kugwa pang'ono kuchokera ku 1.5%.
Zolemba zaku North America zayamba ndi anthu akusowa ntchito ku Canada, omwe akuyembekezeka kubwera ku 5.9% ndikuchita nawo 65.7%. Kuchokera ku USA tilandila ziwerengero zaposachedwa za NFP, mwachilolezo ndi BLS (Bureau of Statistics Statistics). Kuneneratu ndikuti ntchito za 185k zidapangidwa mu Disembala, kugwa kuchokera ku 228k komwe kudapangidwa mu Novembala. Chiwerengero cha anthu ogwira nawo ntchito chikuyembekezeka kubwera pa 62.7%, pomwe chiwonetsero cha kusowa kwa ntchito sichingasinthe pa 4.1%. Avereji yamaola sabata ndi malipiro omwe amalandiridwa ku USA, akuyembekezeka kukhala osagwirizana ndi ziwerengero za Novembala ndipo sakusonyeza kusintha.
Chiwerengero chazamalonda chaku USA mu Novembala chikuyembekezeka kusintha pang'ono mpaka $ 48b, ma oda okhazikika a Novembala akuyembekezeredwa kuti azikhala pafupi ndi 1.3% yomwe idasindikizidwa mu Okutobala, pomwe ISM yopanga yopanga / ntchito ikuyembekezeredwa kuwulula pang'ono mpaka 57.5. Deta yaku USA sabata iliyonse imathera ndi kuwerengera kwa Baker Hughes, kuwulula magwiridwe antchito amafuta mdzikolo. A Harker, wogwira ntchito ku Fed, akamba nkhani pamisonkhano iwiri, omvera ake ndi malingaliro azachuma komanso mgwirizano wamagulu azandalama.
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