Kodi nthawi yowonongeka ndikukumana ndi ndondomeko yanga, kapena mwayi wanga kupyolera mu zochitika zapadera?

Apr 18 • Pakati pa mizere • Masomphenya a 9082 • 1 Comment Pa nthawi yomwe ikuwonongeka ndikukumana ndi ndondomeko yanga, kapena mwayi wanga kupyolera mu zochitika zapadera?

shutterstock_99173453Luso ndi mawu okangana kwambiri komanso zochitika zotsutsana mofanana pa malonda. Atatha miyezi komanso nthawi zambiri kuti apange njira yogulitsa malonda, potsiriza tizipereka ndondomeko yathu yotsatsa malonda, ndizovuta kwambiri kuti aliyense wa ife avomereze kuti chinthu chachikulu chomwe chatsopano chatsopano cha malonda chiri pansi ku zinthu zosavuta za mwayi.

Kuvomereza kuti ife tiri pachisomo cha msika ndipo palibe aliyense wa ife amene angakhoze kuneneratu, ndi kutsimikizika kwanthawi zonse, zomwe msika udzachite potsatira ndi lingaliro lovuta kwambiri kuti ambiri a ife amvetse. Ndizovuta kuvomereza lingaliro lakuti kuchuluka kwa ntchito zathu kudzasowa kuti tipeze phindu. Zonsezi ndizo, monga tanena kale muzithunzizi, zogwirizana ndi momwe ife tikuyendera kuti tiyandikire mayesero ambiri omwe makampani athu amatikakamiza kuti tigwirizane nawo tsiku lililonse ndi mlungu uliwonse.

Tikadutsa miyezi yambiri (kapena zaka) kuti tipeze njira yabwino yogulitsa malonda ndipo takhala ndi nthawi yofanana yomwe tikukhala nayo kuti tikhale ndi chidziwitso chotsatira ndondomeko yathu ya malonda, zingakhale zovuta pamene malonda athu njira ikuyamba kulephera ndipo ife tikhoza kufika, kapena tikuyamba kuopseza miyeso yomwe timayika mu dongosolo lathu la malonda. Koma pa nthawi yomwe timalephera kukonza ndondomeko yathu ndi njira yovuta kuti tigonjetse.

Momwe timayambira kumbuyo, kuti tipitirize kufufuza njira zathu, tisanayambe kuziyika kapena kuzisiya kwathunthu, ndi chimodzi mwa mayesero aakulu omwe tidzakumana nawo ngati ochita malonda komanso m'njira zambiri 'mayesero a moyo wamalonda' adzatifotokozera ife monga amalonda. Ndipo poyesa kukonzanso kayendetsedwe kathu ka malonda tingayambe kuwululira ngati mwatchutchutchu tawonetsa ngati tilibe mwayi. Koma kodi timayang'ana pati zizindikiro mu mbiri yathu yatsopano yamalonda kuti mwayi wosavuta watenga gawo lalikulu mu malonda athu ndi kuti palibe cholakwika ndi njira yathu komanso njira yogulitsa malonda?

Zolembapo, zomwe ziri mu malonda ndi komwe angayang'anire zizindikiro za iwo

Monga owerenga nthawi zonse pamakalata athu tidzatha kufalitsa nkhani ya mlungu ndi mlungu yomwe imatchedwa "kodi chiyanjano ndi mnzanu? Zowonjezera ndi izi timaphunziranso njira yeniyeni yothetsera luso pogwiritsira ntchito zambiri zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito komanso kutchulidwa zizindikiro. Zomwe zalembedwa posachedwa zakhala zotsatira za zomwe timatchula kuti olemba mabuku ndi zomwe zimakhudza malonda omwe timagulitsa nawo.

Chowoneka bwino kwambiri chakhala chikuvutitsa ku Ukraine, pamene chisokonezo chinayambira pa chigawo cha Crimea misika yogulitsidwa, makamaka mu European indices indices ndiyeno euro. Pamene mavuto adayambanso misika anayamba kuyambiranso. Ndiye tinakayikira kuti (monga momwe nyengo yakhalira inayamba ku USA) makampani ambiri omwe atchulidwa pa NASDAQ adayeneradi kulingalira kwakukulu pokhudzana ndi zomwe iwo akuwonetsa panopa. Ndiye takhala tikuchira, koma pa masiku awiri apitawo mantha a Ukraine ayambanso kuwonekera ngati nkhondo pakati pa magulu achikondi a ku Russia m'midzi yambiri ya Ukraine ndi akuluakulu a boma la Ukraine. atha kugonjetsa zachiwawa.

Tsopano pakuyang'ana pa nkhani zonse izi posachedwa, kapena monga masango, amalonda ochuluka akhala akudzipeza okha nthawi zina, malingana ndi ngati iwo sagulitsa amalonda kapena amalonda a tsiku, pambali yolakwika ya msika akuyenda popanda chifukwa zawo zokha kupatula kuumirira ku ndondomeko yawo. Zowonongeka, mndandanda umene tapereka pa ntchito yapitayi inali gawo losatheka kwa amalonda ambiri kuti agulitse masabata apitayi, makamaka ochita malonda ndi omwe tisanayambe kuwonjezerapo pazinthu zina ndizofunika zoyenera monga zosankha zoyendera, ntchito ndi zolemba zina zachuma. Monga ngati ntchito yathu sinali yonyenga mokwanira ife takhala tikulimbana ndi zinthu zovuta kwambiri zovuta kwambiri pa masabata apitawo, osadabwitsa kuti ambiri a ife tidzataya nthawi yochepa yomwe ingatipangitse ife kukayikira njira yathu yonse ndi njira zamalonda.

Ndizosatheka kufotokozera pamene ziwerengero zowerengetsera zochitika zidzakwaniritsidwa ndipo ndi zovuta kutizindikire kuti tikhoza kukhala muzowunikira pa zochitika zapadera pamene zikuchitika zambiri mu bizinesi yathu sizomwe akatswiri olemba masewera odziwa zapamwamba komanso akatswiri a masamu angathe, muwongolera, onetsetsani. Komanso, sitingagulitse zinthu zakale kuti akatswiri athu a masamu ndi masamu adziwe.

Koma zomwe tingathe kuchita, monga momwe chidziwitso chathu chikukula, chimasintha 'zida zathu za malonda' kuti tidziwe pamene tiri pakati pa maelstrom outliers akhoza. Tikatero timakhala ndi zisankho ziwiri zosavuta; kugulitsa kapena kusamalonda ...

Tikhoza kugulitsa pogwiritsa ntchito chimphepo chomwe chimachokera kunja, kapena kuyang'ana pansi ndikumvetsa chisoni kokha kungotiwonetsere chomwe chinali chisankho choyenera. Komabe, pamene mwachibadwa ndikukayikira njira yanu ndi njira yanu panthawi yomwe simunayambe kukayikira mosakayikira padzakhala nthawi yolakwika kuti musinthe kapena kusiya njira yovomerezeka yakale. Nthawi yosinkhasinkha imayenera kubwera kamodzi pomwe tazindikira kuti izi ndi zachizolowezi, kapena monga momwe tingathe kuyembekezera mu malonda a FX, indices, kapena katundu, adabwereranso kumalo athu ogulitsa.

* Tanthauzo la zopanda ntchito

Paziwerengero, zomwe zili kunja ndizomwe zikuwonetseratu zomwe zili kutali ndi zochitika zina. [1] Chilichonse chimatha chifukwa cha kusiyana kwake kapena kungasonyeze zolakwika; nthawi zina zimachotsedwa ku deta. [2]

Zolemba zamalonda zingatheke mwadzidzidzi kugawidwa kulikonse, koma nthawi zambiri zimasonyeza kuti ndi zolakwika kapena kuti anthu ali ndi katundu wolemera kwambiri. Kale akafuna kuwataya kapena kugwiritsa ntchito ziŵerengero zolimba kwambiri, koma pamapeto pake amasonyeza kuti kugawa kumeneku kuli ndi kurtosis yokwera komanso kuti munthu ayenera kukhala wochenjera kwambiri pogwiritsa ntchito zida kapena malingaliro omwe amawagawa mwachibadwa. Chomwe chimayambitsa zochitika zapadera ndi chisakanizo cha magawo awiri, omwe angakhale awiri osiyana-siyana, kapena angasonyeze 'kuyesedwa kolondola' ndi 'zolakwika'; izi zikuwonetsedwa ndi chitsanzo chosakaniza.

M'madera akuluakulu a deta, mfundo zina zapadera zidzakhala kutali kwambiri ndi zitsanzo zomwe zikutanthawuza kuposa zomwe zimaonedwa kukhala zomveka. Izi zikhoza kukhala chifukwa cha zolakwika zochitika mwangwiro kapena zolephereka mu lingaliro lomwe linapanga banja loganiza kuti lingathe kupatsana, kapena mwina ziwonetsero zina siziri pakati pa deta. Zowonjezera zingathe kusonyeza deta zolakwika, njira zolakwika, kapena malo omwe lingaliro lina lingakhale losavomerezeka. Komabe, muzinthu zazikulu, chiwerengero chochepa chazinthu zoyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito chiyenera kuyembekezera (osati chifukwa cha vuto lina lililonse).

Zolemba zapamwamba, pokhala zovuta kwambiri, zingaphatikizepo chitsanzo chazitali kapena zitsanzo zosachepera, kapena zonse ziwiri, malingana ndi momwe ziliri pamwamba kapena pansi. Komabe, chitsanzo chazitali ndi zochepa sizinthu nthawi zonse chifukwa sizingakhale zosiyana kwambiri ndi zochitika zina.
Chiwonetsero Chadongosolo Akaunti Akaunti Yowonongeka Sungani Akaunti Yanu

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