Golide ikukwera kwambiri kuyambira February, misika imayamba mitengo pakuchepetsa mitengo ya FOMC mu 2019, FAANGS amataya kuluma kwawo.
XAU / USD inadutsa mu $ 1,330 pa ounce mlingo kwa nthawi yoyamba mu miyezi ingapo, patsiku loyamba la malonda. Ogulitsa ndi amalonda ankafuna chitonthozo ndi pothawira ku zitsulo zamtengo wapatali ndi malo ena otetezeka, chifukwa cha mantha omwe anali nawo okhudzana ndi nkhondo zamalonda ndi mayiko. Pa 20: 10pm UK nthawi, golidi wogulitsa pa 1,328, kufika 1.41%, monga momwe mtengo wogula mtengo unkawonongera mtengo wachitatu wa kukana, R3, kumapeto kwa gawo la New York.
Malo osungirako malowa anafikira ku Swiss Franc, yomwe inkapindulitsa patsiku la tsikulo, ngakhale kuti malipoti akusonyeza kuti mabanki apakati, SNB, akulingalira kuchepetsa chiwongoladzanja cha chiwongoladzanja chozama kulowa mu gawo la NIRP, kuti athetse malipiro. Pa 20: 15pm USD / CHF imagulitsidwa m'magulu akuluakulu, otsika, tsiku ndi tsiku, pansi -0.93%, kugwera kupyolera mu S3 ndikusiya chiyanjano kwa nthawi yoyamba mu miyezi ingapo, monga mtengo unagwera kupyolera mu 200 DMA. Ndalama ya ku United States inalephera kuperewera poyerekeza ndi anzako ambiri patsiku la masana; ndondomeko ya dola, DXY, inagulitsidwa pansi -0.65% pa 97.12.
USD / JPY inasindikizidwa miyezi isanu pansi, monga yen inakopetsanso malo otetezeka, malonda ku 107.93, pansi -0.30%, mtengo wogwedezeka ku 2019 pansi, pamene akuyenda muzitali zochepa pafupi ndi S1, panthawi yonse ya New York. Mafuta a WTI adagwa patsiku la Lolemba, ku 9: 00pm UK nthawi, mtengo wogulitsidwa pansi -1.33%, pamene akudutsa mu $ 53.00 chombo cha mbiya kwa nthawi yoyamba kuyambira Januwale, mtengo wake unasokoneza 200 DMA.
USA indices zamalonda zamalonda zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito m'madera ambiri pa msonkhano wa New York. Misika yam'mbuyoyi imasonyeza kuti sizinayende bwino, komabe, msika wamalonda mwamsanga unayika phindu lazing'ono, posachedwa kutseguka. Chakumapeto kwa gawoli, zopindula zimasanduka nthunzi, monga zizindikiro zitatu zazikulu; DJIA, SPX ndi NASDAQ adagulitsidwa kwambiri, pa ola lotsiriza la malonda. Maofesi a FAANG (ogulitsidwa mu ndondomeko ya NASDAQ) adagwa kwambiri; Google inagulitsidwa pansi, monga momwe: Facebook, Amazon, Netflix ndi Apple, monga zipangizo zamakono zimayang'aniridwa ndi malamulo a antitrust ndi boma la USA.
Pa 20: 25pm, Google inagulitsidwa pansi -6.5%, ndi Amazon pansi -5.28%. NASDAQ inagulitsidwa pansi -1.77%. Chingwe chofikira chaka chino cha 2019 chasanduka chapafupi ndi 10%, pamene kugwa kwa mwezi kuli pafupifupi -10%. Mtengo watha kupyolera mu 200 DMA, kuchokera pamwamba pa 8,176, yosindikizidwa pa May 3rd. Zowonjezereka zowonongeka kwasayansi zinawonetsedwa ndi Tesla kusindikizira mlungu wa 52, pomwe Netflix anataya circa -XUMUM% pa May.
Ndalama zam'tsogolo zokhudzana ndi chuma ndizomwe mtengo wa 97% umapezeka kuti FOMC / Fedha idzathetsa chiwongoladzanja chiwongoladzanja chisanafike mapeto a 2019, malinga ndi Fedwatch ya gulu la CME. Panopa pali 80% mwayi wa mitengo yomwe imadulidwa kawiri, isanafike 2019. Kulosera uku kungakhale chisonyezero cha momwe ndalama zakhalira ku USA, zikugwiritsira ntchito nkhondo ndi malonda.
A Bullard, mkulu wa bungwe la Fedha, adalankhula polemba Lolemba madzulo, kuti sadapeze njira yothetsera nkhondo, yomwe ikuyendetsedwa ndi POTUS. Zimapereka zolemba za chaka cha 2 zinagwa ndi 9 mabps ku 1.842% Lolemba. Kulembetsa tsiku lalikulu la 2 kuyambira chaka chakumayambiriro kwa October 2008, chiwonetsero china chosonyeza kuti Ndalama zikuyenera kuthetsa ndondomeko chaka chino, pofuna kuthandizira kukula, pakati pa malonda padziko lonse. Kufooka kwamalonda ku USA kunayesedwa ndi zolemba zonse za ISM ndi PMI zomwe zikuchitika mwezi wa May, zosasoweka.
Dongosolo lapadera la kalendala ya zachuma linatulutsidwa patsiku la Lolemba, makamaka likukhudzidwa ndi zida za PMIs zomwe zinasindikizidwa ku: Asia, Europe ndi USA. China ya Caixan yopanga PMI inapitirira pamwamba pa 50 mzere, kulekanitsa kusinthika kuchokera kuwonjezereka, kulembetsa kuwerengera kwa 50.2 kwa May, Japan PMI yopanga kukhala pansi pa 50 pa 49.8. Ambiri a EZ PMIs ochokera ku Markit adalowa kapena pafupi ndi maulosi, pamene UK makampani PMI adagwa pansi pa chiwerengero cha 50 kwa nthawi yoyamba kuyambira July 2016, pambuyo pa chisankho cha referendum. Chodabwitsa chikusonyeza mmene malingaliro amagulu opangidwira akugwedezeka, ndi kupitiliza kwa Brexit debacle. Malingana ndi Markit, Ulaya akulamula ku UK yagwa miyezi yapitayi, chifukwa chidaliro chasanduka nthumwi ponena za UK Government kukonza njira yofewa.
Mayiko a ku Ulaya ananyamuka Lolemba, ngakhale kuti zolembazo zinalembedweratu USA isanafike madzulo. Sterling inagwera poyerekeza ndi anzako ambiri Lolemba, kungolemba 0.30% kukwera ndi 21: 10pm UK nthawi motsutsana ndi greenback, chifukwa cha USD ofooka kudutsa gulu, mosiyana ndi mphamvu zamphamvu. Auro amalembetsa ndalama zotsutsana ndi anzako ambiri, kupatula kuwonongeka motsutsana ndi Swiss franc. EUR / USD adagulitsa 0.68%, akuphwanya R3 ndikukweza malo pamwamba pa 50 DMA.
Pamene misika ya ku London-European imatsegulidwa Lachisanu, dollar ya Aussie idzachitapo kanthu pa chisankho cha RBA chokhudza ndalama. Chigwirizano chomwe anthu ambiri anali nacho chinali chakuti adzidwe ku 1.25% kuchokera ku 1.5%. Zomwe zimachitika m'maboma awiri a AUD zingapitirire ku gawo la European, choncho amalonda akulangizidwa kuti ayang'ane maudindo alionse AUD ndi chisamaliro.
Dera lina la kalendala lachuma kuti liziyang'aniridwa Lachiwiri likuphatikiza mawerengedwe atsopano a Eurozone CPI. Malingaliro a Reuters ndi kuwonjezeka kwa chaka ndi chaka mu EZ kuti agwe ku 1.3% kuchokera ku 1.7%, kuwerenga kumene kungakhudze mtengo wa euro, ngati olemba ndi ochita malonda akumasulira deta monga bearish, yochokera ku ECB yopanda chilungamo, pofuna kulimbikitsa kukula mwa njira yothetsera ndalama.
Dongosolo lapamwamba la US USA kuti lifalitsidwe Lachiwiri, likukhudzana ndi malamulo atsopano a mafakitale a April. Kuyembekezeredwa pa -0.9%, kuwerenga uku kungaimire kugwa kwakukulu pa 1.9% yosindikizidwa mu March. Komanso, zikutanthauza kuti opanga USA ndi othawa kwawo akuyamba kumva ngati akuwombera ku nkhondo.
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