Piʻi ke gula i kahi kiʻekiʻe loa mai Pepeluali, hoʻomaka nā mākeke i ke kumu kūʻai ma nā hōʻemi helu FOMC ma 2019, ua nalowale nā FAANGS i kā lākou nahu.
Ua piʻi aʻe ʻo XAU / USD ma o ka $ 1,330 no kēlā me kēia auneke no ka manawa mua i loko o kekahi mau mahina, i ka wā o ke kālepa Pōʻakahi. Ua ʻimi nā mea hoʻopukapuka a me nā mea kālepa i ka hōʻoluʻolu a me ka puʻuhonua i nā mea waiwai makamae a me nā waiwai palekana, no ka hoʻomau ʻana i ka makaʻu e pili ana i nā kaua kalepa a me nā uku. Ma 20:10 pm manawa UK, kūʻai aku ke gula ma 1,328, a i 1.41%, ʻoiai ka hana o ke kumukūʻai i ʻike ai i ka haʻihaʻi o ke kumukūʻai i ke kolu o ka pae o ke kūʻē, R3, i ka hopena o ke kau o New York.
Ua kīloi ʻia kēlā puʻuhonua palekana i ka Swiss franc, i piʻi aʻe i ka waiwai i nā kau o ke ao, ʻoiai ke hōʻike ʻia nei e kū ana ke kikowaena waena, ʻo SNB, i ka hōʻemi ʻana i nā uku paneʻe i ka ʻāina ʻo NIRP, i mea e pale ai i nā waihona kālā. Ma 20:15 pm ua kūʻai aku ʻo USD / CHF i kahi ākea, bearish, kēlā me kēia lā, lalo -0.93%, e hāʻule ana ma o S3 a hāʻawi i ka pae parity no ka manawa mua i nā mahina he nui, i ka wā i hāʻule ai ke kumukūʻai ma o ka 200 DMA. Ua loaʻa nā dālā o ka US kālā ma mua o ka hapa nui o kona mau hoa i nā kau o ke ao; ka papa kuhikuhi kālā, DXY, kūʻai aku i lalo -0.65% ma 97.12.
Ua paʻi ʻo USD / JPY i kahi mahina he ʻelima mau mahina, ʻoiai ua ʻumeʻume ʻo yen i kahi hoʻopiʻi palekana, e kālepa ana ma 107.93, iho -0.30%, ua emi ke kumukūʻai i kahi haʻahaʻa 2019, ʻoiai e oscillating ana ma kahi ākea kokoke i S1, ma ke kau o New York. Ua hāʻule ka aila WTI i nā kau o ka Pōʻakahi, ma 9:00 pm manawa UK, ua kūʻai aku ke kumukūʻai -1.33%, ʻoiai e emi ana i loko o ka $ 53.00 i kahi pahu pahu no ka manawa mua mai Ianuali, no ka mea ua haki ke kumukūʻai i ka 200 DMA.
Ua whipsawed nā index market ʻo USA i nā laulā ākea ma ke kau o ka Pōʻakahi ma Nu Ioka. Ke hōʻike nei nā mākeke e hiki mai ana i kahi wehe maikaʻi ʻole, akā naʻe, ua kau koke nā mākeke kaulike i nā loaʻa liʻiliʻi, ma hope koke iho o ka wehe. Ma ka hopena o ke kau ua pio nā lanakila, no ka mea, ʻo nā ʻikepili nui ʻekolu. Ua kūʻai ikaika aku ʻo DJIA, SPX a me NASDAQ, i ka hola hope o ke kālepa ʻana. ʻO nā kumukūʻai FAANG (kālepa ʻia ma ka papa kuhikuhi NASDAQ) i loaʻa i nā hāʻule nui; Kūʻai ʻo Google i lalo, e like me: Facebook, Amazon, Netflix a me Apple, ʻoiai ke kū nei nā ʻoihana ʻenehana i nā noiʻi antitrust kānāwai e ka aupuni USA.
Ma 20:25 pm, ua kūʻai aku ʻo Google i lalo -6.5%, a me Amazon i lalo -5.28%. Ua kūʻai aku ʻo NASDAQ i lalo -1.77%. ʻO ka makahiki a hiki i kēia lā ua hoʻonui ʻia nā loaʻa ʻenehana no 2019 i kahi 10%, ʻoiai ʻo ka hāʻule o ka mahina ma kahi o -10%. Ua hāʻule ke kumukūʻai ma o ka 200 DMA, mai ke kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe o 8,176, paʻi ʻia ma Mei 3. ʻO nā luku hou aku i ka papa ʻenehana ua hōʻike ʻia e Tesla e paʻi ana i kahi 52 mau pule haʻahaʻa, ʻoiai ua nalo ʻo Netflix ma kahi o -7.5% ma Mei.
Ke kūʻai nei nā kālā no ka wā e hiki mai ana ma kahi o 97% manawa e hōʻoki ka FOMC / Fed i ka uku paneʻe ma mua o ka hopena o 2019, e like me ka Fedwatch o ka hui CME. Aia i kēia manawa he 80% manawa o nā helu e ʻoki ʻia ma mua o ʻelua mau manawa, ma mua o ka hala ʻana o 2019. Hiki i kēia wānana kahi hōʻailona o ke ʻano nui o ka hoʻokumu kālā ʻana ma USA, ke lawe nei i kēia kaua kalepa a me ka pilikia auhau.
ʻO kahi luna Fed, ʻo Mr. Bullard, i hōʻike i kahi haʻiʻōlelo i ke ahiahi Pōʻakahi, ʻaʻole ʻo ia i ʻike i kahi hopena koke i ke kaua kalepa, i hoʻokumu ʻia e ka POTUS. Ua hāʻule nā hua ma nā 2 makahiki i ka 9 bps a i ka 1.842% ma ka Pōʻakahi. Ke hoʻopaʻa inoa nei i ka hāʻule nui o 2 mau lā mai ka mua o ʻOkakopa 2008, kahi hōʻike hou aʻe e manaʻo ʻia e hoʻomāmā ka Fed i kēia kulekele i kēia makahiki, i mea e kākoʻo ai i ka ulu ulu ʻana, ma waena o nā haunaele kālepa honua. Ua hōʻike ʻia ka wāwahiwaliwali o USA e nā heluhelu ʻana o ISM a me PMI no Mei, e nalo ana i nā wānana.
Ua hoʻokuʻu ʻia ka ʻikepili kalena hoʻokele waiwai i ka wā o ka Pōʻakahi, e pili nui ana i ka lāki o PMI i paʻi ʻia no: ʻAsia, ʻEulopa a me USA. Ua kolo ʻo ChinaI Caixan manufacturing PMI ma luna o ka laina 50, e hoʻokaʻawale ana i ka contraction mai ka hoʻonui ʻana, e hoʻopaʻa inoa i kahi heluhelu 50.2 no Mei, ua noho ka PMI hana Iapana ma lalo o 50 ma 49.8. ʻO ka hapanui o nā EZ PMI mai Markit i hele mai ma kahi a kokoke paha i nā wānana, ʻoiai ua hāʻule ka PMI hana UK ma lalo o ka pae 50 no ka manawa mua mai Iulai 2016, ma hope o ka hoʻoholo referendum. He hōʻailona hoʻohenehene e pili ana i ka hopena o ka manaʻo i ka ʻāpana hana, e ka hoʻomau Brexit debacle. Wahi a Markit, ua hiolo nā kauoha a ʻEulopa i loko o UK i nā mahina i hala iho nei, ʻoiai ua hoʻopau ʻia ka hilinaʻi e pili ana i ka hiki i ke aupuni UK ke hoʻonohonoho i kahi puka palupalu.
Ua ala aʻe nā mea kaulike o ʻEulopa i ka Pōʻakahi, ʻoiai ua hoʻopaʻa inoa nā lanakila ma mua o ke kūʻai aku ʻana o ke ahiahi o USA. Ua hina ʻo Sterling ma mua o ka hapanui o kona mau hoa ma ka Pōʻakahi, e hoʻopaʻa inoa wale ana i kahi piʻi 0.30% e 21:10 pm UK manawa me ka greenback, ma muli o ka nawaliwali o ka USD ma ka papa, a kūʻē i ka ikaika nui. Ua hoʻopaʻa inoa ka Euro i ka lanakila me ka hapanui o kāna mau hoa, koe wale nō nā poho me ka Swiss franc. Ua kūʻai aku ʻo EUR / USD i ka 0.68%, ka haki ʻana iā R3 a me ke kū hou ʻana ma luna o ka 50 DMA.
I ka wehe ʻana o nā mākeke ʻo Lākana-ʻEulopa i ka Pōʻalua, ua pane mua ke kālā Aussie i ka hoʻoholo RBA e pili ana i ka uku kālā. ʻO ka ʻae kūkā ākea i mālama ʻia no kahi ʻoki i 1.25% mai 1.5%. Hiki ke hoʻolōʻihi i ka hopena i nā hui AUD i loko o ka hālāwai ʻEulopa, no laila e ʻōlelo ʻia nā mea kālepa e nānā i nā kūlana AUD me ka mālama
ʻO nā ʻikepili kalena hoʻokele waiwai ʻē aʻe e nānā ma ka Pōʻalua e pili ana i nā heluhelu hou o ka Eurozone CPI. ʻO ka Reuters ka mea e manaʻo ai no ka hoʻonui makahiki i ka EZ e hāʻule i 1.3% mai 1.7%, kahi heluhelu e hiki ai ke hopena i ka waiwai o ka euro, inā unuhi nā mea hoʻopukapuka a me nā mea kālepa i ka ʻikepili he bearish, ma muli o ka ECB i lohi a hoʻāpono. e hoʻonāukiuki i ka ulu ʻana ma o ka maʻalahi ʻana o ke kulekele kālā.
ʻO ka ʻike kiʻekiʻe o USA no ka paʻi ʻana ma ka Poalua, pili i nā kauoha hale hana hou no ʻApelila. Kuhi ʻia ma -0.9%, e hōʻike ana kēia heluhelu ʻana i kahi hāʻule nui o ka 1.9% i paʻi ʻia ma Malaki. Eia kekahi, e ʻōlelo paha e hoʻomaka ana nā mea hana a me nā mea kūʻai aku USA e hōʻino i ke kaua kalepa.
« "E kūʻai aku i Mei a hele aku", inā ʻo ia wale nō ka maʻalahi. Ke hoʻomau nei e hāʻule nā kauoha hale hana Kelemania, huli i ka ʻike NFP »
