Shin RBA, babban bankin Ostiraliya, zai rage kuɗin zuwa 1.25% daga 1.50%, kuma yaya Aussie dollar za ta yi idan suka yi?

Yuni 3 • Asusun ciniki na Forex, Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 3328 • Comments Off on Shin RBA, babban bankin Ostiraliya, zai rage yawan kuɗin kuɗi zuwa 1.25% daga 1.50%, kuma ta yaya dalar Aussie za ta yi idan sun yi?

Da karfe 5:30 na safe agogon UK, ranar Talata 4 ga watan Yuni, RBA, Bankin Reserve na Ostiraliya, zai sanar da shawararsa game da babban adadin ribar ƙasar. RBA ta kiyaye adadin kuɗin kuɗi a ƙasa da kashi 1.5 a ƙarshen taron su na Mayu, yana tsawaita lokacin rikodin rashin aiwatar da manufofin kuɗi tare da yin watsi da duk wani hasashe cewa babban bankin na iya sauƙaƙe manufofinsu na kuɗi, sakamakon hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da ya ɓace. hasashen, a farkon kwata na 2019.

Mambobin kwamitin RBA sun kasance da kwarin gwiwa a cikin watan Mayu, cewa adadin hauhawar kanun labarai na 2019 zai kasance a kusa da 2%, wanda ke goyan bayan karuwar farashin mai, yayin da suke hasashen hauhawar farashin kayayyaki zai kasance a kusa da 1.75% a cikin 2019 da 2% a cikin 2020. Kwamitin ya yi imanin cewa har yanzu akwai sauran iya aiki a cikin tattalin arzikin Ostiraliya, amma ana buƙatar ƙarin ci gaba a cikin kasuwar ƙwadago, don hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya yi daidai da abin da aka sa gaba.

Masu sharhi na kasuwa da 'yan kasuwa za su nemi bambance-bambance daga wannan matsayi na Mayu, bayan da aka watsa sanarwar kudi, lokacin da RBA ta ba da sanarwa da kuma gudanar da taron manema labarai. Ra'ayin yarjejeniya da aka fi sani da shi, bayan da kamfanonin dillancin labarai na Bloomberg da Reuters kwanan nan suka jefa kuri'a kan kwamitin masana tattalin arzikinsu, don rage yawan kudin ruwa, daga 1.5% zuwa 1.25%, wanda zai wakilci sabon matsayi ga babban bankin Australia da tattalin arziki.

RBA na iya ba da hujjar rage kuɗin kuɗin kuɗin da aka samu na 0.25%, ta hanyar yin nuni ga tabarbarewar kwanan nan, bayanan cikin gida, tattalin arziƙin ƙasa da kuma tasirin tasirin yaƙin kasuwanci tsakanin Amurka da China da harajin da ke haifar da tattalin arzikin Ostiraliya, wanda ya dogara sosai kan kasuwar fitar da kayayyaki. zuwa kasar Sin, musamman ga kayayyakin noma da ma'adanai. Ci gaban GDP a Ostiraliya ya fadi zuwa 0.2% don Q4 2018, babban faduwa daga 1.1% da aka rubuta a cikin Q1 2018, buga mafi munin ci gaban kwata-kwata tun Q3 2016. A cikin shekara zuwa kwata na hudu, tattalin arzikin ya fadada 2.3%, mafi hankali Taki tun kwata na watan Yuni na 2017, bayan da aka samu raguwar ci gaban 2.7% a cikin lokacin da ya gabata, wanda ya zo ƙasa da hasashen kasuwa na 2.5%. Farashin farashi yana kan 1.3% kowace shekara, yana faɗuwa daga 1.8%, yana yin rikodin ƙimar 0.00% na Maris. Sabon masana'antar PMI ya faɗi zuwa 52.7.

Duk da tsinkayar da aka yi daga masana tattalin arziki don yankewa a cikin tsabar kudi, daga 1.5% zuwa 1.25%, RBA na iya kiyaye foda ta bushe kuma ta guje wa yanke, har sai an bayyana jagorancin tattalin arziki na yanzu. A madadin haka, za su iya aiwatar da matakin a kokarin da suke yi na yin gaba da duk wata barazana da za ta iya fuskanta, ga ci gaban tattalin arzikin kasar.

Saboda tsinkaya don yankewa, masu bincike na FX da 'yan kasuwa za su mayar da hankali kan sanarwar, kamar yadda aka yanke shawarar a 5: 30am UK lokaci. Hasashe a cikin ƙimar AUD zai ƙaru kafin, lokacin da kuma bayan an fitar da shawarar. Hakanan dole ne a lura cewa a cikin lokutan da babban bankin ya fitar da jagorar gaba, yana ba da shawarar canza canjin kuɗi, idan ba a sanar da canji na gaba ba, har yanzu kuɗin na iya mayar da martani sosai, idan an riga an sanya farashin kowane daidaitawa.

Comments an rufe.

« »