Afrilu 24 • Asusun ciniki na Forex, Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 2448 • Comments Off a kan dala Aussie ta yi karo da takwarorinta, yayin da hauhawar farashi ya ragu sosai, ma'aunin IFO na Jamusanci ya yi hasashen hasashen, yana kara tsoran cewa Jamus na iya shiga cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki.
Kudin Aussie ya faɗi yayin taron cinikin Sydney-Asiya, manazarta da sauri sun danganta faɗuwar bisa la'akari da hauhawar farashi da ke ƙasa da tsammanin 1.3% shekara a shekara a watan Maris, ya faɗo daga 1.8%, kamar yadda Q1 CPI ya shigo a 0.00%. Faduwar ma'aunin CPI yana nuni da rauni mara karfi, sabili da haka, RBA, babban bankin Ostiraliya, da ƙarancin ƙimar ƙara ƙimar riba. Da ƙarfe 9:30 na safe agogon Burtaniya, AUD / USD sun yi ciniki a 0.704, ƙasa -0.82%, suna fadowa ta matakan tallafi uku, zuwa S3, yayin da suka bugu da ƙananan watanni biyu. Sauran nau'ikan AUD sun bi irin waɗannan halaye na ɗabi'a.
Bayanin kalandar Turai a cikin zaman safe, ya damu da sabon karatun IFO na Jamus, tare da dukkanin ma'auni uku da suka ɓace game da hasashen Reuters. Matsayi a matsayin matsakaiciyar lamura na kalandar, karatun IFO zai iya ƙara ƙaruwa don tsoratar da tattalin arziƙin Jamus, ko kuma wataƙila ta koma kan koma bayan fasahohi, a sassa daban-daban. Da ƙarfe 9:45 na safe agogon Ingila, EUR / USD sun yi ciniki a 1.121, ƙasa da 0.10%, suna jujjuyawa a cikin tsaka mai wuya, tsakanin mahimmin jigon yau da kullun da matakin farko na tallafi. Yuro ya sami wadataccen kasuwancin kasuwanci tare da takwarorinsa da yawa, yana tashi sosai akan AUD da NZD, sakamakon raunin bayanan hauhawar Aussie da faɗuwa sosai da Switzerland franc. Swissie ta tashi a farkon kasuwanci tare da yawancin takwarorinta, kamar yadda tsarin binciken Credit Suisse ya zo gabanin hasashe.
Karatuttukan karatu na canji don ciniki mai tsada, sun faɗi ƙasa sosai yayin makonni biyu na hutun majalisa / hutu, tare da bayyana yadda labarai masu alaƙa da Brexit shine ainihin abin da ke haifar da zirga-zirgar fam na Burtaniya. Yayinda 'yan majalisar suka koma bakin aikinsu a ranar Talata 24 ga Afrilu, saurin canzawa nan da nan, yayin da batun Brexit ya koma tattaunawa a masana'antar FX. GBP / USD ya faɗi yayin zaman na Talata, saboda ƙarfin dala fiye da raunin fam, amma an ci gaba da faɗuwar gaba zuwa zaman Laraba. Duk da cewa an sanya ranar ficewa daga Burtaniya yanzu a 31 ga Oktoba, kuma gibin kasafin kudin Burtaniya ya kai kasa da shekaru goma sha bakwai, akwai ƙarancin ci don gabatar da GBP, yayin zaman London-Turai.
Burtaniya ta ari £ 24.7b don daidaita littattafan a cikin shekarar kuɗi ta ƙarshe, alkaluman da aka fitar a safiyar Talata sun bayyana, mafi ƙanƙanci tun daga 2001-2002, kuma ƙasa a shekara ɗaya da ta gabata, rancen a cikin sabuwar shekara ta ƙarshe ta kasance £ 1.9b fiye da da hasashen £ 22.8 biliyan da OBR (Ofishin Kula da Kasafin Kuɗi). A matsayin kasawa, aron Burtaniya yanzu ya zama kashi 1.2% na GDP ne kawai, lokacin da a shekarun 2008-09 Burtaniya ta ari £ 153b, ko 9.9% na GDP, lokacin da tattalin arzikin ya shiga cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki, yayin da masu biyan haraji suka bayar da belin bankunan Burtaniya. Ba da daɗewa ba bayan da aka buga bayanan ƙarfafawa, GPB / USD sun yi ciniki a 1.290, sun kasa dawo da nauyin 1.300, kuma suna ciniki a ƙasa da 200 DMA, wanda aka sanya a 1.296, ya faɗi ƙasa da ba a shaida tun daga watan Fabrairun 2019.
Hankali zai koma ga tattalin arzikin Kanada yayin zaman na rana, yayin da BOC ke watsa sabuwar shawarar da suka yanke a kan ƙimar fa'ida, a halin yanzu a 1.75% akwai ƙaramin fata tsakanin masharhanta don haɓaka, gwargwadon halin tattalin arziƙin Kanada na yanzu. A dabi'ance, mayar da hankali zai juya zuwa ga bayanin Gwamna Stephen Poloz wanda ke tare da shawarar, yayin da masu sharhi ke tsara cikakken bayani game da duk wata alama da BOC ke duba yiwuwar sauya matsayinsu na manufofin kudi na yanzu, don samun damar kara farashin a nan gaba. 'Yan kasuwar FX da ke cinikin CAD, ko kuma waɗanda suka kware a fagen cinikin labaran labarai, za a ba su shawara su sanya sanarwar, wanda aka shirya fitarwa da ƙarfe 15:00 na yamma agogon Ingila. A 10:45 pm USD / CAD sun yi ciniki da 0.20%, suna jujjuyawa tsakanin maɓallin jigon yau da kullun da matakin farko na juriya.
A matsayin kudin kayayyaki, dala ta Kanada ta sami nasarori masu yawa a kan zaman baya-bayan nan, bayan da Gwamnatin Trump ta sanar da kwastomomin Iran, cewa za a sanya musu takunkumi, idan suka ci gaba da sayen man Iran. WTI ya haura sama da $ 66 ganga, matakin da ba a gani ba tun Oktoba 2018. Duk da faduwa da -0.66% a ranar Laraba, farashin da aka gudanar sama da na 66.00. Matakin da za a iya gwadawa, da zarar DOE ta bayyana sabon makamashi da ke tanadi dalla-dalla game da tattalin arzikin Amurka, da ƙarfe 15:30 na daren yau.
Dalar Aussie ta yi karo da takwarorinta, yayin da hauhawar farashi ya fadi sosai, ma'aunin IFO na Jamusanci ya yi hasashen hasashen, yana kara tsoran cewa Jamus na iya shiga cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki.
Afrilu 24 • Asusun ciniki na Forex, Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 2448 • Comments Off a kan dala Aussie ta yi karo da takwarorinta, yayin da hauhawar farashi ya ragu sosai, ma'aunin IFO na Jamusanci ya yi hasashen hasashen, yana kara tsoran cewa Jamus na iya shiga cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki.
Kudin Aussie ya faɗi yayin taron cinikin Sydney-Asiya, manazarta da sauri sun danganta faɗuwar bisa la'akari da hauhawar farashi da ke ƙasa da tsammanin 1.3% shekara a shekara a watan Maris, ya faɗo daga 1.8%, kamar yadda Q1 CPI ya shigo a 0.00%. Faduwar ma'aunin CPI yana nuni da rauni mara karfi, sabili da haka, RBA, babban bankin Ostiraliya, da ƙarancin ƙimar ƙara ƙimar riba. Da ƙarfe 9:30 na safe agogon Burtaniya, AUD / USD sun yi ciniki a 0.704, ƙasa -0.82%, suna fadowa ta matakan tallafi uku, zuwa S3, yayin da suka bugu da ƙananan watanni biyu. Sauran nau'ikan AUD sun bi irin waɗannan halaye na ɗabi'a.
Bayanin kalandar Turai a cikin zaman safe, ya damu da sabon karatun IFO na Jamus, tare da dukkanin ma'auni uku da suka ɓace game da hasashen Reuters. Matsayi a matsayin matsakaiciyar lamura na kalandar, karatun IFO zai iya ƙara ƙaruwa don tsoratar da tattalin arziƙin Jamus, ko kuma wataƙila ta koma kan koma bayan fasahohi, a sassa daban-daban. Da ƙarfe 9:45 na safe agogon Ingila, EUR / USD sun yi ciniki a 1.121, ƙasa da 0.10%, suna jujjuyawa a cikin tsaka mai wuya, tsakanin mahimmin jigon yau da kullun da matakin farko na tallafi. Yuro ya sami wadataccen kasuwancin kasuwanci tare da takwarorinsa da yawa, yana tashi sosai akan AUD da NZD, sakamakon raunin bayanan hauhawar Aussie da faɗuwa sosai da Switzerland franc. Swissie ta tashi a farkon kasuwanci tare da yawancin takwarorinta, kamar yadda tsarin binciken Credit Suisse ya zo gabanin hasashe.
Karatuttukan karatu na canji don ciniki mai tsada, sun faɗi ƙasa sosai yayin makonni biyu na hutun majalisa / hutu, tare da bayyana yadda labarai masu alaƙa da Brexit shine ainihin abin da ke haifar da zirga-zirgar fam na Burtaniya. Yayinda 'yan majalisar suka koma bakin aikinsu a ranar Talata 24 ga Afrilu, saurin canzawa nan da nan, yayin da batun Brexit ya koma tattaunawa a masana'antar FX. GBP / USD ya faɗi yayin zaman na Talata, saboda ƙarfin dala fiye da raunin fam, amma an ci gaba da faɗuwar gaba zuwa zaman Laraba. Duk da cewa an sanya ranar ficewa daga Burtaniya yanzu a 31 ga Oktoba, kuma gibin kasafin kudin Burtaniya ya kai kasa da shekaru goma sha bakwai, akwai ƙarancin ci don gabatar da GBP, yayin zaman London-Turai.
Burtaniya ta ari £ 24.7b don daidaita littattafan a cikin shekarar kuɗi ta ƙarshe, alkaluman da aka fitar a safiyar Talata sun bayyana, mafi ƙanƙanci tun daga 2001-2002, kuma ƙasa a shekara ɗaya da ta gabata, rancen a cikin sabuwar shekara ta ƙarshe ta kasance £ 1.9b fiye da da hasashen £ 22.8 biliyan da OBR (Ofishin Kula da Kasafin Kuɗi). A matsayin kasawa, aron Burtaniya yanzu ya zama kashi 1.2% na GDP ne kawai, lokacin da a shekarun 2008-09 Burtaniya ta ari £ 153b, ko 9.9% na GDP, lokacin da tattalin arzikin ya shiga cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki, yayin da masu biyan haraji suka bayar da belin bankunan Burtaniya. Ba da daɗewa ba bayan da aka buga bayanan ƙarfafawa, GPB / USD sun yi ciniki a 1.290, sun kasa dawo da nauyin 1.300, kuma suna ciniki a ƙasa da 200 DMA, wanda aka sanya a 1.296, ya faɗi ƙasa da ba a shaida tun daga watan Fabrairun 2019.
Hankali zai koma ga tattalin arzikin Kanada yayin zaman na rana, yayin da BOC ke watsa sabuwar shawarar da suka yanke a kan ƙimar fa'ida, a halin yanzu a 1.75% akwai ƙaramin fata tsakanin masharhanta don haɓaka, gwargwadon halin tattalin arziƙin Kanada na yanzu. A dabi'ance, mayar da hankali zai juya zuwa ga bayanin Gwamna Stephen Poloz wanda ke tare da shawarar, yayin da masu sharhi ke tsara cikakken bayani game da duk wata alama da BOC ke duba yiwuwar sauya matsayinsu na manufofin kudi na yanzu, don samun damar kara farashin a nan gaba. 'Yan kasuwar FX da ke cinikin CAD, ko kuma waɗanda suka kware a fagen cinikin labaran labarai, za a ba su shawara su sanya sanarwar, wanda aka shirya fitarwa da ƙarfe 15:00 na yamma agogon Ingila. A 10:45 pm USD / CAD sun yi ciniki da 0.20%, suna jujjuyawa tsakanin maɓallin jigon yau da kullun da matakin farko na juriya.
A matsayin kudin kayayyaki, dala ta Kanada ta sami nasarori masu yawa a kan zaman baya-bayan nan, bayan da Gwamnatin Trump ta sanar da kwastomomin Iran, cewa za a sanya musu takunkumi, idan suka ci gaba da sayen man Iran. WTI ya haura sama da $ 66 ganga, matakin da ba a gani ba tun Oktoba 2018. Duk da faduwa da -0.66% a ranar Laraba, farashin da aka gudanar sama da na 66.00. Matakin da za a iya gwadawa, da zarar DOE ta bayyana sabon makamashi da ke tanadi dalla-dalla game da tattalin arzikin Amurka, da ƙarfe 15:30 na daren yau.
« Indexididdigar dalar Amurka ta kai matsayin da ba a taɓa gani ba tun Yuni 2017, GBP / USD ya faɗi zuwa watanni biyu ƙananan, yayin da batun Brexit ya dawo. Menene fa'ida, ta yaya zaku daidaita dabarun kasuwancin ku dashi kuma ta yaya zai iya tasiri akan sakamakon kasuwancin ku? »