Pehea e hiki ai i ke kūʻai pōkole ke lilo i mea weliweli?

"E kūʻai aku i Mei a hele aku", inā ʻo ia wale nō ka maʻalahi.

3 Jun • Nā ʻatikala kālepa Forex, Nā manaʻo ʻōlelo mākeke • 5141 Nānā • Comments Off ma "Kūʻai i Mei a hele aku", inā ʻo ia wale nō ka maʻalahi.

Manaʻo ʻia ka huaʻōlelo "kūʻai aku i Mei a hele aku" mai kahi ʻōlelo Pelekane kahiko; “Kūʻai aku i Mei a hele aku a hoʻi mai i ka lā o St. Leger's.” ʻO kēia huaʻōlelo e pili ana i ka hana maʻamau i nā manawa ma mua i ka wā e haʻalele ai nā aristocrats, nā mea kālepa, a me nā panakō, i ke kūlanakauhale haumia o Ladana a holo i ka ʻāina, i nā mahina kau wela. A laila hoʻi hou i ke kūlanakauhale ʻo Ladana, ma hope o ka heihei lio pālahalaha o St. Leger Stakes.

ʻO kēia heihei, i mālama mua ʻia i ka makahiki 1776, no ʻekolu mau makahiki a me nā ʻie piha piha, aia nō ia ma ke ʻano maʻa mau o kahi lā hoʻokūkū heihei ʻekolu, i mālama ʻia ma Doncaster ma ka ʻākau o ʻEnelani. ʻO ia ka hālāwai heihei hope loa o ka makahiki, nāna e lawe ka pale i ka wā heihei pālahalaha, ke hoʻokokoke mai nei nā mahina hoʻoilo.

I ka mahina o Mei 2019, ua loaʻa i kahi mākeke kaulike USA kahi hāʻule nui; Ua hoʻopaʻa inoa ka SPX i kāna lua hāʻule nui o ka mahina hope loa mai ka 1960's. I loko o ka mahina o Mei hāʻule ka SPX a me NASDAQ no ʻehā mau pule ma hope, ua hāʻule ka DJIA no ʻeono pule a laila; ʻo ke kahamoe loihi loa i nā makahiki ʻewalu.

  • Ua hina ka DJIA e -6.69%.
  • Ua hina ka SPX e -6.58%.
  • Ua hina ka NASDAQ e -7.93%.

I loko o ka pule kālepa hope o Mei.

  • Ua hina ka DJIA e -3.01%.
  • Ua hina ka SPX e -2.62%.
  • Ua hina ka NASDAQ e -2.41%.

ʻO ka slump i ka waiwai o nā helu kaulike o USA a me nā helu o ka mahina maoli, he mea haʻalulu no ke kūʻai a paʻa, nā mea hoʻopukapuka pilikino lōʻihi lōʻihi. Akā i ka honua, 24/6, lā hou, kālepa i nā wahi, he paʻakikī ia e hoʻoholo ai e haʻalele wale i ke kālepa ʻana: nā kaulike, nā ʻikepili, a me nā mākeke ʻē aʻe, no ʻehā mau mahina e hiki mai ana.

Eia nō naʻe, ua hāʻawi ka slump i nā kūlana kūʻai maikaʻi loa no nā mea kūʻai pōkole o nā papa kūʻai kūʻai o USA i ka mahina o Mei, ʻoiai ke hāʻawi nei i ka stimulus no nā mākeke ʻē aʻe; ʻo ka mākeke forex a me nā mea kūʻai aku, i kālepa aku i nā laulā ākea, i loko o ka mahina. Ua kū kahi mokuʻāina maʻamau o ka flx, ma muli o ka hoʻokō ʻana o ke keʻena ʻo Trump i nā ʻauhau hoʻouka hou aku ma Kina a me nā hoʻoweliweli o nā uku hou, e kūʻē iā Mexico a me ka EU 

I kēia manawa ua hala ka mahina o Mei, nui nā mea kālailai a me nā economists e hoʻāʻo nei e wānana; "He aha ka mea e hiki mai ana, ma hea e alakaʻi ai nā mākeke kaulike?" ʻO ka mea i ʻike ʻia, ma muli o nā kūʻai lilo ʻelua i ʻike ʻia i loko o nā ʻāpana ʻelua i hala aku nei, ke huli nei ka hoʻokele waiwai o ka honua i kēia manawa ma muli o nā hana a me nā ʻōlelo a ka Pelekikena USA. ʻAʻole hiki ke helu a hoʻohālikelike i kahi manawa i hala; ke nānā kumu a me ka ʻenehana, ua hoʻokuʻu ʻia i kahi kūlana redundant, i ka makemake i ka hana kaiaulu a me nā kulekele unilateral o kahi POTUS.

I loko o ka hapahā ʻelua o ka makahiki 2018, hāʻule nā ​​mākeke kaulike (puni ka honua) i ka wā i hoʻomaka ai ke kaua kalepa a me nā kumukūʻai. I loko o ka mahina o Mei, ua hana hou ʻia nā hiʻohiʻona, hiki ke loaʻa kahi manaʻo palekana e neʻe ana nā mākeke kaulike i nā ala ʻelua. E hoʻohālikelike nā mea hoʻopukapuka i ka waiwai o kahi maʻamau maʻamau a kūʻai aku nā mākeke ma ka ʻaoʻao, a i ʻole hoʻomau paha e kūʻai aku, e lawe ana i nā haʻahaʻa i kau ʻia i ka hāʻule o 2018. Hiki i nā mea hoʻopukapuka ke kuhikuhi i nā lakio P / E, nā uku v loaʻa a hoʻoholo i kahi ʻano o ka exuberance irrational e noho nei. ʻO ka lakio P / E o ka SPX i kēia manawa he 21, ka averika heluhelu ʻana e hoʻi ana i nā makahiki 1950 he circa 16, no laila, hiki i kahi paio ke hōʻike ʻia he 23% ka helu ma mua o ka waiwai.

Nānā pinepine nā loiloi i "waiwai kūpono" o nā mākeke kaulike a ʻoiai he nui, nā mea i ʻōlelo ʻia ma ka nūpepa mainstream financial, ke hōʻike nei i kēia manawa ua kokoke nā helu kaulike o USA i kēia manawa i ka waiwai kūpono, ua aʻo kekahi i ka pae hāʻule ʻana o Kekemapa 2018. hiki hou. Eia kekahi, ma kahi o ke kūʻai hou ʻia aku e hoʻoulu ʻia i ka manaʻo, i kēlā me kēia hāʻule o ka wā e hiki mai ana, inā hoʻokumu ʻia ma ke kumu o nā kaomi keu i lawe ʻia ma muli o ka hoʻokau ʻana i ka uku e hōʻeha ana i ke kālepa honua, e kumu ʻia paha ia e ka nele o ka manaʻo a me nā metric ʻilihune loa. ʻOkoʻa, hiki i nā mākeke kaulike ʻo USA a me nā ʻikena ʻē aʻe ke ala aʻe; nānā wale paha nā mea hoʻopukapuka i nā ʻauhau a nānā ʻole i nā metric koʻikoʻi, e like me ka hāʻule ʻana o ka ulu ʻana o GDP a kūʻai wale aku i nā pā.

Hoʻokele ʻia nā mākeke e ka manaʻo a me ka hilinaʻi e like me ka ʻikepili paʻakikī. Ua kākoʻo mua ke keʻena ʻo Trump i ka hilinaʻi ma 2017 a hoʻomau i ka mākeke a me ka hoʻokele waiwai, i hoʻomaka ma lalo o ke kau mua. ʻO ka hōʻemi ʻauhau ākea ākea i hoʻokumu ʻia no nā ʻoihana ma 2017-2018, e lawe ana i nā kumukūʻai ma lalo o 15%, i hoʻokumu i nā loaʻa o ka mākeke waiwai ʻo 2018. Eia nō naʻe, ke mae nei kēlā hopena, e like me ka hilinaʻi i ka White House a me ka POTUS e mālama i kahi kulekele pili kālā.

ʻ suggestlelo kekahi mau mea loiloi inā hoʻomau ka uku, me ka ʻole o nā hōʻailona o kahi kuikahi, a laila hiki i nā mākeke kōkua ke ʻoki i ka uku paneʻe pane mai 2.5%. Hoʻokiʻoki ʻia kahi kulekele kālā e pono ai paha ma muli o nā kaomi recessionary hiki ke pale ʻia. ʻO kahi hāʻule hiki ʻole ke kumu ʻia e ka pōʻaiapuni hoʻokele e pau ana, akā ma muli o ka POTUS, e hōʻike ana i kahi hanana kū hoʻokahi.

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